Abu Dhabi crown prince to visit Turkey amid hopes of ‘new era’ in relations

Abu Dhabi's Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan (Reuters/File)
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Updated 18 November 2021
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Abu Dhabi crown prince to visit Turkey amid hopes of ‘new era’ in relations

  • Despite trade plans, bilateral ties would be ‘tested over geopolitical hotspots like Libya’: Analyst

ANKARA: As part of an ongoing reconciliation process, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan was expected to meet Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Turkey over the coming days, marking the highest-level visit to date after years of tensions between the two countries.

A reciprocal trip was also likely to go ahead, while authorities from both nations will meet on Nov. 23 for a business forum in Dubai.

“Such a rapprochement between the UAE and Turkey, this strong cooperation for the resolution of problems, is a good thing,” Turkish ruling Justice and Development Party spokesperson, Omer Celik, recently said, adding that Ankara had a “far-reaching action plan and a frank approach” for resolving regional conflicts.

Experts noted that the visit of the UAE’s de facto ruler would focus on boosting economic and business ties as a first step to building bridges between the two countries.

The UAE’s wealth funds would be offered with possible investment opportunities during the meeting, with energy and defense sectors featuring heavily, a Turkish official, who wished to remain anonymous, said.

A meeting in August between Erdogan and the UAE’s national security adviser, Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al-Nahyan, was followed by several business deals between the two countries.

The UAE has already made investments in Turkey’s best-known e-commerce firm Trendyol and rapid delivery startup Getir that tripled its valuation to more than $7.5 billion after having expanded since January in Paris, Berlin, London, Amsterdam, and the US.

Soner Cagaptay, director of the Turkish research program at the Washington Institute, told Arab News: “The UAE and its allies, especially Saudi Arabia and Egypt, found Turkey’s recent steps to restrict the Muslim Brotherhood’s activities on Turkish soil as very positive signals because they consider the MB as the greatest domestic and external security threat.”

As part of its regional detente with Egypt, Ankara in March pressed a number of Istanbul-based MB-affiliated opposition channels to tone down their negative coverage of Cairo.

Cagaptay said: “In the meantime, as Turkey and the UAE seek to restore ties, it is not a coincidence that the exiled mafia boss Sedat Peker, believed to be living in the Emirates, took a back step in implicating Turkish rulers for various alleged crimes.

“Although Peker’s allegations should be taken with a pinch of salt, this is a sweetener that the UAE may have offered Turkey to show its sincerity for normalization. Peker’s claims could have been quite damaging for the Turkish government if they continued.

“Turkey wants to jumpstart the economy in order to consolidate Erdogan’s voter base, while the UAE will make a lot of money from the lucrative business opportunities. They will therefore build bridges on a win-win basis,” he added.

The two countries aim to double their bilateral trade volume, which currently stands at around $9 billion.

According to Galip Dalay, an associate fellow at Chatham House and researcher at the University of Oxford, a broader regional strategic picture was evolving with the withdrawal of US President Joe Biden from the region, which had caused unpredictability among regional countries trying to build new alliances.

But he pointed out that Ankara and Abu Dhabi were for now unlikely to discuss challenging issues.

“As there are still some political differences between the UAE and Turkey, having supported opposing sides in the Libyan civil war and the conflicts over the eastern Mediterranean, I expect that the two countries will concentrate their efforts on economic ties rather than taking strategic steps immediately to de-escalate on the political front,” Dalay said.

However, he was skeptical as to how far Turkey would allow Abu Dhabi to go in terms of investment.

“There are some strategic sectors in the defense industry where Turkey may not be willing to permit investment or Ankara may bring some rules and restrictions on critical aspects like know-how transfer,” he added.

He noted that bilateral ties would continue to be tested over geopolitical hotspots such as Libya where compromises on both sides would show whether the recent reconciliation moves were part of a permanent de-escalation of a shorter-term rapprochement.


EU designates Iran's Iran’s Revolutionary Guard as ‘terrorist organization’

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EU designates Iran's Iran’s Revolutionary Guard as ‘terrorist organization’

BRUSSELS: The European Union agreed Thursday to designate Iran’s Revolutionary Guard a “terrorist organization” over a deadly crackdown on mass protests, sending a powerful message of condemnation to Tehran.
“This was long overdue,” EU chief Ursula von der Leyen posted online after foreign ministers from the bloc took the decision.
“’Terrorist’ is indeed how you call a regime that crushes its own people’s protests in blood.”
Though largely symbolic, the EU move has already drawn a warning from Tehran it would have “destructive consequences.”
The 27-nation bloc meanwhile also adopted visa bans and asset freezes on 21 state entities and Iranian officials — including the interior minister, prosecutor general and regional IRGC commanders — over the repression.
Iranian authorities acknowledge that thousands were killed during the protests, giving a toll of over 3,000 people, but say the majority were members of the security forces or bystanders killed by “rioters.”
Rights groups say the toll is far higher, potentially in the tens of thousands, and note that protesters were killed by security forces including the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) directly firing on them.

France, Italy shift

The IRGC is the ideological arm of Tehran’s military and was created after the 1979 revolution to protect the clerical leadership. The Guards control or own companies across the Iranian economy, including major strategic sectors.
“The estimate is that still the diplomatic channels will remain open even after the listing of the Revolutionary Guards,” the EU’s top diplomat Kaja Kallas said earlier Thursday.
The EU action against the IRGC comes after France announced Wednesday it backed the move, following a similar shift from Italy.
Hailed by Iran’s arch-foe Israel as a “historic decision,” the step matches similar classification enacted by the United States, Canada and Australia.
Paris had widely been seen as reluctant to act against the IRGC due to fears over the impact on Europeans detained in the country and a wish to keep diplomatic ties open.
“There can be no impunity for the crimes committed,” French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot told reporters on arrival in Brussels.
“This decision is also an appeal by France to the Iranian authorities to release the prisoners thrown by thousands into the regime’s prisons, to end the executions that are perpetuating the most violent repression in Iran’s modern history,” he said.
Barrot urged Tehran to end an Internet blackout and “give back to the Iranian people the capacity to choose their own future.”
The EU has already sanctioned several hundred Iranian officials and entities over crackdowns on previous protest movements and over Tehran’s support for Russia’s war on Ukraine.
The IRGC as a whole and senior commanders are already under EU sanctions, meaning that adding them to the terror blacklist is expected to have little practical impact on the organization.