Oil Updates — Crude down; Petrochina says EV sales to affect gasoline demand; Oil installations under high alert in Norway

Brent crude futures fell $1.08, or 1.25 percent, to $85.19 per barrel at 08.30 a.m Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down $1.03, or 1.31 percent, at $77.47 per barrel. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 28 September 2022
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Oil Updates — Crude down; Petrochina says EV sales to affect gasoline demand; Oil installations under high alert in Norway

RIYADH: Oil prices fell more than 1 percent on Wednesday, pressured by a strengthening dollar and crude storage builds that offset support from US production cuts caused by Hurricane Ian.

Brent crude futures fell $1.08, or 1.25 percent, to $85.19 per barrel at 08.30 a.m Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down $1.03, or 1.31 percent, at $77.47 per barrel.

Robust EV sales in China to affect gasoline demand: PetroChina

China’s gasoline consumption growth will be affected by strong electric vehicle sales in the country, a senior Chinese oil executive said on Wednesday.

EV sales hit 6 million units in the first eight months this year, Wu Qiunan, chief economist at PetroChina International, told a forum at the 38th Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference.

“That’s a big replacement of gasoline consumption,” he said, adding this may lower gasoline demand growth even as consumption is expected to recover when China eases COVID-19 restrictions.

Norway to strengthen security at oil, gas installations

Norway will strengthen security at its oil and gas installations following gas leaks in the Baltic Sea and reports of drone activities in the North Sea, the Nordic country’s energy minister said on Tuesday.

Europe was investigating major leaks in two Russian pipelines that spewed gas into the Baltic Sea on Tuesday as Sweden launched a preliminary probe into possible sabotage to infrastructure at the center of an energy standoff.

“Based on the information we have seen so far, much indicates acts of sabotage,” Norwegian Oil and Energy Minister Terje Aasland said in a statement.

The government had consulted with the armed forces and operators of oil and gas installations, both on land and offshore, it said.

On Monday, Norway’s Petroleum Safety Authority had urged greater vigilance over unidentified drones seen flying near Norwegian offshore oil and gas platforms, warning they could pose a risk of accidents or deliberate attacks.

(With input from Reuters) 

 


Gulf airlines cautiously restore flights as regional airspace restrictions ease 

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Gulf airlines cautiously restore flights as regional airspace restrictions ease 

RIYADH: Emirates and Etihad Airways resumed limited flight operations after parts of Middle Eastern airspace reopened, while Qatar Airways began operating a limited schedule to and from Doha under restricted conditions. 

The gradual restoration follows days of disruption triggered by military escalation involving the US, Israel and Iran, which forced widespread airspace closures across the region, disrupted major global aviation corridors and prompted thousands of cancellations and diversions. 

Qatar Airways said flights were operating only for passengers whose final destination was Doha, reflecting continued airspace restrictions even as parts of the region reopened. 

In a statement, Emirates said customers transiting through Dubai would only be accepted for travel if their onward connecting flight was operating. 

“Emirates continues to monitor the situation, and we will develop our operational schedule accordingly,” the airline said. 

Etihad said it resumed a limited commercial flight schedule on March 6 to selected destinations after safety reviews conducted with relevant authorities. 

“The decision has been taken in coordination with relevant authorities following extensive safety and security assessments. Etihad continues to monitor the situation closely and will only operate flights once all safety criteria are met,” the airline said in a statement on March 6. 

The disruption has affected the region’s largest hub airports in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Doha, where the three carriers together normally handle about 90,000 passengers a day, according to aviation analytics firm Cirium. 

Fitch Ratings said the duration of aviation disruption following the Feb. 28 strikes by Israel and the US on Iran, and Iran’s subsequent retaliation across the region, would be key in determining the impact on sectors including airlines, airports, hospitality, insurance and aircraft leasing. 

“Our baseline expectation that the conflict in the Middle East will last less than a month should limit the implications for Fitch-rated issuers in sectors affected by the aviation disruption,” Fitch said, adding that a prolonged disruption would pose greater risks, particularly for smaller and less diversified operators. 

More than 15,000 flights were canceled across seven major regional airports between Feb. 28 and March 5, affecting more than 1.5 million passengers, according to Fitch. Some flights were also diverted to European airports. 

The ratings agency said airlines with hubs in directly affected countries faced the largest revenue exposure, particularly in the UAE and Qatar, while other carriers were affected by suspended routes and the need to avoid restricted airspace. 

It added: “The highest volume exposure among Fitch-rated EMEA (Europe, the Middle East and Africa) network airlines to the broader Middle East region does not exceed a high single-digit percentage.” 

The report also said the disruption was pushing up operating costs as airlines were forced to take longer routes, make additional technical stops, and absorb crew overtime, along with higher accommodation and ground-handling expenses. 

Passenger compensation is expected to remain limited because the conflict is beyond airlines’ control, though carriers may still face costs related to meals, lodging, refunds or travel vouchers for canceled flights. At the same time, disruption often leads to higher ticket prices on affected and nearby routes, helping partially offset the financial impact. 

In addition to revenue losses, airlines are also expected to face pressure from rising fuel prices. Most carriers across Europe, the Middle East and Africa, including those based in the Gulf, maintain relatively strong fuel-hedging positions, with coverage for the next three months typically ranging from about 50 percent to over 80 percent. 

“The impact on Fitch-rated European airports is likely to be mixed, with lost revenue from declining point-to-point traffic from the Far East and the knock-on effect on retail spending per passenger, potentially offset by higher ancillary revenues such as parking fees, and, where applicable, regulatory protection against traffic volatility,” the report said.