Pakistan price squeeze hits middle class as well as poor

A vendor arranges different types of rice, with their prices displayed, at his shop at a wholesale market in Karachi, Pakistan April 2, 2019. (REUTERS)
Updated 19 July 2019
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Pakistan price squeeze hits middle class as well as poor

  • A $6 billion IMF bailout with stringent conditions has led to rising prices and tough austerity policies
  • Economic growth, which reached 5.5% in June 2018, is expected to slow to 2.4% this year

ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Imran Khan’s government faces mounting pressure as rising prices and tough austerity policies under Pakistan’s latest bailout from the International Monetary Fund are squeezing the middle class that helped carry it to power.
Rashid Mehmood owns a small shop selling children’s clothing in Aabpara, the oldest market in the capital, Islamabad. He says he has faced a critical decline in sales over the past year, pointing to Khan’s election last August. 
The last six months had been “particularly harsh”, he said.
“Do you see any customers coming into my store?” he asked as he stood in his empty shop, decorated with brightly colored leggings and dresses.
He said had not made a sale in a week.
In normal times, Mehmood’s store serves the kind of middle-class shoppers who in recent years have been behind an import-led consumption splurge that propped up growth and helped hide the problems of an economy riddled with inefficiency and without a strong export base.
Fed by low-interest rates, heavy borrowing and an over-valued rupee currency that, for a time at least, allowed imports to pour in, consumption gave an illusion of growth that has now been replaced by a severe economic hangover.
Like so many of its predecessors, Khan’s government, which came to power vowing to root out corruption and create millions of jobs, has been forced to turn to the IMF to prevent a balance-of-payments crisis as the money runs out. 
Economic growth, which reached 5.5% in the fiscal year to June 2018, is expected to slow to 2.4% this financial year, according to IMF estimates, barely enough to keep pace with the growth in a population that now numbers 208 million.
The rupee has lost about a quarter of its value in a slide that has driven up fuel costs and helped push a relentless increase in prices for food and other necessities.
The central bank, which this week raised interest rates to 13.25%, expects inflation to average as much as 12% this year.
As ever, the poorest have been hit hardest. But the squeeze on middle-income households poses a special challenge for Khan, who has enjoyed wide support among an urban middle class that has grown over the past two decades as poverty levels have come down from two thirds of the population to about a quarter.
Further along in Aabpara market, Abida Jahan has come with her family from Haripur town, a couple of hours drive away, after the food-processing factory her husband worked in was shut down. They are looking for a gift to celebrate their daughter’s 13th birthday.
However, the surge in prices has meant that they will likely go home empty handed.
“This is the same government that promised to decrease oil prices to 45 rupees,” says Abida’s husband, recalling that Khan’s PTI party had promised to halve the price of fuel and build a new welfare state.
SHOPPING MALLS
Pakistan’s growing middle class has helped reshape its urban landscape, symbolizing a promise of upward mobility.
Shopping malls with foreign retail brands and fast-food franchises have proliferated in recent years, serving a middle class who “define themselves by what they can buy and where they can eat”, says Ammara Maqsood, author of The New Pakistani Middle Class.
In the first decade of the century, economic growth fueled by privatization led families to a new prosperity marked by their ability to buy a motorbike, rent a home or send their children to private school.
Now businesses supplying consumers with everything from mobile phones to clothing, motorbikes and cars bought on hire purchase are feeling the squeeze.
“It’s a multiple effect,” said Fatima Azim, chief executive of Azim Motors, which has a joint venture with Japanese car maker Suzuki Motors supplying small cars and motorbikes to mainly lower-middle-class customers.
“Income has not increased at all so no matter what, if they are going to a shopping mall or wherever, they are being affected,” she said.
The government has placed the blame squarely on the corruption of past governments, notably that of former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, who championed big infrastructure projects that spurred growth but drained currency reserves.
Sharif is now serving a seven-year sentence for a corruption conviction he said was politically motivated.
How convincing the government’s argument will be as the crisis bites remains to be seen and a nationwide strike by wholesalers and traders last weekend gave some taste of the growing unhappiness.
“Let’s be honest, it feels like we are the ones who are being punished for forcing out the crooks,” says Fawad Subhani, who owns a domestic appliance store in Islamabad.
“They were thieves, but they were thieves who also had money and friends with money.”


Pakistan, Egypt among countries who pay most in surcharges to IMF— report 

Updated 17 min 9 sec ago
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Pakistan, Egypt among countries who pay most in surcharges to IMF— report 

  • Indebted member countries paid about $6.4 billion in surcharges between 2020-2023, says report by US think tanks 
  • Surcharges do not hasten repayment, instead punish countries already struggling with liquidity constraints, critics say

Countries, mostly middle and lower-income, have been burdened by surcharges on top of interest payments on their borrowings from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), widening global inequities, according to a report by US think tanks. 

WHY IT’S IMPORTANT

Indebted member countries paid about $6.4 billion in surcharges between 2020-2023, the report from Boston University’s Global Development Policy Center and Columbia University’s Initiative for Policy Dialogue released on Tuesday showed.
And the number of countries paying these surcharges has more than doubled in the last four years.
The IMF is expected to charge an estimated $9.8 billion in surcharges in the next five years, according to an earlier report by the Center for Economic and Policy Research.
Critics of the policy argue that surcharges do not hasten repayment and instead punish countries already struggling with liquidity constraints, increase the risk of debt distress and divert scarce resources that could be used to boost the struggling economies.
BY THE NUMBERS
Countries such as Ukraine, Egypt, Argentina, Barbados and Pakistan pay the most in surcharges, the report showed, accounting for 90 percent of the IMF’s surcharge revenues.
These surcharges, levied on top of the fund’s increasingly steeper basic rate, are IMF’s single largest source of revenue, accounting for 50 percent of total revenue in 2023.
KEY QUOTES
“IMF surcharges are inherently pro-cyclical as they increase debt service payments when a borrowing country is most need of emergency financing,” Global Development Policy Center’s director Kevin Gallagher said.
“Increasing surcharges and global shocks are compounding the economic pressure on vulnerable countries.”
CONTEXT
Data published by the Institute of International Finance earlier this year showed global debt levels hit a record of $313 trillion in 2023, while the debt-to-GDP ratio — a reading indicating a country’s ability to pay back debts — across emerging economies also scaled fresh peaks.
IMF shareholders agreed last week on the importance of addressing challenges faced by low-income countries, Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.


ICC names Pakistan’s Sana Mir as Women’s T20 World Cup Qualifier ambassador

Updated 24 April 2024
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ICC names Pakistan’s Sana Mir as Women’s T20 World Cup Qualifier ambassador

  • Sana Mir led Pakistan in 137 of 226 international matches she played during her career
  • Mir says will guide teams and players on how to deal with pressure in the tournament

ISLAMABAD: The International Cricket Council (ICC) on Wednesday named Pakistan’s former iconic cricketer Sana Mir as its ambassador for the upcoming Women’s T20 World Cup Qualifier tournament. 

Former skipper Mir, considered widely as Pakistan’s best woman cricketer to date, will keep a keen eye on the tournament which would see 10 women’s teams battle it out for two spots at the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2024. 

The first four matches of the tournament will take place tomorrow, Thursday, which is scheduled to go on till May 7. 

The 10 teams have been divided into two groups of five, with the top two from each group entering the semifinals. The winning semifinalists confirm a trip to Bangladesh for the T20 World Cup later this year.

“ICC named Sana Mir, who represented Pakistan in 226 international games, 137 of them as skipper, as the ambassador of the Women’s T20 World Cup Qualifier on Wednesday, 24 April,” the cricket regulatory body said in a post on its website. 

Mir told ICC the tournament would provide an excellent opportunity for fans to witness exciting cricket. 

“The women’s game has become more and more competitive in recent years,” Mir said. “And the 10 nations involved in the Qualifier possess a number of quality players.”

Mir featured in several ICC tournaments during her impressive career. Her most memorable one was in the 2008 ICC Women’s Qualifying Series for the Women’s Cricket World Cup where Pakistan went all the way to the finals. 

Sana won the joint Player of the Series award for the tournament. The Pakistani icon said she aims to share her expertise and experience with the international players as ambassador. 

“My aim is to talk to the various teams and players during the Qualifier and help guide them on how to deal with the pressure of these events and what it takes to succeed,” Mir explained. 

“Pakistan had a great record in these events, and I in particular have fond memories of the 2008 edition of the 50 over World Cup qualifier event that I played.”

Mir said that while Sri Lanka and Ireland were favorites to qualify for the World Cup, others had a chance to cause major upsets too. 

“Teams like Scotland, Netherlands, United Arab Emirates, Uganda, and Zimbabwe surely have the potential to cause major upsets,” she said. “And make their way through to the semis and eventually to the final as well.”


Pakistan’s disaster management authority urges citizens to be cautious as heavy rains loom

Updated 12 min 4 sec ago
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Pakistan’s disaster management authority urges citizens to be cautious as heavy rains loom

  • Pakistan’s NDMA says heavy rains expected in KP, Balochistan, Gilgit-Baltistan and Azad Kashmir from Apr. 25-30
  • Disaster management authority warns administrations to prepare for emergencies in vulnerable areas from Apr. 25-30

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) on Wednesday cautioned citizens in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, Azad Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan areas against rising water levels, as it braces for heavy rains in various parts of the country from Apr. 25-30. 

A westerly wave from Apr. 25-30 is expected to bring “significant” rainfall and thunderstorms in Balochistan, KP, the northern Gilgit-Baltistan region, and Azad Kashmir, the NDMA said. 

The disaster management authority said these areas are expected to face heavy to moderate rains, windstorms, and hailstorms while it was expected to snow over high mountains.

“Residents near riverbanks and nullahs should be aware of rising water levels and evacuate if necessary,” the NDMA said. “Citizens are urged to exercise caution, avoid weak structures and waterways, and stay updated on weather conditions.”

It also urged farmers, livestock owners, tourists, and travelers to take protective measures for their safety and properties. 

The NDMA urged authorities to prepare for potential floods and landslides, especially in upper KP, Murree, Galyat, Azad Kashmir, and GB. 

“Authorities should ensure readiness to respond to emergencies, with machinery and staff pre-positioned in vulnerable areas,” it added. 

A spell of heavy rains from April 12-21 in Pakistan’s Punjab, Balochistan and KP killed over 90 people, destroying property and farmlands. Experts say the country is experiencing heavier rains than normal in April because of climate change effects.

In 2022, downpours swelled rivers and at one point flooded a third of Pakistan, killing 1,739 people. The floods also caused $30 billion in damages, from which Pakistan is still trying to rebuild.

Pakistan consistently ranks among the world’s worst-affected countries due to climate change. 


PM Sharif meets business community, Sindh leadership during Karachi visit 

Updated 24 April 2024
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PM Sharif meets business community, Sindh leadership during Karachi visit 

  • This is Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s maiden visit to Pakistan’s financial hub since assuming country’s top political office 
  • PM Sharif says business community “backbone” of Pakistan’s economy, stresses unity to overcome national challenges

KARACHI: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif arrived in Pakistan’s financial hub Karachi on Wednesday on his maiden trip to the city since assuming the top political office, where he held meetings with the provincial leadership and the business community. 

Sharif, who is in Karachi for a day-long visit, visited the mausoleum of Muhammad Ali Jinnah, Pakistan’s founder, to pay his respects after arriving in the city. 

“The prime minister will exchange views with the governor of Sindh and its chief minister on Sindh province’s overall political situation and administration matters,” a statement from Sharif’s office said. 

Sharif presided over a meeting at the Chief Minister House later in which he was informed about the financial matters between the center and the province. 

The chief minister’s spokesperson informed Sharif that the center owed Sindh a whopping Rs1,078.198 billion yet it had handed over Rs28 billion less than that.

“The prime minister instructed the federal finance minister to speak to the chief minister and resolve financial matters,” the chief minister said.

Sharif later announced the addition of 150 buses in Karachi to a fleet of 300, which the provincial government aims to deploy to alleviate the people’s transport woes.

“On the insistence of transport minister, Sharjeel Inaam Memon, prime minister announced 150 buses in the pool of 300 buses,” Abdul Rasheed Channa, the Chief Minister’s House spokesperson said, adding that the prime minister praised the provincial transport department.

Karachi, one of the largest cities in the world with a population of 20.3 million people, has 25,000 buses operating on over 700 routes covering the city. The number of private buses has decreased to 300 which operate on only 50 routes. 

The prime minister later spoke to Karachi’s prominent businesspersons, referring to them as “the backbone of Pakistan’s economy.”

“We should rise before our personal likes and dislikes to serve Pakistan,” he said, adding that he wanted to carve out the best business policies for Pakistan to improve the country’s financial health. 


Pakistan trains hundreds of volunteers ahead of annual Hajj pilgrimage

Updated 24 April 2024
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Pakistan trains hundreds of volunteers ahead of annual Hajj pilgrimage

  • Hajj is one of the five pillars of Islam and every adult Muslim is required to undertake it at least once in their lifetime
  • Islamabad is to begin its Hajj flight operation from May 9 that would conclude on June 9 and facilitate over 63,000 pilgrims

ISLAMABAD: The Pakistani government has started training hundreds of volunteers ahead of the annual Hajj pilgrimage to help thousands of pilgrims overcome language barrier and other challenges in Saudi Arabia, besides imparting training to intending pilgrims on how to perform Hajj rituals.

Pakistan has a Hajj quota of 179,210 pilgrims this year. Of them, 63,805 pilgrims will be performing the pilgrimage under the government scheme, while the rest would be accommodated by private tour operators, according to the Pakistani religious affairs ministry. The South Asian country is set to start its Hajj flight operation on May 9, which would conclude on June 9.

The ministry conducts training of Hajj assistants and pilgrims every year ahead of their departure to Saudi Arabia to make sure the whole process, including their food, transportation and accommodation, is managed efficiently. This year, Pakistan will be sending 550 Hajj assistants and 400 doctors and paramedical staff to Saudi Arabia to facilitate the pilgrims.

“The training programs are currently underway at district and tehsil level and Islamabad is one of them,” Noor Muhammad Soomro, a deputy director at the Hajj directorate in Islamabad, told Arab News.

“Ministry of Religious Affairs has made very good arrangements for the pilgrims, and this includes Pak Hajj app. If a pilgrim uses the Pak Hajj app, he gets all the details, including training, vaccination, maps.”

Volunteers participating in the Pakistani mission of this year's Hajj are seen attending a training session in Islamabad, Pakistan on April 23, 2024. (AN photo)

Soomro said each Pakistani pilgrim would be provided with a SIM card having 7GB data to connect with their families back home.

“This time, we will provide the train facility to all those pilgrims who travel to Saudi Arabia on the government scheme in Mina, Arafat and Muzdalifah,” he said.

Hajj is an annual Islamic pilgrimage that has been in practice for over 1,400 years. It is one of the five pillars of Islam and requires every adult Muslim to undertake the journey to the holy Islamic sites in Makkah at least once in their lifetime if they are financially and physically able. This year’s pilgrimage is expected to run from June 14 till June 19.

Instructors have been training Hajj assistants and intending pilgrims at a sprawling auditorium at the Islamabad Hajji Camp, where they can also visit different stalls to purchase Hajj items like Ihram, umbrella and towels.

“This training is basically the introduction of the duties of Hajj,” Sanober Khaliq Baloch, a Hajj assistant, told Arab News. “Hajj assistants would be performing those duties for example the induction [of the pilgrims], the transport, the food and obviously about Mina map, a little about the roads and traveling, all these things.”

Speaking about the potential challenges, she said the temperature difference and up to 14 hours of duty could be “daunting,” but she was determined to facilitate the pilgrims in all possible way.

Faisal Hafeez, another Hajj assistant, said he was committed to serve the pilgrims well by taking care of their food, accommodation and transportation.

“Different problems that confront the pilgrims have been discussed here [during the training] and how we are supposed to deal with them and solve the problems,” he told Arab News.

Syeda Munir, who is going to perform Hajj for the first time, praised the training sessions, saying this would help them smoothly perform all rituals.

“This is my third [training] session,” she told Arab News. “They guide us well about how to perform Umrah and Hajj.”