US unemployment rate likely to get worse: Mnuchin

People line up at The Community Kitchen and Food Pantry in New York. The Food Bank of New York City in conjunction with this food pantry is distributing food and flowers to mark the Mother’s Day. (AFP)
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Updated 11 May 2020
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US unemployment rate likely to get worse: Mnuchin

  • Joblessness rate in the country surged to 14.7% in April, says Labor Department

WASHINGTON:  The staggering US unemployment rate reported by the government on Friday amid coronavirus lockdowns may get even worse, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Sunday.

“The reported numbers are probably going to get worse before they get better,” Mnuchin told the Fox News Sunday program.

The unemployment rate surged to 14.7 percent in April, the Department of Labor reported. That shattered the post-World War Two record of 10.8 percent touched in November 1982.

Mnuchin indicated the White House was talking about more fiscal measures to ease the economic pain from the pandemic. But he said the federal government did not want to bail out states that were “poorly” managed.

However, economic adviser Larry Kudlow expressed optimism that the US economy would register a sharp recovery in the second half of the year, with Kudlow predicting “a tremendous snapback” in 2021.

Kudlow was asked on ABC’s “This Week” how US businesses could reopen with confidence when the White House — where virus protections are far more rigorous than most Americans enjoy — has recently seen at least two staff members infected.

Those cases, Kudlow said, represented a “small fraction” of the 500 or so staff members working in the White House complex.

He added that the combination of federal and state guidelines, coupled with private-sector innovation, should allow relatively safe reopening.

HIGHLIGHT

  • Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin indicates the White House is talking about more fiscal measures to ease the economic pain from the pandemic.

But he emphasized that the bottom-line responsibility would be not on government but on individual businesses.

“I think that businesses, large and small, are probably going to wind up leading this charge as we attempt to reopen the economy,” he said.

Both Kudlow and Mnuchin stressed that undue delay in reopening would also come at a cost.

“I think there’s a considerable risk of NOT reopening,” the Treasury secretary said on Fox.

“You’re talking about what would be permanent economic damage to the American public, and we’re going to reopen in a very thoughtful way that gets people back to work safely.”

Kudlow, pushing back on reports of growing partisan tensions over another tranche of emergency relief, said informal talks with Democrats were under way.

But both he and Mnuchin emphasized the need to move with caution.

“We just want to make sure that before we jump back in and spend another few trillion of taxpayers’ money, that we do it carefully,” Mnuchin said.

The White House has some of the most rigorous precautions of any US venue at the moment. The president, vice president and many others are tested daily.

But President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence have frequently defied the government’s own guidance about wearing protective masks.

Three members of the White House’s coronavirus task force — including top expert Anthony Fauci — are now self-isolating after potential exposure to the pathogen, US media reported Saturday.

Officials confirmed Friday that Pence’s press secretary had tested positive for the virus.

Earlier in the week, a White House valet who served Trump tested positive.


Non-hydrocarbon sector drives Qatar’s 2.9% growth in Q3 

Updated 37 sec ago
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Non-hydrocarbon sector drives Qatar’s 2.9% growth in Q3 

RIYADH: Qatar’s real gross domestic product increased by 2.9 percent year on year in the third quarter of 2025, supported primarily by strong performance in the non-hydrocarbon sector, which recorded growth of 4.4 percent. 

Data released by the National Planning Council show that estimated GDP at constant prices reached 186.1 billion Qatari riyals ($51 billion) in the third quarter of 2025, up from 180.9 billion riyals during the same period last year, according to figures cited by the Qatar News Agency. 

This outcome is consistent with recent analysis by the International Monetary Fund, which noted that economies across the Gulf Cooperation Council are expected to sustain growth momentum despite heightened global uncertainty. The IMF attributed this resilience to robust non-oil activity, firm domestic demand, and the continued rollout of structural reforms across the region. 

The results also align with the IMF’s forecast that overall GCC output will accelerate to an average of 3.3 percent in 2025, compared with 1.7 percent in 2024, as member states gradually unwind oil production cuts agreed under the OPEC+ framework. 

According to QNA, non-hydrocarbon activities accounted for 65.5 percent of real GDP, with value added rising to 121.9 billion riyals in the third quarter of 2025, compared with 116.8 billion riyals in the corresponding period of 2024. This represents an annual increase of 4.4 percent and remains in line with the goals of the Third National Development Strategy and Qatar National Vision 2030. 

Within the non-hydrocarbon economy, construction, wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, as well as accommodation and food service activities, emerged as the fastest-growing sectors on an annual basis, expanding by 9.1 percent, 8.9 percent, and 6.4 percent, respectively. 

The statement added that this growth reflects stronger domestic demand, increased visitor activity, and the continued execution of infrastructure and public sector projects, with positive spillover effects across services and trade-related industries. 

NPC Secretary-General Abdulaziz bin Nasser bin Mubarak Al-Khalifa said the results underscore “the strength of the Qatari economy and the continuation of the economic diversification path,” noting that real growth driven by non-hydrocarbon activities confirms the effectiveness of economic and development policies. He added that these policies are enhancing the contribution of productive and service sectors in line with the Third National Development Strategy and reinforcing the national economy’s capacity to achieve sustainable and balanced growth over the medium and long term. 

During the third quarter, 15 out of 17 economic activities recorded positive real growth, highlighting the breadth and resilience of Qatar’s economic base. 

The National Statistics Centre, which operates under the NPC, continues to enhance GDP measurement methodologies, with recent revisions applied to third quarter estimates. 

As part of broader efforts to align national accounts with international best practices, a comprehensive review of Qatar’s national accounts is currently underway and is expected to be completed by the first quarter of 2026.