Gas prices to stay twice as high until 2025: Goldman Sachs

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Updated 25 January 2022
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Gas prices to stay twice as high until 2025: Goldman Sachs

Gas prices are likely to remain double their normal value until 2025 and blackouts could roll out across Europe as the temperature drops, according to a report by investment bank Goldman Sachs.

Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine are expected to push gas prices above the record highs set in December, while colder than average weather during the months of February and March could deplete end of winter inventories as gas is used for power generation.

The Goldman Sachs report warned the balance between supply and demand in northwestern Europe would remain tight, driving prices up to reach twice the ten-year-average.  

“High energy prices seen in recent months are not necessarily a one-off,” warned Goldman Sachs.

Wholesale gas prices jumped in the second half of 2021 against a backdrop of a global shortage of supplies. Demand has bounced back with the COVID-19 pandemic easing off, and European gas prices soared to record highs in mid-December.

Prices have since fallen back from these levels, thanks to shipments of liquefied natural gas reaching Europe.

Goldman Sachs analysts warned it was too early to declare the energy crisis over, and concerns could continue not only through the coming summer but until 2025.

 


Up to $600m in additional tariffs on Saudi exports to the US

Updated 23 February 2026
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Up to $600m in additional tariffs on Saudi exports to the US

RIYADH: Gulf exports have become targets of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which he raised from 10 percent to 15 percent on all countries.

The increase comes after the US Supreme Court ruled that the legal basis Trump had used to impose earlier tariffs was unlawful.

Previously, Gulf countries were among the few that had not raised their tariffs above 10 percent, while many other countries, most notably China, had already been subject to higher tariffs. However, with this latest increase, the Gulf states will be among those affected.

According to the financial analysis unit of Al-Eqtisadiah newspaper, Gulf exports to the US in 2024 amounted to about $26.2 billion, with Saudi Arabia accounting for roughly half of that, at $12.7 billion. These exports are subject to potential additional tariffs of SR637 million ($169 million).

It is likely that tariffs on Saudi exports will grow from $1.3 billion annually to $1.9 billion, a rise of 50 percent, following Trump’s recent increase.

Customs duties on Gulf exports will also increase, from $2.6 billion annually to $3.9 billion.

In 2024, Gulf exports are distributed as follows: $7.5 billion from the UAE, $1.8 billion from Qatar, and $1.6 billion from Kuwait, as well as $1.3 billion from Oman, and finally, $1.2 billion from Bahrain.

Gulf trade with the US in 2024 reached approximately $86 billion, comprised of $26.2 billion in exports and approximately $60 billion in imports, resulting in a Gulf trade deficit of $33.5 billion.

Trump responds to Supreme Court ruling

US President Donald Trump raised the global tariffs from 10 percent to 15 percent in response to the US Supreme Court ruling that his previous tariff implementation mechanism was unlawful.

Trump said in a post on his Truth Social account today: “As President of the US, I will, effective immediately, raise the global tariffs imposed on countries that have been taking advantage of the US for decades with impunity (until I took over!) to the legally permitted and tested level of 15 percent.”

Hours after the Supreme Court ruling on Feb. 20, Trump imposed a 10 percent global tariff on foreign goods, a move aimed at maintaining his trade agenda.

Trump had expressed his displeasure with the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the tariffs imposed by his administration, asserting that the ruling would not restrict him. He vowed to impose tariffs far exceeding those struck down by the court, indicating that he had stronger alternatives to tariffs, raising questions about his future trade strategy.

The US Supreme Court struck down Trump’s sweeping global tariffs, undermining his signature economic policy and inflicting his biggest legal defeat since returning to the White House.

By a six-three vote, the court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority by invoking the federal emergency powers law to impose his reciprocal tariffs worldwide, in addition to targeted import duties that the administration claims are intended to combat fentanyl smuggling.