Pakistan’s forex reserves drop to $3.09 billion 

A broker talks on a phone as he watches latest share prices at the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Karachi on January 27, 2023. Photo courtesy: AFP)
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Updated 03 February 2023
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Pakistan’s forex reserves drop to $3.09 billion 

  • Islamabad is locked in negotiations with IMF to release much-needed money under a stalled loan program 
  • A successful outcome with IMF would help release money from other platforms that are looking for greenlight 

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank decreased by 16.1 percent to $3.09 billion in the week ending Jan. 27, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Thursday, which analysts said covers less than three weeks of imports. 

The country is locked in negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to release much-needed money under a stalled bailout program. A successful outcome with the IMF would also help to release money from other platforms that are looking for a greenlight from the lender. 

The central bank said in a statement that the drop in reserves was due to external debt repayments. 

Reserves held by commercial banks stood at $5.65 billion, taking total liquid reserves in the country to $8.74 billion, SBP added. 

Local investment firm Arif Habib Limited (AHL) calculated that the reserves are at their lowest since February 2014 and now only cover 18 days worth of imports, the lowest the import cover has been since 1998. 

“The country is in dire need of fresh inflows and the resumption of the IMF program as soon as possible to avoid the crisis,” Tahir Abbas, head of research at AHL said. 

Cash-strapped Pakistan on Tuesday held talks with the IMF in a bid to unlock funds from a $7 billion bailout designed to ward off economic meltdown. The talks, to continue through Feb. 9, are meant to clear the IMF’s 9th review of its Extended Fund Facility, aimed at helping countries with balance-of-payments crises. 

The lender had set several conditions for resuming the bailout, including a market-determined exchange rate for the local currency and an easing of fuel subsidies. The central bank recently removed a cap on exchange rates and the government raised fuel prices by 16 percent. 

During Thursday trading, the rupee lost 0.93 percent in the interbank market, closing at a new historic low of 271.36 rupees against the US dollar, according to state bank data. The rupee also dropped 0.18 percent in the open market. 

Overall, the rupee is down 24.51 percent over the fiscal year that began in July. 


Rating firm S&P says it won’t rush Iran war downgrades, sees risks for countries like Pakistan

Updated 12 March 2026
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Rating firm S&P says it won’t rush Iran war downgrades, sees risks for countries like Pakistan

  • Agency says it is monitoring indebted energy importers as higher oil prices strain finances
  • Gulf economies seen better placed to weather shock, though Bahrain flagged as vulnerable

LONDON: S&P Global ‌said it would not make any knee-jerk sovereign rating cuts following the outbreak of war in the ​Middle East, but warned on Thursday that soaring oil and gas prices were putting a number of already cash-strapped countries at risk.

The firm’s top analysts said in a webinar that the conflict, which has involved US and Israeli strikes ‌against Iran and Iranian ‌strikes against Israel, ​US ‌bases ⁠and Gulf ​states, ⁠was now moving from a low- to moderate-risk scenario.

Most Gulf countries had enough fiscal buffers, however, to weather the crisis for a while, with more lowly rated Bahrain the only clear exception.

Qatar’s banking sector could ⁠also struggle if there were significant ‌deposit outflows in ‌reaction to the conflict, although there ​was no evidence ‌of such strains at the moment, they ‌said.

“We don’t want to jump the gun and just say things are bad,” S&P’s head global sovereign analyst, Roberto Sifon-Arevalo, said.

The longer the crisis ‌was prolonged, though, “the more difficult it is going to be,” he ⁠added.

Sifon-Arevalo ⁠said Asia was the second-most exposed region, due to many of its countries being significant Gulf oil and gas importers.

India, Thailand and Indonesia have relatively lower reserves of oil, while the region also had already heavily indebted countries such as Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka whose finances would be further hurt by rising energy prices.

“We ​are closely monitoring ​these (countries) to see how the credit stories evolve,” Sifon-Arevalo said.