KARACHI: Pakistan’s inflation rate, driven by energy and food prices, peaked to a two-year high of 13 percent in January, the country’s statistics bureau said on Tuesday, with analysts pointing to its financial implications for the poor.
The inflation measured by the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 13 percent on a year-on-year (YoY) basis in January 2022 as compared to an increase of 12.3 percent in the previous month and 5.7 percent in January 2021. Inflation was previously recorded at its highest 14.6 percent in January 2020.
On a month-on-month basis, inflation increased by 0.4 percent in January as compared to a decrease of 0.02 percent in the previous month as well as in January 2021, according to the data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).
Prices of food products, such as cooking oil increased by 54.33 percent, vegetable ghee 47.4 percent, mustard oil 46.68 percent and pulse masoor 41.3 percent, when compared with the corresponding month of the previous year, i.e. January 2021.
“Food inflation was the highest recorded since April 2021 when it rose to 15.9 percent. We attribute this to higher transportation cost and higher global food & commodity prices,” a report by Karachi-based brokerage house Topline Securities said.
Housing, water, electricity and fuel index, which contribute around 24 percent weightage to the CPI, rose by 15.5 percent in January 2022, compared to an increase of 16.6 percent in December 2021.
The price of electricity increased by 56.20 percent, liquefied hydrocarbons by 53.35 percent and motor fuel by 36.22 percent, when compared with the same period of last year.
The inflation rate was 128 percent higher than the previous year’s 5.7 percent, mainly due to the global impact of commodity prices, including food and energy products, and oil and gas, in the international market.
Analysts point to financial implications of higher inflation for the poor class, which has already been under immense pressure.
“Poor and lower middle class will remain under stress due to high inflation,” Muhammad Sohail, the Topline Securities chief executive officer, told Arab News.
“With rising oil prices and expected increase in power tariffs, we anticipate monthly CPI inflation to remain in the range of 11-13 percent during the remainder of FY22.”
The government expects the inflationary trend to continue to remain in double digits in the coming months.
“The central bank in its monetary policy had said that inflation for the next three months is likely to remain elevated but improved balance-of-payment numbers will determine central bank’s next move for policy rate changes,” Samiullah Tariq, research director at the Pakistan-Kuwait Investment Company, told Arab News.
This week, Pakistan is expecting the revival of $6 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan program. It would make available $1,059 million that would bring total disbursements to Pakistan to about $3,027 million and help unlock significant funding from bilateral and multilateral partners.
“Going forward, IMF stability program and global oil prices will remain important for Pakistan,” Sohail said.
The Pakistani central bank has forecasted that the inflation rate for the current fiscal year would range between 9 percent and 11 percent.
Pakistan’s annual inflation rose to two-year high in January
https://arab.news/ny5w8
Pakistan’s annual inflation rose to two-year high in January
- Food and energy prices contributed to the hike amid rising international commodity prices and transportation costs
- Electricity price increased 56.20 percent, liquefied hydrocarbons 53.35 percent as compared to last year, official stats show
Two Pakistani men indicted in $10 million Medicare fraud scheme in Chicago
- Prosecutors say defendants billed Medicare and private insurers for nonexistent services
- Authorities say millions of dollars in proceeds were laundered and transferred to Pakistan
ISLAMABAD: Two Pakistani nationals have been indicted in Chicago for allegedly participating in a $10 million health care fraud scheme that targeted Medicare and private insurers, the US Justice Department said on Thursday.
A federal grand jury charged Burhan Mirza, 31, who resided in Pakistan, and Kashif Iqbal, 48, who lived in Texas, with submitting fraudulent claims for medical services and equipment that were never provided, according to an indictment filed in the US District Court for the Northern District of Illinois.
Medicare is the US federal health insurance program primarily serving Americans aged 65 and older, as well as certain younger people with disabilities.
“Rooting out fraud is a priority for this Justice Department, and these defendants allegedly billed millions of dollars from Medicare and laundered the proceeds to Pakistan,” Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche said in a statement.
“These alleged criminals stole from a program designed to provide health care benefits to American seniors and the disabled, not line the pockets of foreign fraudsters,” he added. “We will not tolerate these schemes that divert taxpayer dollars to criminals.”
Prosecutors said that in 2023 and 2024, the defendants and their alleged co-conspirators used nominee-owned laboratories and durable medical equipment providers to bill Medicare and private health benefit programs for nonexistent services.
According to the indictment, Mirza obtained identifying information of individuals, providers and insurers without their knowledge and used it to support fraudulent claims submitted on behalf of shell companies. Iqbal was allegedly linked to several durable medical equipment providers that filed false claims and is accused of laundering proceeds and coordinating transfers of funds to Pakistan.
Mirza faces 12 counts of health care fraud and five counts of money laundering. Iqbal is charged with 12 counts of health care fraud, six counts of money laundering and one count of making a false statement to US law enforcement. Arraignments have not yet been scheduled.
Three additional defendants, including an Indian, previously charged in the investigation, have pleaded guilty to federal health care fraud charges and are awaiting sentencing.
An indictment contains allegations, and the defendants are presumed innocent unless proven guilty in court.
