ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s development ambitions and ability to reduce poverty could face significant setbacks due to environmental disasters, said a World Bank report on Thursday, bringing down its economic output by about 20 percent in the next few decades.
The unprecedented monsoon rains and floods in Pakistan this year caused more than 1,700 deaths and displaced millions of people.
The World Bank Group’s Country Climate and Development Report noted the destructive effects of the erratic weather condition on infrastructure, assets, crops and livestock in the country had been massive, causing more than $30 billion in damages and economic losses.
“The combined risks of extreme climate-related events, environmental degradation, and air pollution are projected to reduce Pakistan’s GDP by at least 18 to 20 percent by 2050,” the report warned. “This will stall progress on economic development and poverty reduction.”
The document maintained the country needed fundamental shifts in its development path and policies, requiring substantial investments including international support, to foster people-centric climate adaptation and resilience.
It identified five priority transitions to adapt to climate change: transform the agri-food system; build resilient and livable cities; accelerate a just transition to sustainable energy and low-carbon transport; strengthen human capital to achieve sustained and equitable development and climate resilience; and align financing policies, incentives, and institutions to support the scale-up of climate actions.
The report recommended accelerating reforms to expand domestic revenue mobilization, including by raising new municipal and property taxes to finance urban investments.
However, it pointed out that even ambitious increases in fiscal resources over the coming years would not be enough for Pakistan to finance all the needed investments, adding that significant international support and private investment would be essential to meet the challenge.
“The recent flooding and humanitarian crisis provide a wake-up call for urgent action to prevent further devastation to the people of Pakistan and its economy due to climate change,” said Martin Raiser, World Bank Vice President for South Asia, while releasing the report. “Accelerated climate actions can protect the economy from shocks and secure more sustainable and inclusive growth in Pakistan.”
Another official belonging to the World Bank Group noted that climate-related calamities were “growing in frequency and intensity” in Pakistan.
“With the right policy frameworks, Pakistan has the opportunity to attract private investment to build its resilience, particularly in sectors such as water management, agriculture, urban infrastructure, municipal services, and housing,” Hela Cheikhrouhou, International Finance Corporation’s Regional Vice President for Middle East and Pakistan, added.
Pakistan is not a significant contributor to global warming, though it is recognized as one of the most climate-stressed countries by global experts.











