Pakistani rupee falls after market maker group removes currency cap

A money changer counts Pakistan's currency at a market in Karachi on January 6, 2023. (Photo courtesy: AFP)
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Updated 25 January 2023
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Pakistani rupee falls after market maker group removes currency cap

  • Rupee was bid at 240.60 to US dollar, offered at 243 in early trade
  • Currency depreciated 11.23 percent against greenback so far in current fiscal year 2022-23

KARACHI: The Pakistani rupee fell by 1.2 percent on Wednesday after foreign exchange companies removed a cap on the currency, saying it was creating “artificial” distortions in the market as the South Asian country struggles to escape a deepening economic crisis.

Pakistan is battling to meet its external financing obligations in the face of rapidly dwindling foreign exchange reserves that are barely enough to cover a month of imports. It is also beset by decades-high inflation which policymakers are trying to curb with massive interest rate hikes.

The rupee was bid at 240.60 to the US dollar and offered at 243 in early trade, the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan said in a statement, compared with a range of 237.75/240 at the close on Tuesday.

The rupee has depreciated 11.23 percent against the greenback so far in the current fiscal year 2022-23, which ends on June 30.

The exchange association said late on Tuesday it was lifting the cap on the currency in the interest of the country.

“We have decided that we bring the exchange rate at par with what we are supplying to the banks against credit cards,” Secretary General Zafar Paracha said in a statement, adding that level is 255/256 rupees to the dollar.

Before the cap on the rupee was removed, markets eyed three different rates to assess its value — the state bank’s official rate, the one assessed by the foreign exchange companies, and the black market rate.

“Though the bank rate for today is yet not been disclosed, we think the dollar rate in banks may fall by up to 5 percent in a few days,” said Mohammed Sohail, chief executive officer at brokerage Topline Securities.

Participants in the stock market think the removal of the cap may be a step toward liberalising the exchange market which will help the country unlock stalled IMF funding, Sohail said.

The International Monetary Fund is yet to approve its ninth review to release $1.1 billion, which was originally due to be disbursed in November last year but got held up over fiscal consolidation issues.

The IMF has called for fiscal steps to reduce the budget deficit that include subsidy cuts, slashing energy sector debt, levying more taxes to plug the revenue shortfall, and a market-based exchange rate as conditions for releasing the funding.

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Tuesday that his country was willing to discuss all of the IMF’s demands


IMF board to meet tomorrow to consider $1.2 billion disbursement for Pakistan

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IMF board to meet tomorrow to consider $1.2 billion disbursement for Pakistan

  • Pakistan, IMF reached a Staff-Level Agreement for second review of $7 billion loan program 
  • Economists view disbursement crucial for cash-strapped Pakistan as it tackles economic crisis

ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board will meet tomorrow, Monday, to consider and approve a $1.2 billion disbursement for Pakistan, according to the global lender’s official schedule. 

The meeting takes place nearly two months after the Fund reached a Staff-Level Agreement (SLA) with Pakistan for the second review of its $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the first review of its $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). 

The SLA followed a mission led by IMF’s Iva Petrova, who held discussions with Pakistani authorities during a Sept. 24–Oct. 8 visit to Karachi, Islamabad and Washington, DC.

“The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board will convene on Dec. 8 to consider Pakistan’s request for a $1.2 billion disbursement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), according to the Fund’s updated schedule,” the state-run Pakistan TV reported on Sunday.

Economists view IMF’s bailout packages as crucial for cash-strapped Pakistan, which has relied heavily on financing from bilateral partners such as Saudi Arabia, China and the United Arab Emirates, as well as multilateral lenders including the IMF, World Bank, Asian Development Bank and Islamic Development Bank. 

The South Asian country has been grappling with a prolonged macroeconomic crisis that has drained its financial resources and triggered a balance of payments crisis. Islamabad, however, has recorded some financial gains since 2022, which include recording a surplus in its current account and bringing inflation down considerably. 

Speaking to Arab News last month, Pakistan’s former finance adviser Khaqan Najeeb said the $1.2 billion disbursement will further stabilize Pakistan’s near-term external position and unlock additional official inflows. 

“Continued engagement also reinforces macro stability, as reflected in recent improvements in inflation, the current account, and reserve buffers,” Najeeb said. 

Pakistan came close to sovereign default in mid-2023, when foreign exchange reserves fell below three weeks of import cover, inflation surged to a record 38 percent in May, and the country struggled to secure external financing after delays in its IMF program. Fuel shortages, import restrictions, and a rapidly depreciating rupee added to the pressure, while ratings agencies downgraded Pakistan’s debt and warned of heightened default risk.

The crisis eased only after Pakistan reached a last-minute Stand-By Arrangement with the IMF in June 2023, unlocking emergency support and preventing an immediate default.