‘Saudi surprise’ output cut fuels oil price surge past $60 a barrel

Christyan Malek: “I can see the oil price overshooting significantly all the way up to $100.” (Odessa American via AP)
Short Url
Updated 09 February 2021
Follow

‘Saudi surprise’ output cut fuels oil price surge past $60 a barrel

  • MSCI’s 50-country index of world stocks hit its ninth record high of 2021 overnight as Tokyo’s Nikkei jumped on talk of Japan’s relaxing emergency restrictions
  • Saudi Arabia’s pledge of extra output cuts in February and March on the back of reductions by other OPEC members is helping to limit supply and support prices

DUBAI: The price of crude oil rose above $60 a barrel on Monday for the first time in over a year, fueled by the “Saudi surprise” cut in output.
Brent, the global benchmark, touched $60.20, up more than 15 percent since the start of the year. West Texas Intermediate, the US benchmark that briefly fell into negative territory last April, leapt above $57 a barrel, also a 12-month high.
Analysts raised their price targets for 2021, and gave most of the credit for the recent rise to Saudi Arabia’s decision in January to cut an extra 1 million barrels a day from global oil supply for two months.
Bassam Fattouh, director of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, said: “Since the announcement of the cut, the oil price rallied despite the reintroduction of lockdowns in many parts of the world.”

Opinion

This section contains relevant reference points, placed in (Opinion field)

The Saudi decision averted a confrontation between the majority of the 23-strong OPEC+ alliance, who wanted to postpone scheduled increases in supply in the face of continued market fragility, and Russia, which wanted to maximize output.
Some analysts believe oil is in for a further big jump this year, as economic recovery, especially in Asia, stimulates demand under tight supply conditions.
Christyan Malek, head of oil and gas research at US investment bank JP Morgan — who has predicted the surge in crude prices for some time — told Arab News: “I can see the oil price overshooting significantly all the way up to $100.”

********

READ MORE: 

How Saudi Arabia’s New Year ‘present’ got oil back above $60

Saudi Arabia cuts stopped oil plunging to $50 a barrel: report

*********

He said environmental and financial restrictions on US shale oil under the Biden administration could lead to a new “supercycle” in oil markets. “We’re already at $60 and we’ve hardly seen any planes back in the air,” he said.
Norbert Rucker, head of economics at Swiss bank Julius Baer, said: “We raise our near-term oil-price target to $65, and oil prices could spike above $70 by mid-year.”
When he announced the extra cut last month, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdul Aziz bin Salman said he was acting as the “guardian of the oil industry” in support of the Saudi economy and the economies of OPEC+ countries.
All eyes will now be on the next meeting of OPEC+ early next month, when a key decision will have to be made about future supply. The Saudi cut will expire at the beginning of April, adding to global supply.


G7 countries to release oil reserves as IEA agrees to largest ever market intervention

Updated 11 March 2026
Follow

G7 countries to release oil reserves as IEA agrees to largest ever market intervention

  • IEA recommends release of 400 million barrels

RIYADH: Germany, Japan and Austria will release part of their oil reserves after the International Energy Agency recommended the release of 400 million barrels of oil ‌from stockpiles, the largest ‌such move in IEA ​history.

In a statement, IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said the flow of oil, gas and other commodities through the Strait of Hormuz have all but stopped, leading global energy supply to fall by around 20 percent.

Ahead of the confirmation of the move — a larger intervention than the 182.7 million barrels that were released in 2022 by in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — several countries began setting out plans to bring their reserves into play as countries grapple with ​soaring crude prices amid ​the US-Israeli war with Iran. 

Birol said: “I can now announce that IEA countries have decided to launch the largest ever release of emergency oil stocks in our agency's history. 

“IEA countries will be making 400 million barrels of oil available to the market to offset the supply lost through the effective closure of the strait.

“This is a major action aiming to alleviate the immediate impacts of the disruption in markets.”

Germany’s Economy ⁠Minister ​Katherina Reiche ⁠confirmed on Wednesday her government plans to limit petrol price increases at filling stations to once a day and to introduce more stringent antitrust regulation of the sector.

She did not ⁠give an exact timing for ‌those measures, but added that ‌the US and ​Japan would be the ‌largest contributors to the release of the ‌oil reserves.

The US has not confirmed it would do so, but its Interior Secretary Doug Burgum told Fox News on Wednesday that “these are the kinds of moments that these reserves are used for.”

The announcements did not stop oil prices rising, with Brent crude up 3.26 percent to $90.66 a barrel at 4:29 p.m Saudi time, and West Texas Intermediate up 3.12 percent to $86.05. Both were some way below the $119 a barrel seen earlier in the week.

“The situation regarding oil supplies is tense, as the Strait of Hormuz is currently virtually impassable,” Germany’s Reiche said.

“We will comply with this request and ‌contribute our share, because Germany stands behind the IEA’s most important principle: mutual ⁠solidarity,” Reiche ⁠said about the IEA’s request.

According to a statement by Reiche’s ministry, Germany will contribute 2.64 million tonnes of oil. This corresponds to 19.51 million barrels.

Reiche stressed there was no supply shortage in the country, which has a legally mandated reserve of oil and oil products intended to cover 90 days’ demand.

South Korea will release 22.46 million ​barrels of oil, which represents 5.6 percent of the total IEA ask, the ⁠country's industry ministry said.

“The government will consult with the IEA ⁠secretariat on details, such ‌as ‌the ​timing ‌and amount, from ‌the perspective of national interests in accordance with domestic conditions,” ‌the ministry said in a statement.

The ⁠ministry ⁠said it would continue to coordinate closely with major countries in responding to high oil prices to minimise any domestic ​impact.

Austrian Economy Minister Wolfgang Hattmannsdorfer said his country was releasing part of the emergency oil reserve and extending the national strategic gas reserve, adding: “One thing is clear: in a crisis, there must be no crisis winners at the expense of commuters and businesses.”

Acting ahead of the IEA move, G7 ​member Japan announced plans to release 15 days' worth of ‌private-sector oil reserves and one month's worth of state oil reserves.

“Rather than wait for formal IEA approval ‌of a coordinated international reserve release, Japan will act first to ease global energy market supply and demand, releasing reserves as early as the 16th of this month,” Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said in a broadcast statement.

Following a meeting with the IEA on Wednesday, G7 energy ministers said: “In principle, we support the implementation of proactive measures to address the situation, including the use of strategic reserves.”

All IEA member countries are required to keep 90 days’ worth of their nation’s oil use in reserve in case of global disruption.