Turkish economic growth dips as lira crisis darkens outlook

Finance Minister Berat Albayrak said, growth was driven by domestic demand despite a moderate slowdown in consumption and investments in the second quarter but the slowdown will become more visible from the third quarter. (Getty Images)
Updated 10 September 2018
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Turkish economic growth dips as lira crisis darkens outlook

  • Tayyip Erdogan has overseen strong growth during his 15 years in power but the economy is now facing challenges after a sharp decline in the lira
  • The government has been working on stimulus measures to stave off the expected slowdown in the coming quarters

ISTANBUL: Turkish economic growth slowed to 5.2 percent year-on-year in the second quarter, data showed on Monday, in what officials described as an economic rebalancing before an expected second-half slowdown as Turkey grapples with a currency crisis.
President Tayyip Erdogan has overseen strong growth during his 15 years in power but the economy is now facing challenges after a sharp decline in the lira, triggered partly by concerns about his influence over monetary policy.
In a Reuters poll, the economy had been expected to grow 5.3 percent in the first quarter. The lira firmed to 6.4550 against the dollar after the data from 6.4850 beforehand.
Second quarter gross domestic product (GDP) expanded a seasonally and calendar adjusted 0.9 percent from the previous quarter, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed. Last year the economy grew 7.4 percent.
Growth was driven by domestic demand despite a moderate slowdown in consumption and investments in the second quarter but the slowdown will become more visible from the third quarter, said Finance Minister Berat Albayrak.
Rabobank emerging markets forex strategist Piotr Matys said that, given concerns over the economy overheating, the slowdown from 7.3 percent in the first quarter could be seen as encouraging.
“The Turkish economy is widely expected to lose even more momentum in the coming quarters as a result of significant lira depreciation,” he said, adding that attention was focused on the central bank’s rate-setting meeting on Thursday.
Investors expect the central bank to raise interest rates, but the size of the hike will be crucial, Matys added. The bank left rates on hold at its last meeting in July, defying expectations of a hike.
Data last week showed inflation surged to 17.9 percent year-on-year in August, its highest level since late 2003, prompting the central bank to signal it would take action against “significant risks” to price stability.
In the second quarter, the agricultural sector shrank 1.5 percent year-on-year while the industry sector grew 4.3 percent, the construction sector grew 0.8 percent and services expanded 8 percent.
According to a Reuters poll, the economy is expected to grow 3.3 percent in the year as a whole.
The government has been working on stimulus measures to stave off the expected slowdown in the coming quarters. Erdogan, a self-described “enemy of interest rates,” has pushed banks to lend more to boost private spending.
His demands for lower interest rates have fueled concerns that the central bank lacks independence. The lira has tumbled 41 percent against the dollar this year in a slide exacerbated by a bitter diplomatic row with the US.
Officials have said they expect a contraction of the economy in the third quarter and full-year growth of around four percent — below a 5.5 percent government target.


Saudi Arabia’s AI imperative: seizing the agentic enterprise to fulfill Vision 2030 goals

Updated 11 January 2026
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Saudi Arabia’s AI imperative: seizing the agentic enterprise to fulfill Vision 2030 goals

  • Workers who use AI daily are 64% more productive and 81% more satisfied with their jobs

RIYADH: As Saudi Arabia advances its ambitious Vision 2030, a transformative shift in the global workplace underscores a critical opportunity for the Kingdom’s organizations.

Slack’s latest Workforce Index survey revealed an unprecedented surge in the adoption and impact of artificial intelligence, presenting a clear pathway for Saudi businesses to lead in the era of digital labor, drive economic diversification, and create high-value roles for the future workforce.
“Saudi Arabia has all the ingredients to lead this shift: a young population, a government willing to modernize at extraordinary speed and industries preparing for global competition,” Mohammad Al-Khotani, the senior vice president and general manager of Salesforce Middle East told Arab News.

From adoption to advantage
The evidence that AI is a decisive competitive advantage is now overwhelming. Slack’s research, which surveyed 5,000 global desk workers, found that daily AI usage has soared by 233 percent in just six months.
Workers who use AI daily are 64 percent more productive and 81 percent more satisfied with their jobs than their non-AI-using colleagues. This trend is even more pronounced in specific markets; in the UK, daily AI users report an 82 percent increase in productivity and a 106 percent boost in job satisfaction.
According to the report, this surge is fundamentally reshaping work. The data confirms that trust grows with use: workers who use AI agents daily are twice as likely to trust them in areas like data protection and accuracy. 
Furthermore, AI is enabling workers to expand their capabilities strategically. Some 96 percent of AI users have leveraged the technology to perform tasks they previously lacked the skills to do.
Workers are now 154 percent more likely to use AI agents to perform tasks better and more creatively, not merely to automate them. The top productivity boosts come from eliminating extensive research, assisting with communication, and overcoming creative blocks.
Given this, Al-Khotani emphasized the macroeconomic imperative for Saudi organizations to lead, not follow. 
“Saudi Arabia is one of the few countries where the public sector has already set a global benchmark for digital service delivery. This creates a macroeconomic condition in which private-sector organizations must now match the pace set by the state,” he said. 
He further noted that “the scale of Saudi Arabia’s transformation, megaprojects, tourism growth, manufacturing build-out and new digital sectors, requires the productivity lift that only digital labor and AI agents can provide. Organizations that adopt early will move faster, earn citizen trust and gain market share.”
This perspective is echoed by Mohamad El-Charif, founder of the Middle East’s first sovereign regulatory compliance platform, Qadi.
“When we talk about digital labor in Saudi Arabia, we have to acknowledge that legal and regulatory AI is not optional. If we wait and come in as fast followers, we’ll end up running our core legal and regulatory workloads elsewhere, governed, and updated elsewhere,” he explained to Arab News. 
He argued that early adoption creates a lasting advantage: “Moving early with governed, sovereign agents, lets Saudi organizations encode their own local laws, internal policies, escalation paths and audit trails into the infrastructure.”
He added: “Under Vision 2030, leading Saudi banks, insurers, telcos, and energy companies are not just serving the domestic market; they’re becoming global players. If they build their regulatory backbone early and on their own terms, they don’t just stay in bounds at home, but they also carry that infrastructure with them as they expand.”

From automation to the agentic enterprise
This ground-level adoption aligns with a strategic corporate pivot identified in the 2025 MuleSoft Connectivity Benchmark Report, produced in collaboration with Deloitte.
The report highlighted that generative AI has reshaped human-AI interaction, and the next frontier is the rise of the “agentic enterprise.” This model involves autonomous AI agents that can operate with unprecedented independence, responding to queries, managing sophisticated tasks, and optimizing workflows without continuous human intervention.
The report found that 93 percent of IT leaders intend to introduce such autonomous agents within two years, with 40 percent having already done so and another 41 percent planning deployment within the next year.
This shift is accelerating rapidly; the average number of AI models in use has already doubled from 2024 projections, and IT leaders predict a further 78 percent increase over the next three years.
Salesforce Middle East’s Al-Khotani elaborated on this strategic potential, stating: “AI agents offer a multiplier effect across sectors that Vision 2030 prioritizes. This same efficiency can shift the economics of different industries.”
He added: “Legacy sectors can automate routine compliance, scheduling, documentation, onboarding and case resolution. Public services can move from reactive to proactive, anticipating citizen needs and completing tasks autonomously.”
Qadi’s El-Charif described this as turning “compliance from a blockage into an API,” accelerating Vision 2030’s ambitions. 
“For a thriving economy, the biggest gift you can give businesses is predictable, low-friction compliance,” he said, adding: “When you encode local laws, regulations and internal policies into agents, those checks move inside the workflow. Approvals can happen in days, not months, without lowering standards.”
However, this potential is gated by integration. Some 95 percent of IT leaders cite integration challenges as the primary hurdle to effective AI implementation. 
Organizations use an average of 897 applications, with 46 percent using over 1,000, yet integration levels have stagnated.

Opportunity for the Kingdom
For Saudi organizations, moving early to adopt and integrate AI is no longer optional, but a strategic necessity to lead in digital labor and deliver on Vision 2030’s goals of a vibrant society, a thriving economy, and an ambitious nation.
First, deploying AI in ways that deliver positive outcomes for both business and employees is key. The Slack Index showed that AI enhances human connection, not replaces it.
Daily AI users are 246 percent more likely to feel more connected to colleagues and report a 62 percent higher sense of belonging. This counters fears of displacement, showing AI can augment teamwork and culture.
Al-Khotani stressed the principles for positive deployment, noting: “AI must be introduced as augmentation, not substitution. When people understand that agents are handling low-value tasks, while humans focus on creativity, judgment and customer relationships, acceptance is extremely high.” 
He added that Salesforce data shows 84 percent of AI users say the technology makes them enjoy their job more, largely because it reduces repetitive work.
El-Charif advocated for a practical Outcome-Workflow-Governance framework to achieve this symbiosis, saying: “We design agents to take over that ‘read, retrieve, reconcile’ loop. 
“This doesn’t replace humans, but it elevates them out of the infrastructural gridlock.” 
He added: “That, for me, brings a real opportunity of using agentic AI to remove the glue work that exhausts people, and free up talent to focus on strategy, relationships and judgment, which is exactly what Vision 2030 is asking our institutions to excel at.”
Agentic AI can directly accelerate Vision 2030 ambitions. As noted by Goldman Sachs Research, generative AI can streamline business workflows, automate routine tasks and give rise to a new generation of business applications.
For Saudi Arabia, this means modernizing legacy sectors, improving efficiency in health care and financial services, and supercharging nascent industries. 
The MuleSoft report confirmed that APIs and API-related implementations now account for 40 percent of company revenue on average, up from 25 percent in 2018, demonstrating the tangible economic value of a connected, AI-ready infrastructure.
El-Charif also highlighted the societal dimension, stating: “For a vibrant society, this technology drives transparency and trust. When rules are encoded into agents, their application becomes consistent and audit-ready. This builds confidence in the market and investors know that compliance isn’t subjective, but structural.”
Finally, this transition will create high-value roles for humans. The integration challenge itself is a source of future jobs. The MuleSoft report found that developers spend an estimated 39 percent of their time building custom integrations, and IT staffing budgets are expected to rise by 61.5 percent year-over-year to meet AI demand.
Al-Khotani foresees specific new roles emerging from the AI integration challenge, saying: “Salesforce’s research shows that organizations adopting AI expect their data and integration teams to grow nearly 50 percent over the next three years.” 
He went on explaining that this opens pathways for new roles such as AI integration architects, agent workflow designers, and responsible AI officers and digital trust specialists.
El-Charif identified the emergence of roles such as “Legal Engineer,” — someone who understands both the regulation and how to encode it into logic.
Furthermore, as AI handles routine tasks, workers are freed for more strategic, creative, and innovative work, precisely the skills needed for a knowledge-based economy. 
Al-Khotani envisioned this shift elevating Saudi Arabia’s broader economic structure: “As agents take on routine and administrative tasks, Saudi Arabia’s workforce will shift toward higher-value roles that emphasize creativity, human judgment, and strategic decision-making.”
He added that this shift increases productivity per capita, a core Vision 2030 outcome, because the workforce is no longer limited by the volume of manual work it can process. “The macroeconomic structure becomes more innovation-driven and less labor-intensive.”
Global AI adoption is accelerating, worker productivity and satisfaction are skyrocketing with its use, and the next wave of enterprise value lies in agentic AI.
For Saudi Arabia, the mandate is to build the robust, integrated digital foundations today that will allow its organizations and workforce to not just participate in this future, but to lead it, turning the promise of Vision 2030 into an intelligent, automated, and human-centric reality. 
As Al-Khotani concluded: “The future economy will not reward automation alone, it will reward nations that use AI to elevate human potential. Saudi Arabia is positioned to be one of them.”