Exorbitant Gulf remittance costs ripe for disruption: S&P

Fees, commission and foreign exchange revenues typically account for 20 percent of GCC banks revenue base. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 06 June 2021
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Exorbitant Gulf remittance costs ripe for disruption: S&P

  • Remittance flows to the Middle East and North Africa region rose by 2.3 percent to about $56 billion in 2020

DUBAI: Gulf banks offering expensive remittance services risk being disrupted by new entrants doing the same job for a fraction of the cost, a seminar heard on Sunday.
“We live in a region where with the exception of Saudi Arabia more than 80 percent of the population is made up of expats. These folks send $100 billion back home every year and the cost of sending that money is sometimes exorbitant — especially if you send the money from here to another emerging market,” Mohamed Damak, a senior director at S&P said during an online seminar.
Remittance flows to the Middle East and North Africa region rose by 2.3 percent to about $56 billion in 2020. But the cost of sending money to and from Gulf states varies hugely.
The World Bank estimates that the cost of sending money from high-income countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development to Lebanon remains very high, mostly in the double digits. On the other hand, sending money from GCC countries to Egypt and Jordan costs around 3 percent in some corridors, it said.
Fees, commission and foreign exchange revenues typically account for 20 percent of GCC banks revenue base — representing an attractive prize for new entrants with a better value proposition.
“A fintech that offers the same service of transferring the money from point A to point B with a fraction of the cost ... and immediately, versus a situation where you have to wait for a few days or sometimes a few weeks if you are sending to a remote emerging market — I think it will definitely have the attention of people immediately,” said Damak.

 


European gas prices soar almost 50% as Iran conflict halts Qatar LNG output

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European gas prices soar almost 50% as Iran conflict halts Qatar LNG output

  • Analysts warn prolonged disruption could push prices higher
  • Some shipments of oil, LNG through Strait of Hormuz suspended
  • Benchmark Asian LNG price up almost 39 percent

LONDON: ​Benchmark Dutch and British wholesale gas prices soared by almost 50 percent on Monday, after major liquefied natural gas exporter Qatar Energy said it had halted production due to attacks in the Middle East.

Qatar, soon to cement its role as the world’s second largest LNG exporter after the US, plays a major role in balancing both Asian and European markets’ demand of LNG.

Most tanker owners, oil majors and ‌trading houses ‌have suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural ​gas shipments ‌via ⁠the ​Strait of ⁠Hormuz, trade sources said, after Tehran warned ships against moving through the waterway.

Europe has increased imports of LNG over the past few years as it seeks to phase out Russian gas following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Around 20 percent of the world’s LNG transits through the Strait of Hormuz and a prolonged suspension or full closure would increase global competition for other ⁠sources of the gas, driving up prices internationally.

“Disruptions to ‌LNG flows would reignite competition between ‌Asia and Europe for available cargoes,” said ​Massimo Di Odoardo, vice president, gas ‌and LNG research at Wood Mackenzie.

The Dutch front-month contract at the ‌TTF hub, seen as a benchmark price for Europe, was up €14.56 at €46.52 per megawatt hour, or around $15.92/mmBtu, by 12:55 p.m. GMT, ICE data showed.

Prices were already some 25 percent higher earlier in the day but extended gains ‌after QatarEnergy’s production halt.

Benchmark Asian LNG prices jumped almost 39 percent on Monday morning with the S&P Global ⁠Energy Japan-Korea-Marker, widely used ⁠as an Asian LNG benchmark, at $15.068 per million British thermal units, Platts data showed.

“If LNG/gas markets start to price in an extended period of losses to Qatari LNG supply, TTF could potentially spike to 80-100 euros/MWh ($28-35/mmBtu),” Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING, said. The British April contract was up 40.83 pence at 119.40 pence per therm, ICE data showed.

Europe is also relying on LNG imports to help fill its gas storage sites which have been depleted over the winter and are currently around 30 percent full, the latest data from Gas Infrastructure ​Europe showed. In the European carbon ​market, the benchmark contract was down €1.10 at €69.17 a tonne