Emerging Markets – US-China tension, rate rise worries pull down EM stocks

The MSCI EM equities index slipped 1.4 percent and was set for a weekly fall of 2.5 percent (Shutterstock)
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Updated 24 February 2023
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Emerging Markets – US-China tension, rate rise worries pull down EM stocks

BENGALURU: Emerging market stocks fell over 1 percent on Friday, on track for their fourth weekly decline, as US-China tension weighed on sentiment, while investors awaited US inflation data for signs on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate rise trajectory, according to Reuters.

The MSCI EM equities index slipped 1.4 percent and was set for a weekly fall of 2.5 percent.

Geopolitical tensions added to a downbeat mood driven by fears of more interest rate rises by the Fed, with two US officials saying on Thursday that the US was set to expand the number of troops helping train Taiwanese forces, at a time of heightened tension with China.

China’s yuan fell to seven-week lows against the dollar, while Chinese stocks closed down 1 percent, weighing across EM assets.

Investors will also closely monitor data on the personal consumption index (PCE), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, to try to assess the pace of interest rate increases.

The data, expected at 1330 GMT, is likely to show core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, moderated slightly on a yearly basis in January from a month ago.

“There are geopolitical tensions, not just Taiwan, but Russia-Ukraine as well. I think these are probably less of a risk than US interest rates and the dollar uncertainty,” said Jon Harrison, managing director, EM Macro Strategy at TS Lombard.

Emerging market stocks had a bumper start to 2023 but equities pulled back sharply in February falling 5.5 percent as signs of strength in the US economy brought worries about interest rates staying higher for longer.

Regional currencies were down 0.5 percent, set for their third weekly decline.

In central and eastern Europe, Hungary’s forint was flat against the euro.

The Turkish lira hit a record low, weakening to beyond 18.88 against the dollar, with a government official saying that the recent earthquake disaster would keep inflation above 40 percent in the run-up to elections scheduled for June.

The South African rand edged 0.7 percent lower against the dollar as investors were reluctant to price more risk into local markets.

South African state power utility Eskom has appointed its chief financial officer, Calib Cassim, as interim chief executive officer with immediate effect after the current CEO was asked to leave.

In India, the venue for a G20 financial leaders meeting, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen accused Russian officials of being “complicit” in atrocities in Ukraine, while host India avoided mentioning the year-long war in inaugural remarks. 


Closing Bell: Saudi stocks slip as Tadawul falls 1% amid broad market weakness

Updated 30 December 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi stocks slip as Tadawul falls 1% amid broad market weakness

RIYADH: Saudi stocks fell sharply on Tuesday, with the Tadawul All Share Index closing down 108.14 points, or 1.03 percent, at 10,381.51.

The broader decline was reflected across major indices. The MSCI Tadawul 30 Index slipped 0.78 percent to 1,378.00, while Nomu, the parallel market index, fell 1 percent to 23,040.79.

Market breadth was strongly negative on the main board, with 237 stocks falling compared to just 24 gainers. Trading activity remained robust, with 164.7 million shares changing hands and a total traded value of SR3.19 billion ($850.6 million).

Among the gainers, SEDCO Capital REIT Fund led, rising 2.73 percent to SR6.77, followed by Chubb Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co., which gained 2.69 percent to SR20.20.

National Medical Care Co. added 1.72 percent to close at SR141.60, while Alyamamah Steel Industries Co. and Thimar Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Co. advanced 1.57 percent and 1.13 percent, respectively.

Losses were led by Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co., which tumbled 8.36 percent to SR24.65. Raoom Trading Co.fell 6.75 percent to SR64.20, while Alkhaleej Training and Education Co. dropped 6.60 percent to SR18.12 and Naqi Water Co. declined 5.51 percent to SR54.00. Gulf General Cooperative Insurance Co. closed 5.44 percent lower at SR3.65.

On the announcement front, Chubb Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co. signed a multiyear insurance agreement with Saudi Electricity Co. to provide various coverages, expected to positively impact its financial results over the 2025–2026 period. The deal will run for three years and two months and is within the company’s normal course of business.

Meanwhile, Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co. announced a one-year health insurance contract with Saudi National Bank, valued at SR330.2 million, covering the bank’s employees and their families from January 2026. Despite the sizable contract, Bupa Arabia shares fell 0.8 percent to close at SR137, weighed down by the broader market weakness.

In contrast, United Cooperative Assurance Co. revealed an extension of its engineering insurance agreement with Saudi Binladin Group for the Grand Mosque expansion in Makkah. The contract value exceeds 20 percent of the company’s gross written premiums based on its latest audited financials and is expected to support results through 2026. However, the stock came under selling pressure, ending the session down 4.51 percent at SR3.39.