US banks prepare for cyberattacks after latest Russia sanctions

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Updated 27 February 2022
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US banks prepare for cyberattacks after latest Russia sanctions

  • US, EU removes several Russian banks from SWIFT payment gateway

WASHINGTON: US banks are preparing for retaliatory cyberattacks after Western nations slapped a raft of stringent sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine, cyber experts and executives said.

Tensions between Russia and the West escalated on Saturday as the US and its allies moved to block some Russian banks from the SWIFT international payment system and placed curbs on the Russian central bank’s international reserves.

Western governments have warned for weeks that the tensions could spark massive cyberattacks from Russia or its supporters. Some executives said the latest measures may be the trigger.

“There will be some retaliatory measures taken by them, and I think in the least costly way that they can do it — that means some kind of cyberattack,” said Steven Schweitzer, a senior fixed income portfolio manager at the Swarthmore Group in New York.

Global banks, already top targets for cyberattacks in peacetime, are increasing network monitoring, drilling for cyberattack scenarios, searching their networks for threats and lining up extra staff in case hostile activity surges, according to cybersecurity experts.

Among the threats they are preparing for: Ransomware and malware attacks; denial-of-service attacks that take down websites; and data wiping and theft, possibly simultaneously.

“Banks are incredibly prepared. They have taken out their playbooks and it is practice, practice, practice,” said Valerie Abend, who leads Accenture’s global financial services security group.

The largest US banks, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co., Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., either did not respond to requests for comment or declined to discuss their cybersecurity plans.

As guardians of critical national financial infrastructure, global banks are subject to strict operational risk rules and have some of the highest cyber security standards in corporate America, according to cyber experts.

The industry regularly plans for attacks and completed a massive, system-wide ransomware drill in November, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, which led the exercise.

Leading up to the invasion, there has been a more concerted industry effort to ensure banks’ incident responders are on high alert and that they had increased monitoring, Abend said.

The New York Department of Financial Services and the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency have warned private companies to be vigilant for threats.

“We wouldn’t be doing our due diligence if we weren’t preparing for that,” said Teresa Walsh, global head of intelligence at the Financial Services Information Sharing and Analysis Center, an international group of institutions that share cyber intelligence.

“Right now, they’ve been warning in generalities — just be prepared. We are trying to put some more specificity to it,” Walsh added.


GCC growth set to accelerate to 4.4% in 2026 on non-oil strength: World Bank 

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GCC growth set to accelerate to 4.4% in 2026 on non-oil strength: World Bank 

RIYADH: Economies across the Gulf Cooperation Council are forecast to grow 4.4 percent in 2026, accelerating to 4.6 percent in 2027, driven by rising non-oil activity in countries including Saudi Arabia, according to an analysis. 

In its Global Economic Prospects report, the World Bank said the Kingdom’s real gross domestic product is projected to grow 4.3 percent in 2026 and 4.4 percent in 2027, up from an expected 3.8 percent in 2025. 

Earlier this month, a separate analysis by Standard Chartered echoed similar expectations, forecasting the Kingdom’s GDP to expand by 4.5 percent in 2026, outperforming the projected global growth average of 3.4 percent, supported by momentum in both hydrocarbon and non-oil sectors. 

The World Bank’s latest forecast broadly aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s October outlook, which projects Saudi Arabia’s GDP to grow by about 4 percent in both 2025 and 2026. 

In its latest report, the World Bank said: “Growth in GCC countries is forecast to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026 and 4.6 percent in 2027, mainly reflecting a steady expansion of non-hydrocarbon activity, in addition to a further rise in hydrocarbon production.” 

It added: “The strengthening of non-hydrocarbon activity — accounting for more than 60 percent of GCC countries’ total GDP — is projected to be supported by expected large-scale investments, including in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.” 

Expanding the non-oil sector remains a core objective of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 agenda, as the Kingdom continues efforts to reduce its long-standing reliance on crude revenues. 

Highlighting the strength of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil momentum, S&P Global said the Kingdom recorded the highest purchasing managers’ index reading in the region in December, at 57.4, supported by rising new orders, continued growth in non-energy business activity, and expanding employment.

At the country level, the UAE’s economy is projected to grow by 5 percent in 2026, before accelerating to 5.1 percent in 2027. 

Oman’s GDP is forecast to expand by 3.6 percent in 2026 and 4 percent in 2027, while Qatar is expected to record growth of 5.3 percent next year, rising sharply to 6.8 percent in 2027. 

In Kuwait and Bahrain, GDP growth is projected at 2.6 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively, in 2026. 

Across the broader Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan region, growth is estimated to have reached 3.1 percent in 2025 and is projected to strengthen further to 3.6 percent in 2026 and 3.9 percent in 2027, largely driven by improving performance among oil-exporting economies. 

Potential growth challenges 

The World Bank also outlined several downside risks that could weigh on economic growth across the region. 

These include a re-escalation of armed conflicts, heightened violence or social unrest, which could disrupt economic activity and weaken confidence. 

Other risks include tighter global financial conditions, further increases in trade restrictions and tensions, greater uncertainty over global trade policies, and more frequent or severe natural disasters. 

For oil exporters, lower-than-expected oil prices or heightened price volatility could also dampen growth. 

“A re-escalation of armed conflicts in the region could cause a significant deterioration in consumer and business sentiment, not only in the economies directly affected but also in neighboring economies,” the World Bank said.  

It added: “It could spill over into a broader increase in policy uncertainty and a tightening of financial conditions, dampening investment and economic activity.” 

Global outlook 

The World Bank said the global economy has proved more resilient than expected despite last year’s escalation in trade tensions and policy uncertainty. 

Global economic growth is projected at 2.6 percent in 2026, easing from an estimated 2.7 percent in 2025. 

“The modest slowdown comes on the heels of a post-pandemic rebound over 2021–25 that represented the strongest recovery from a global recession in more than six decades,” the World Bank said, adding that the rebound was uneven and came at the cost of higher inflation and rising debt. 

Among advanced economies, US GDP is projected to grow by 1.6 percent in both 2026 and 2027. 

China’s economy is expected to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026 before slowing to 4.2 percent in 2027, while India’s GDP is forecast to grow by 6.5 percent and 6.6 percent over the same period.