Erdogan’s man loses Istanbul mayoral election by a landslide

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Opposition candidate Ekrem Imamoglu with supporters as he makes his way through the press at the CHP offices in Istanbul on Sunday. (AFP)
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A poster of Binali Yildirim, mayoral candidate of ruling Justice and Development Party seen hang on a building in city’s landmark Istiklal Street, in Istanbul, Friday, June 21, 2019, ahead of June 23 re-run of Istanbul elections. (AP)
Updated 24 June 2019
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Erdogan’s man loses Istanbul mayoral election by a landslide

  • Winner Imamoglu has become a household name since being stripped of original victory

ANKARA: In the re-run of the Istanbul mayoral elections on Sunday, residents of Istanbul once again voted for the opposition candidate Ekrem Imamoglu, who achieved a clear victory over his rival, Binali Yildirim, by about 54 percent of votes to 45 percent, a margin of 9 percentage points.

This was not the first time Imamoglu, a mild-mannered newcomer to politics standing for the Republican People’s Party (CHP), won the mayoral post of the country’s largest and most symbolic city.

He held this post for two weeks following the vote on March 31, which he won by 13,000 votes until the result was controversially annulled after allegations by the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) of unlawful staffing at the polling stations. This time the difference of votes was about 750,000.

During his short tenure, Imamoglu revealed the municipality’s $4.5 billion of debt, as well as the high number of donations funneled to the private foundations linked to the government.

As the stakes were high in this re-run, 8.6 million people went to the polls, even coming back from their summer breaks to vote.

Many residents of Istanbul who were interviewed by Arab News said that they wanted to take part of that historical turning point for Istanbul. A wind of change seems to be needed in Turkish political discourse.

Istanbul is a rich prize and an economic and cultural powerhouse, and losing the city once again to the opposition, this time by such a bigger margin, is likely to weaken the control of the ruling party, which lost control of several key cities on March elections, including the capital Ankara.

“If we lose Istanbul, we lose Turkey,” President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who began his political career as a mayor of this city, has often cited.

According to Berk Esen, a political analyst from Bilkent University in Ankara, this is a colossal defeat not only for Binali Yildirim but also for Erdogan, who took the gamble of repeating this election.

“Istanbul was Erdogan’s stronghold and the main source of revenue for his party machine. After this election, the Turkish style presidency will come under intense criticism as Erdogan no longer seems to have majority support behind him,” he told Arab News.

Esen noted that Erdogan will need to share power and govern the country with input from other political figures, including those from the opposition ranks.

“The poor electoral showing will also embolden Erdogan’s critics within the AKP and accelerate the formation of splinter parties, either by his former ministers Ahmet Davutoglu or Ali Babacan, or possibly both,” he added.

For Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, Ankara director of German Marshall Fund of the United States, the main factor behind Istanbul election result is the sense of injustice in the Turkish society as a result of the invalidation of the first election.

FASTFACT

Imamoglu held this post for two weeks following the vote on March 31, which he won by 13,000 votes until the result was controversially annulled. This time the difference of votes was about 750,000.

“While Imamoglu had a clear and consistent strategy, Yildirim lacked one. By portraying himself as a centrist culturally, Imamoglu neutralized the tribal instincts of the AKP voters. Besides, AKP has lost the Kurdish voters, including the conservative Kurds who used to vote for AKP,” he told Arab News.

The result also showed that even with unfair election campaigning conditions, where the media is predominantly owned by pro-government outlets, an opposition candidate can still win such a critical post.

Amid several smear campaigns against Imamoglu, he was even compared by Erdogan to the Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, whom he accuses of holding power following a coup against Muhammad Mursi.

The high rates of inflation and unemployment, as well as the frustration over the controversial rerun decision of the previous elections, were cited as the key reasons behind the voters’ shift to the opposition.

“The majority of the Istanbul electorate — including many AKP voters — think that Imamoglu won the race the first time and was unfairly cheated out of his mandate. With the economic conditions dire and AKP candidate unchanged, there was very little reason for Imamoglu voters to change their minds,” Esen said.

According to Esen, in sharp contrast to Yildirim’s lackluster campaign, Imamoglu ran an energetic campaign with a superb public relations team that reacted positively to AKP attacks.

“Through their attacks, AKP officials offended different segments of the electorate,” he said.

With his campaign slogan “Everything will be fine,” Imamoglu sought to appeal some of the pious young people who are normally voters of the governing AKP, but were disillusioned by the latest developments in the country.

“Whether you are Turkish, Kurdish, Armenian, Greek, Circassian, I thank you,” Imamoglu said in his speech following the results.

“We are opening up a new page in Istanbul. On this new page, there will be justice, equality, love. We will stop the arrogance and waste. Today 16 million Istanbulites have refreshed our belief in democracy,” he added.

Turkey’s state-run Anadolu Agency has once again drawn harsh criticism as it began announcing initial results of the elections at 7:30 p.m. — 90 minutes later than they did in previous elections.

In the overall picture, Imamoglu defeated his rival in 29 of Istanbul’s 39 districts.

Pre-poll surveys also showed that Kurdish communities in Istanbul, who traditionally vote for the pro-Kurdish HDP, have increasingly supported Imamoglu since the controversial redo of the vote. Esen said that this helped to drive up Imamoglu’s numbers in districts where CHP base was historically weak.

“Against this colossal popular wave, the AKP campaign remained desperate and inconsistent,” he noted.


How fierce but undeclared Israel-Hezbollah war is hurting civilians in south Lebanon

Updated 01 May 2024
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How fierce but undeclared Israel-Hezbollah war is hurting civilians in south Lebanon

  • IDF and Iran-backed Lebanese group began trading fire across the border following Oct. 7 Hamas-led attack
  • Farming communities in southern Lebanon have seen their fields burned, homes destroyed by Israeli strikes

BEIRUT: For more than six months, an undeclared war has been raging along Lebanon’s southern border with Israel, leading to the displacement of some 92,000 Lebanese citizens and the destruction of homes, businesses and agriculture.

The front line of this conflict between Hezbollah and the Israeli armed forces stretches some 850 km, incorporating parts of the UN-monitored Blue Line, with missiles fired by both sides reaching up to 15 km into their respective territories.

Although the exchanges have remained relatively contained, Israeli attacks have caused civilian deaths, damaged and destroyed homes, infrastructure and farmland, and ignited forest fires. Civilians on both sides of the border have been displaced.

“Our town is right on the border, and there are now only 100 out of 1,000 residents, and the rest are those who are unable to secure an alternative livelihood,” Jean Ghafri, mayor of Alma Al-Shaab, a predominantly Christian village in the Tyre District, told Arab News.

“So far, the shelling has destroyed 94 houses, and 60 percent of the olive groves, mango, and avocado orchards, vineyards, olive and carob trees have been burned, and some of the olive trees that were burned are 300 years old.”

Most of the people in the border region are Shiite. The rest are Sunni, Druze and Christians, along with dozens of Syrian refugee families, some 10,000 troops of UNIFIL, or UN Interim Force in Lebanon, and a few thousand Lebanese soldiers.

Members of Lebanon’s Iran-backed Hezbollah militia began launching rocket attacks against Israel on Oct. 8, a day after the Hamas-led assault on southern Israel triggered the war in Gaza.

A bulldozer removes rubble after an Israeli strike on a house in the southern Lebanese village of Sultaniyeh. (AFP/File)

Since then, Hezbollah and the Israeli military have traded fire along the shared border, raising fears that the Gaza conflict could spill over and engulf Lebanon in a devastating war reminiscent of the 2006 Israeli invasion.

“The town, although it is in a conflict zone, did not witness this level of direct destruction in the 2006 war,” said Ghafri. “It is impossible to know the exact damage because the area is considered a war zone. Those who are still there are receiving food rations from religious or international organizations.”

Al-Dahira is another town that has come under heavy shelling on an almost daily basis since the conflict began. It was from its nearby border that Hezbollah began its military assault on Oct. 8.

Its mayor, Abdullah Ghuraib, counts “17 houses that have been completely destroyed and dozens of houses that are no longer habitable due to the force of the shelling.”

He said: “There is only one woman, Radhya Atta Sweid, 75 years old, who insisted on staying in her house and not leaving. She had stayed in her house during the 2006 war and her brother’s wife, who was with her in the house, was killed and she remained there.”

Hassan Sheit, the mayor of Kfarkela, a village that is only a stone’s throw from the Israeli border, painted a similar picture of destruction and displacement.

“The material losses are great. This is a town where people live in summer and winter, of which only 7 percent of the 6,000 inhabitants remain,” Sheit told Arab News.

“The displacement from the town caused people to be homeless, living with relatives and in rented apartments, and living on aid from civil society and Hezbollah, which varies between financial and in-kind assistance.

Flames rise in a field near the border village of Burj Al-Mamluk after an Israeli strike. (Reuters/File)

“The town lost 15 martyrs as a result of the Israeli bombardment. What is happening today in the town was not done in the 2006 war.”

Thousands of families from towns and villages across southern Lebanon fled as soon as the first exchanges began. Many of these communities are now ghost towns, having lost some 90 percent of their residents.

The displaced, most of them women and children, have moved to towns further away from the border, including areas around Tyre, Nabatieh, Zahrani, Sidon, Jezzine and even the southern suburbs of Beirut, where they rent or stay with relatives.

Those without the means to support themselves have been forced to reside in shelters established by local authorities. These shelters, most of them in school buildings, are concentrated in the city of Tyre, within easy reach of their towns and villages.

This protracted displacement has been accompanied by economic hardship brought on by the financial crisis that struck Lebanon in late 2019. To make matters worse, many south Lebanese have lost their livelihoods as a result of their displacement.

Funeral for Hezbollah members Ismail Baz and Mohamad Hussein Shohury, who were killed in an Israeli strike on their vehicles, in Shehabiya. (AFP/File)

Ghafri, the mayor of Alma Al-Shaab, said several displaced residents had said expenses in Beirut were different from those in the villages. One person had told him residents “do not work and therefore no income reaches them, except for in-kind assistance from civil and international organizations and from wealthy expatriates.

“There are no political parties in Alma Al-Shaab, no militants, and all its people are in favor of the Lebanese state and refuse to allow their town to be used as a battlefield. People are worried about their future, and I am trying to convey this position to Hezbollah.”

Those who initially benefited from reduced or rent-free arrangements are now being asked to pay more or move on. The rent for some apartments has reportedly jumped from $100 to $1,000 per month, placing a significant strain on household savings and incomes.

According to media reports, Hezbollah has intervened in support of displaced households, calling on apartment owners in the south and in Beirut’s southern suburbs to cap their rents, and providing families with financial aid.

Families who spoke to local media said Hezbollah provided a quarterly payment of $1,000 for three months, then reduced the amount to an average of $300 per month, covering about 15,000 displaced families.

Like other displaced households, the people of Al-Dahira have complained of “running out of money and relatives’ discomfort with their presence,” said the town’s mayor Ghuraib.

“Two days ago, we came to the town to pay our respects to someone who died. We entered the town in a hurry and quickly inspected our homes, and I saw men crying about the loss of their livelihoods and possessions.

“The people of Al-Dahira make a living from growing tobacco, olives and grains, but the (crops of the) previous season burned down and now the land is on fire.

“The problem is that the situation is getting worse day by day. People’s lives have been turned upside down. If the war drags on, the land will die. The Israelis are deliberately turning it into a scorched earth.”

What is undeniable is that the displacement of entire farming communities has brought the once bountiful agricultural economy in many areas to the brink of collapse.

“The people of Aitaroun make their living from agriculture, especially tobacco farming, and the losses today are great,” Salim Murad, the mayor of the southeastern border town, told Arab News.

“There are 40 dairy cattle farmers with about 500 cows and two factories for making cheese and dairy products. With the displacement, production stopped and the displaced people most likely sold their cows or slaughtered them, which means that another link of agricultural production has been destroyed.

“There were 2,200 beehives distributed along the border, as the area is rich and varied in pasture, but these hives were completely lost, and farmers lost the olive season, and these orchards lost their future suitability for cultivation.”

It is unclear whether any kind of compensation will be paid to these farming households once the violence ends. Although the situation appears bleak, Kfarkela mayor Sheit is confident the region’s resilient communities will bounce back.

“Once the war stops, people will return to their homes and rebuild them,” he said. “Because we are the owners of the land.”


US military destroys Houthi drone boat 

Updated 01 May 2024
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US military destroys Houthi drone boat 

  • CENTCOM: It was determined the USV presented an imminent threat to U.S., coalition forces, and merchant vessels in the region
  • Houthi leader Mohammed Ali Al-Houthi: Yemen’s strategic stockpile of deterrent weapons is much much larger than you would imagine

AL-MUKALLA: The US Central Command said that its forces have destroyed an explosive-laden and remotely operated boat in a Houthi-held area of Yemen, as the Yemeni militia reaffirmed threats to increase their Red Sea ship campaign unless Israel ceases its assault in Gaza.

In a statement on X on Wednesday morning, the US military said it destroyed an uncrewed surface vessel at approximately 1:52 p.m. (Sanaa time) on Tuesday in Yemen after determining that it posed a threat to the US and its allies, as well as international commercial and naval ships in international waters off Yemen’s coasts.

“It was determined the USV presented an imminent threat to U.S., coalition forces, and merchant vessels in the region. These actions are taken to protect freedom of navigation and make international waters safer and more secure for U.S., coalition, and merchant vessels,” USCENTCOM said.

In Yemen, the Houthis said that the US and UK conducted one attack on the Red Sea Ras Essa in the western province of Hodeidah on Tuesday but did not specify the target area or the extent of the damage.

During the last seven months, the Houthis have seized a commercial ship, sunk another, and fired hundreds of drones, ballistic missiles, and remotely controlled drones at US, UK, Israeli, and other international ships in the Red Sea, Bab Al-Mandab Strait, and Gulf of Aden. The Houthis claim they solely target Israel-linked and Israel-bound ships to push Israel to let humanitarian supplies into the Gaza Strip. They also added ships tied to the US and the UK to their list of targets after the two nations launched strikes against areas of Yemen under their control.

On Tuesday, the UK Maritime Trade Operations, which tracks ship attacks, advised ships passing through the Indian Ocean to exercise caution after receiving a report of a drone attacking a commercial ship 170 nautical miles southeast of Yemen’s Socotra island and approximately 300-400 nautical miles southeast of the Horn of Africa overnight on April 26. “The vessel and crew are reported safe and the vessel is proceeding to its next port of call,” the UK agency said.

Similarly, the Houthi Supreme Political Council warned the US on Tuesday against conducting a fresh wave of strikes against regions under their control in punishment for the militia’s recent increase in assaults on ships in the Red Sea. “The consequences of any escalation will not stop at Yemen’s borders, nor will they impact the noble Yemeni stance, the steadfastness of the Yemeni people, or the heroism of the military forces at all levels,” Houthi council members said in a statement.

On Tuesday, Houthi leader Mohammed Ali Al-Houthi issued the same warning to the US, claiming to possess huge military capabilities that would be utilized to counter any future US military strikes. “Do not play with fire. Yemen’s strategic stockpile of deterrent weapons is much much larger than you would imagine,” Al-Houthi said.

The Houthis said this week that they are aware that the US is ready to unleash a fresh round of bombings on Yemeni territories under their control, after the militia’s escalating assault against ships in the Red Sea.


Lebanese Christian leader says Hezbollah’s fighting with Israel has harmed Lebanon

Updated 01 May 2024
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Lebanese Christian leader says Hezbollah’s fighting with Israel has harmed Lebanon

  • Samir Geagea of the Lebanese Forces Party said Hezbollah should withdraw from areas along the border with Israel
  • The Lebanese army should deploy in all points where militants of the Iran-backed group have taken positions

`MAARAB, Lebanon: The leader of a main Christian political party in Lebanon blasted the Shiite militant group Hezbollah for opening a front with Israel to back up its ally Hamas, saying it has harmed Lebanon without making a dent in Israel’s crushing offensive in the Gaza Strip.
In an interview with AP on Tuesday night, Samir Geagea of the Lebanese Forces Party said Hezbollah should withdraw from areas along the border with Israel and the Lebanese army should deploy in all points where militants of the Iran-backed group have taken positions.
His comments came as Western diplomats try to broker a de-escalation in the border conflict amid fears of a wider war.
Hezbollah began launching rockets toward Israeli military posts on Oct. 8, the day after Hamas-led militants stormed into southern Israel in a surprise attack that sparked the crushing war in Gaza.
The near-daily violence has mostly been confined to the area along the border, and international mediators have been scrambling to prevent an all-out war. The fighting has killed 12 soldiers and 10 civilians in Israel. More than 350 people have been killed in Lebanon including 273 Hezbollah fighters and more than 50 civilians.
“No one has the right to control the fate of a country and people on its own,” Geagea said in his heavily guarded headquarters in the mountain village of Maarab. “Hezbollah is not the government in Lebanon. There is a government in Lebanon in which Hezbollah is represented.” In addition to its military arm, Hezbollah is a political party.
Geagea, whose party has the largest bloc in Lebanon’s 128-member parliament, has angled to position himself as the leader of the opposition against Hezbollah.
Hezbollah officials have said that by opening the front along Israel’s northern border, the militant group has reduced the pressure on Gaza by keeping several Israeli army divisions on alert in the north rather than taking part in the monthslong offensive in the enclave.
“All the damage that could have happened in Gaza ... happened. What was the benefit of military operations that were launched from south Lebanon? Nothing,” Geagea said, pointing the death toll and massive destruction in Lebanon’s border villages.
Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza has killed more than 34,000 Palestinians, caused wide destruction and displaced hundreds of thousands to the city of Rafah along Egypt’s border. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed Tuesday to launch an offensive into the southern Gaza city of Rafah despite international calls for restraint.
Geagea said Hezbollah aims through the ongoing fighting to benefit its main backer, Iran, by giving it a presence along Israel’s border and called for the group to withdraw from border areas and Lebanese army deploy in accordance with a UN Security Council resolution that ended the 34-day Israel-Hezbollah war in 2006.
Geagea also discussed the campaign by his party to repatriate Syrian refugees who fled war into Lebanon.
Those calls intensified after a Syrian gang was blamed for last month’s killing of Lebanese Forces official Pascal Suleiman, allegedly in a carjacking gone wrong, although many initially suspected political motives.
Lebanon, with a total population of around 6 million, hosts what the UN refugee agency says are nearly 785,000 UN-registered Syrian refugees, of which 90 percent rely on aid to survive. Lebanese officials estimate there may be 1.5 million or 2 million, of whom only around 300,000 have legal residency.
Human rights groups say that Syria is not safe for mass returns and that many Syrians who have gone back — voluntarily or not — have been detained and tortured.
Geagea, whose party is adamantly opposed to the government of President Bashar Assad in Syria, insisted that only a small percentage of Syrians in Lebanon are true political refugees and that those who are could go to opposition-controlled areas of Syria.
The Lebanese politician suggested his country should follow in the steps of Western countries like Britain, which passed controversial legislation last week to deport some asylum seekers to Rwanda.
“In Lebanon we should tell them, guys, go back to your country. Syria exists,” said Geagea, who headed the largest Christian militia during Lebanon’s 1975-90 civil war.


Turkiye to join South Africa’s genocide case against Israel at World Court, minister says

Updated 01 May 2024
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Turkiye to join South Africa’s genocide case against Israel at World Court, minister says

  • “Turkiye will continue to support the Palestinian people in all circumstances,” Fidan said
  • In January, President Tayyip Erdogan said that Turkiye was providing documents for the case at the ICJ

ISTANBUL: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Wednesday that Turkiye would join in South Africa’s genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ).
“Upon completion of the legal text of our work, we will submit the declaration of official intervention before the ICJ with the objective of implementing this political decision,” Fidan said in a joint press conference with Indonesia’s Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi in Ankara.
“Turkiye will continue to support the Palestinian people in all circumstances,” he said.
The ICJ ordered Israel in January to refrain from any acts that could fall under the Genocide Convention and to ensure its troops commit no genocidal acts against Palestinians, after South Africa accused Israel of state-led genocide in Gaza.
In January, President Tayyip Erdogan said that Turkiye was providing documents for the case at the ICJ, also known as the World Court.
Israel and its Western allies described the allegation as baseless. A final ruling in South Africa’s ICJ case in The Hague could take years.


UAE braced for severe weather, task force on high alert

Updated 01 May 2024
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UAE braced for severe weather, task force on high alert

  • UAE’s disaster management authority warns residents to expect rain, storms over next two days
  • All private schools in UAE to switch to remote learning as precaution on Thursday and Friday 

DUBAI: Challenging weather is again expected in the UAE, with parts of the country’s east coast set to experience strong winds. 

The National Emergency Crisis and Disaster Management Authority said gusts of up to 40 kph were likely to impact the area on Thursday.

While the NCM forecasts less severe conditions than those in April, it has warned residents to expect rain and storms over the next two days. There is a possibility of hail in the eastern regions, possibly extending to some internal and western areas.

Clouds are expected to decrease on Friday and Saturday, with possible light to medium rain which may be heavier in some southern and eastern regions.

Government agencies are coordinating with the Joint Weather and Tropical Assessment Team to monitor developments, said a statement from the NCM.

The teams will assess the potential impact of weather conditions and implement proactive measures where necessary.

Dubai’s government announced all private schools in the UAE would switch to remote learning on Thursday and Friday as a precaution. 

Authorities have urged the public to exercise caution, adhere to safety standards and guidelines, refrain from circulating rumors, and rely on official sources for information.

The UAE is still recovering from last month’s storms which caused widespread flooding, submerging streets and disrupting flights at Dubai International Airport.