Will Gulf banks suffer from ‘long-COVID?’

Saudi and Qatar’s banking sectors will be less impacted than those in the UAE, Oman, and Bahrain. (File/Shutterstock)
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Updated 14 March 2021
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Will Gulf banks suffer from ‘long-COVID?’

  • As many businesses have ground to a halt over the last year, companies have struggled to repay loans on time while individual borrowers have also defaulted on payments

DUBAI: Gulf banks are expected to experience a long lasting impact from the pandemic as asset quality deteriorates, Moody’s said.
Saudi and Qatar’s banking sectors will be less impacted than those in the UAE, Oman, and Bahrain, the rating agency said.
“We expect banks’ asset-quality indicators will continue to deteriorate and cost of risk to remain high as they start recognizing the true impact of 2020 and forbearance measures are lifted in second-half 2021,” said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Mohamed Damak. “That said, strong and stable capital buffers, good funding profiles, and expected government support should continue to support banks’ creditworthiness in 2021.”
As many businesses have ground to a halt over the last year, companies have struggled to repay loans on time while individual borrowers have also defaulted on payments, forcing banks to put more money aside to cover potential losses.
Moody’s sees the oil price averaging $60 per barrel this year and next while big ticket events such as Dubai Expo and the FIFA World Cup in Qatar next year are expected to spur economic growth.
The regional real estate sector is likely to remain subdued with Dubai’s supply overhang preventing any short to medium term recovery.
However the Saudi mortgage sector has emerged as one potential bright spot in the region.
“In Saudi, mortgage lending continues to expand due to the authorities’ objective of increasing home ownership, while in Qatar government projects are boosting growth,” Moody’s said.
After soaring by 60 percent last year, the cost of risk of regional lenders is likely to remain elevated this ye

 


Kuwait to boost Islamic finance with sukuk regulation

Updated 05 February 2026
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Kuwait to boost Islamic finance with sukuk regulation

  • The move supports sustainable financing and is part of Kuwait’s efforts to diversify its oil-dependent economy

RIYADH: Kuwait is planning to introduce legislation to regulate the issuance of sukuk, or Islamic bonds, both domestically and internationally, as part of efforts to support more sustainable financing for the oil-rich Gulf nation, Prime Minister Sheikh Ahmad Abdullah Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah said on Wednesday.

Speaking at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, Al-Sabah highlighted that Kuwait is exploring a variety of debt instruments to diversify its economy. The country has been implementing fiscal reforms aimed at stimulating growth and controlling its budget deficit amid persistently low oil prices. Hydrocarbons continue to dominate Kuwait’s revenue stream, accounting for nearly 90 percent of government income in 2024.

The Gulf Cooperation Council’s debt capital market is projected to exceed $1.25 trillion by 2026, driven by project funding and government initiatives, representing a 13.6 percent expansion, according to Fitch Ratings.

The region is expected to remain one of the largest sources of US dollar-denominated debt and sukuk issuance among emerging markets. Fitch also noted that cross-sector economic diversification, refinancing needs, and deficit funding are key factors behind this growth.

“We are about to approve the first legislation regulating issuance of government sukuk locally and internationally, in accordance with Islamic laws,” Al-Sabah said.

“This enables us to deal with financial challenges flexibly and responsibly, and to plan for medium and long-term finances.”

Kuwait returned to global debt markets last year with strong results, raising $11.25 billion through a three-part bond sale — the country’s first US dollar issuance since 2017 — drawing substantial investor demand. In March, a new public debt law raised the borrowing ceiling to 30 billion dinars ($98 billion) from 10 billion dinars, enabling longer-term borrowing.

The Gulf’s debt capital markets, which totaled $1.1 trillion at the end of the third quarter of 2025, have evolved from primarily sovereign funding tools into increasingly sophisticated instruments serving governments, banks, and corporates alike. As diversification efforts accelerate and refinancing cycles intensify, regional issuers have become regular participants in global debt markets, reinforcing the GCC’s role in emerging-market capital flows.

In 2025, GCC countries accounted for 35 percent of all emerging-market US dollar debt issuance, excluding China, with growth in US dollar sukuk issuance notably outpacing conventional bonds. The region’s total outstanding debt capital markets grew more than 14 percent year on year, reaching $1.1 trillion.