OPEC+ agrees to stick to output level plan despite US pressure

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Updated 05 November 2021
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OPEC+ agrees to stick to output level plan despite US pressure

  • Decision in line with the OPEC+ agreement to put out 400,000 barrels a day a month till the end of 2022

CAIRO/RIYADH: The members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, otherwise known as OPEC+, decided today to continue same output hike plan thus defying calls from US to ramp up production levels by up to double of what they additionally pump to the market monthly.

Russian deputy minister Alexander Novak told a press conference that this decision is in line with the OPEC+ agreement to put out 400,000 barrels a day a month till the end of 2022.

All OPEC+ ministers today pointed to a surplus in the oil market in early 2022, which makes their decision not to go beyond the agreed amount reasonable to them. The US, however, doesn't share that view and its administration sees that OPEC+ is withholding deliberately supplies.

Speaking at the same press conference, Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman refuted such claims saying that OPEC+ is a responsible oil producing group and a market regulator that is doing a “good job”, while his UAE counterpart, Suhail AlMazrouei, said that the group doesn’t target a specific oil price.

"OPEC+ will secure enough supply to the market on timely basis," said Mohammad Al-Fares, Kuwait's Minister of Oil. "All scenarios point to a surplus in the oil market in 2022."

Several countries — including the US — have called on the alliance to raise its production levels, yet the group seems to be persistent on its plans.

The White House wants OPEC+ to increase its monthly supply ceiling to the range of 600,000-800,000 thousand barrels a day, according to delegates and diplomats cited by Bloomberg. 

This is compared to the current 400,000 barrels a day plan. 

Brent crude oil price was up by 0.85 percent to $82.69 a barrel as of 11:43 am Riyadh time while US Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) increased to $81.41 per barrel at 11:59 am Riyadh time. 

Investors seem to expect that the OPEC+ meeting will not result in increasing output despite a possible rise in oil exports from Tehran following the resumption of the country’s nuclear talks with the US later this month.

This comes at a time when the US president is pressuring oil producers to raise their output levels to avoid mounting inflationary pressures due to soaring energy prices. 

This might risk America’s economic agenda, Bloomberg reported. Also, many countries, most notably China, seem to be suffering from power shortages in the current period.

However, there are fears that some countries such as Angola and Nigeria are missing their targets and that the 400,000 goal will not be achieved.

Japan and India have also joined the US in its call for more oil production.

However, oil-exporting countries seem likely to brush off these requests. 

Saudi energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, said that the alliance doesn’t expect shortages in crude oil in the market. In addition, Kuwait and Iraq announced recently that they remain supportive of plans to raise oil by 400,000 barrels per day.


US pump prices surge as Iran war upends global energy supply

Updated 07 March 2026
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US pump prices surge as Iran war upends global energy supply

  • Fuel prices jump over 10 percent as oil prices surge
  • Analysts predict further price rises due to market conditions

MARIETTA/NEW YORK : US retail gasoline and diesel prices are soaring as the US-Israel war with Iran constrains oil and fuel exports, which could be a political test for President Donald Trump’s Republican Party ahead of midterm ​elections in November.
Fuel prices jumped more than 10 percent this week as oil rose above $90 a barrel, its highest in years, adding pain at the pump for consumers already strained by inflation.
Trump on Thursday shrugged off higher gasoline prices in an interview with Reuters, saying “if they rise, they rise.”
The president had vowed to lower energy prices and unleash US oil and gas drilling during his second term, but much of his tenure has been marked by volatility and uncertainty amid shifts in policies like tariffs and geopolitical turmoil.
The US is the world’s largest oil producer. It is a major exporter but also imports millions of barrels a day since it is the world’s largest oil consumer.
As of Friday, the national average prices for regular gasoline stood at $3.32 a gallon, up 11 percent from a ‌week ago and ‌the highest since September 2024, according to data from the motorists association AAA. Diesel was at $4.33, ​up ‌15 percent ⁠from a week ​ago, ⁠surging to the highest since November 2023.

Midwest, south feel the pinch
US motorists in parts of the Midwest and the South, including states that supported Trump, have seen some of the steepest increases in fuel costs since the conflict in Iran started.
In Georgia, a swing state, average retail gasoline prices rose 40.1 cents a gallon over the past week, according to fuel tracking site GasBuddy.
Andrenna McDaniel, a health care insurance worker in South Fulton, Georgia, said she was surprised to see prices skyrocket overnight.
“They jumped up so quickly,” she said on Friday, adding that she does not agree with the war at all.
McDaniel, a Democrat, said that for now she is only driving for the most important things, ⁠and feels lucky that she works from home so she does not have to drive as ‌much as other people do. Georgia voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
Trump voter ‌Richard Soule, 69, a US Air Force veteran and a retired firefighter, said ​a little pain at the pump is worth Trump’s efforts to ‌protect America.
“When President Trump went in there and bombed out their nuclear, and they just thumbed their nose at it, ‌I believe he did the right thing at the right time,” Soule said on Friday as he filled up his Ford F-150 truck in Marietta, Georgia.
Other states, including Indiana and West Virginia have seen prices rise by 44.3 cents and 43.9 cents, respectively.

Prices may rise further
More pain may be on the way, analysts said, as oil prices continue to trend upward. On Friday, US oil futures settled at $90.90 a barrel, up nearly $10 and ‌the biggest single-day rise since April 2020.
“Given current market conditions, the national average price of gasoline could climb toward $3.50 to $3.70 per gallon in the coming days if oil continues rising and supply ⁠disruptions persist,” GasBuddy analyst Patrick De ⁠Haan said.
The disruptions in the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz, a key trade conduit, have boosted demand for US oil abroad, which in turn has driven up prices for domestic refiners too.
“The US has weaned itself off of its dependence on Middle Eastern crude, but obviously Asian refineries, and to a lesser extent, European refineries have not,” Denton Cinquegrana, chief oil analyst with OPIS. “That’s what you’re seeing happen in the spot market, because the demand for US exports rise, and so the price rise.”
Seasonal factors could add further pressure. Gasoline prices typically go up in the spring and peak in the summer due to higher gasoline demand and production of summer-blend gasoline, which is more costly to produce. Diesel fuel saw an even more aggressive jump since Iran began retaliating against US and Israeli strikes, significantly disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
Global diesel inventories have remained in tight supply due to heavy demand for heating and power generation during a prolonged winter in the US and other parts of the world and a structural tightness of refining ​capacity. Sticker prices of everything from food to furniture go up ​when the cost of diesel goes up, as the fuel is mainly used in freight transportation, manufacturing, agriculture, and global shipping, analysts said.
“In a world where buzzword seems to be ‘affordability’, that is certainly not going to help,” Cinquegrana said.