Brexit banks set to avoid lengthy euro zone entry test — sources

Frankfurt along with Paris are looking to reshape Europe's financial landscape after Brexit. (Reuters)
Updated 22 March 2017
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Brexit banks set to avoid lengthy euro zone entry test — sources

FRANKFURT: Banks in London that relocate operations to the euro zone after Brexit are likely to be spared a lengthy entry test by regulators, making it easier for them to shift, according to two officials with knowledge of the matter.
The European Central Bank, the euro zone’s banking supervisor, has had many inquiries from British-based banks wanting to come under its watch, prompting it to look at fast-tracking license applications, according to the sources.
It is set to temporarily waive an examination of the financial models that big retail lenders and investment banks use to determine the risk of a default on a mortgage or derivative — as long as the banks meet the standards of British regulators, they said.
Any such decision by the ECB would be chiefly for practical rather than political reasons and would, said one of the people, aim to minimize disruption to European finance after Britain leaves the EU.
“Resources are limited. We would find a way of doing it (applications) quickly,” said the official, talking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter.
“The European financial system wants to continue to function.”
Such a waiver would nonetheless serve to speed up banks’ relocation plans and help reshape Europe’s financial landscape by expediting the process of Frankfurt, Paris, Luxembourg and Dublin winning business from London.
The ECB declined to comment.
British Prime Minister Theresa May will trigger divorce proceedings with the European Union on March 29, launching two years of negotiations that will help determine the future of Britain and Europe.
While the final terms for doing business with the EU from Britain are uncertain, May has made it clear that Britain will leave the single market which allows banks in London to sell their services across the bloc.
Finance executives say privately they expect Brexit to isolate London, currently Europe’s financial capital, and want to establish bases inside the EU from where they can access its market.
Dublin has received 80 such inquiries from financial institutions including banks, according to IDA Ireland, an agency that attracts foreign investment, while about 50 envoys from foreign banks met Germany’s watchdog earlier this year about a possible move.

Grace period
The final decision in granting a banking license in the euro zone is taken by the ECB, which looks at the strength of a bank’s capital as well as that of its management when it comes to granting approval.
But, according to the sources, it is set to waive the immediate examination of the financial models which contain the basic assumptions underpinning a bank’s business and are essential to understanding their riskiness — a process that can take more than a year.
The waiver would be based on the principle that the Bank of England’s checks are good enough. It would only be a temporary reprieve, however, to smooth the relocation process, and banks would eventually have to face testing of their models. The sources said the period of grace could last several months.
“It is reasonable to decide that there is an interim period where these models are accepted,” said the second official.
A decision by ECB officials on the waiver is expected in the coming months.
Leading financial firms in Britain warned for months before last June’s Brexit referendum that they would have to move some jobs if there was a leave vote, and have been working on plans for how they would do so for the past several months.
Senior European officials have also become increasingly nervous, privately warning of a “cliff-edge” departure of Britain from the bloc. The EU is heavily dependent on London for trillions of euros of finance and a massive pool of investors.
France and Germany are keen to establish alternatives to London, while smaller countries, such as Ireland and Luxembourg, are also vying for their share of the spoils.
Flexibility in terms of entry requirements could help a bank such as Goldman Sachs, which sources have said want to build up its business in Frankfurt.
The Wall Street firm’s European CEO said on Tuesday it will begin moving hundreds of people out of London as it prepares for Britain to leave the European Union.


As world fractures, experts weigh in on the politics of AI at WGS

Updated 26 sec ago
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As world fractures, experts weigh in on the politics of AI at WGS

  • e& group CEO Hatem Dowidar said there was increasing pressure to choose between the Chinese and US ecosystems

DUBAI: Across three days of rigorous debate at the World Government Summit in Dubai, experts from some of the world’s largest tech and telecommunication companies debated what the future political landscape of artificial intelligence development would be.

Speaking at the summit on Thursday, e& group CEO Hatem Dowidar said there was increasing pressure to choose between the Chinese and US ecosystems, which could have impacts on the sovereign capabilities of countries, like Gulf Cooperation Council member states, which thus far have stayed in the middle.

“I think the fracture and the pressure today is if you use this technology, you cannot use the other. You must separate them completely and this is something that never happened before,” Dowidar said.

He warned that whilst people around the world currently have access to both the leading large language models in the US and China, ChatGPT and Deepseek, this would not always be the case, and middle powers would need to develop their own capability to maintain their sovereignty.

“Europe is trying to find its own way as well, because Europe — having been caught now in the middle — they don’t have platforms, they don’t have the data center capability,” he said.

“So now, Europe is focusing a lot on building sovereign capability, sovereign data centers to run AI applications within Europe.”

Dowidar said the GCC had been ahead of the curve in this regard, having worked out early on that sovereign capability would be necessary in the new multipolar world and subsequently investing heavily in local infrastructure and capability.

“We were lucky here in the region that already — I would say a couple of years ago —we have kind of ironed out how this works,” he said.

“I think that everyone will try to see how they can either utilize the global platforms in a sovereign manner, or they end up trying to push to develop their own platforms.” 

This sentiment was echoed by Chamath Palihapitiya, the founder and managing partner of Social Capital, who said that China’s dedication to open-source models — whose code is released under a license granting users rights to view, study, modify, and redistribute it freely — could make Chinese AI more popular in the long run for nations looking to keep some level of sovereignty.

“I do think that there are a handful of American open-source models that are quite good. I think Nvidia’s models are excellent. But in fairness, the Chinese open-source models are just superb,” he told the summit on Wednesday.

“It’s going to be important for every country to make their own decisions about their own sovereignty, and in that realm, I think the open-source models provide the clearest path, because it just gives you total transparency to what’s happening underneath the hood.”

This was reiterated by Joseph Tsai, the chairman and co-founder of Alibaba Group, who said Chinese open-source systems would be favored by middle powers — but warned they had yet to find a way to be economically self-sufficient. 

“Because countries care about the sovereignty aspect and care about their data privacy, you can take an open-source model and deploy it on your own infrastructure … giving you ownership and control” he said.

“But it remains to be seen how economically all the model companies are going to make it sort of sustainable with an open-source approach … This is the biggest challenge for the Chinese firms.”