US think tank warns of China’s potential military use of Pakistan’s Gwadar port

A Pakistani Army personnel looks on during the opening of a trade project in Gwadar port, some 700 kms west of Karachi on November 13, 2016. (AFP/FILE)
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Updated 28 March 2023
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US think tank warns of China’s potential military use of Pakistan’s Gwadar port

  • USIP mentions the ‘conspicuous absence of commercial activity at Gwadar’ while discussing China-Pakistan military relationship
  • The Washington-based think tank says China usually avoided getting into military alliances but could get into one with Pakistan

ISLAMABAD: A leading American think tank has said that there is a high possibility that China may use Pakistan’s Gwadar deep-sea port to project military power in the Indian Ocean region.

Pakistan and China have been working on a multibillion-dollar economic corridor that requires them to jointly build a number of infrastructure and power projects.

Gwadar, which is located in Pakistan’s southwest, is considered vital part of the corridor project since it can help regional connectivity by providing a much shorter trade route to landlocked Afghanistan and other Central Asian economies by bringing them closer to sea lanes.

The United States Institute of Peace (USIP) said in its special report, “A Threshold Alliance: The China-Pakistan Military Relationship,” that Beijing had remained Islamabad’s most important strategic and defense partner since the end of the Cold War.

“What may appear as limited, contingency access closely overseen by the host nation can quickly evolve into basing,” the report said.

“There are several reasons why Gwadar has military utility for China,” it added. “The port is physically suited for basing, with a pier accommodating even the biggest PLA Navy vessels and an adjacent laydown yard for assembling military equipment and pre-positioning materials and supplies.”

The USIP maintained that Pakistan Navy craft, including Chinese-origin F-22P frigates, were regularly seen visiting the port.

It pointed out that as Pakistan inducted new submarines in addition to surface and coastal combat craft from China, its facilities, parts, and technicians could potentially be tasked to support portions of the PLA Navy fleet.

The report also said that Gwadar’s new airport and runway would be completed in 2023, which would be accommodative of China’s strategic airlift fleet.

“The conspicuous absence of commercial activity at Gwadar— which has raised the suspicions of expert observers— makes it easier for a naval footprint to increase without economic disruption and with greater concealment from foreign observation,” it said.

The report pointed out that China usually avoided getting into formal international groupings, though its military relationship with Pakistan was “approaching a threshold alliance.”

“The trajectory toward a military alliance is not … inevitable,” it added.

 


Pakistan orders four-day workweek, shuts schools to save fuel amid Middle East oil crisis

Updated 58 min 40 sec ago
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Pakistan orders four-day workweek, shuts schools to save fuel amid Middle East oil crisis

  • The development comes as ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran disrupt oil supplies in Strait of Hormuz, push prices past $119 a barrel
  • Islamabad bans government purchases, cuts fuel allocation for vehicles as well as workforce in public and private offices by 50 percent

ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Monday announced austerity measures, including a four-day work week, cuts in government expenditures and closure of schools, to offset the impact of rising global oil prices due to an ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

Global fuel supply lines have been disrupted in the Strait of Hormuz, which supplies nearly a fourth of world oil consumption, after Tehran blocked it following United States-Israeli strikes on Iran and counterattacks against US interests in the Gulf region.

Oil prices surged more than 25 percent globally on Monday to $119.50 a barrel, the highest levels since mid-2022, as some major producers cut supplies and fears of prolonged shipping disruptions gripped the market due to the expanding US-Israeli war with Iran.

In his televised address on Sunday night, Sharif said global oil prices were expected to rise again in the coming days but vowed not to let the people bear their brunt, announcing austerity measures to lessen the impact of fuel price hikes.

“Fifty percent staff in public and private entities will work from home,” he announced, adding this would not be applicable to essential services. “Offices will remain open for four days a week. One-day additional off is being given to conserve oil, but it would not be applicable to banks.”

Sharif didn’t specify working days of the week and the government was likely to issue a notification in this regard.

He said a decrease of 50 percent was being made in fuel allocation for government vehicles immediately for the next two months, but they would not include ambulances and public buses.

“Cabinet members, advisers and special assistants will not draw salaries for the next two months, 25 percent salaries of parliamentarians are being deducted, two-day salaries of Grade 20 and above officers, or those who are paid Rs300,000 ($1,067) a month, are being deducted for public relief,” he said.

Similarly, there will be 20 percent reduction in public department expenses and a complete ban on the purchase of cars, furniture, air conditioners and other goods, according to the prime minister.

Foreign trips of ministers and other government officials will also be banned along with government dinners and iftar buffets, while teleconferences and online meetings will be given priority.

“All schools will be off for two weeks, starting from the end of this week, and all higher education institutions should immediately begin online classes,” he said.

Sharif’s comments were aired hours after Pakistani authorities said the country had “comfortable levels” of petroleum stocks and the supply chains were functioning smoothly, despite intensifying Middle East conflict.

Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik said three oil shipments were due to reach Pakistan this week, state media reported.

Meanwhile, Pakistan Navy (PN) launched ‘Operation Muhafiz-ul-Bahr’ to safeguard national energy shipments, the Pakistani military said on Monday, amid disruptions to critical sea lanes due to the conflict.

The navy is conducting escort operations in close coordination with the Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (PNSC), according to the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), the military’s media wing. It is fully cognizant of the prevailing maritime situation and is actively monitoring and controlling the movement of merchant vessels to ensure their safe and secure transit.

“With approximately 90 percent of Pakistan’s trade conducted via sea, the operation aims to ensure that vital sea routes remain safe, secure, and uninterrupted,” the ISPR said on Monday. “Currently, PN ships are escorting 2 x Merchant Vessels, one of which is scheduled to arrive Karachi today.”