CERRITOS, California: The federal probation violation investigation targeting the man behind the anti-Muslim video inflaming the Middle East is proceeding slowly and privately, reflecting the explosiveness of the case.
Federal officials have said nothing publicly about the case, and neither has Nakoula Basseley Nakoula’s attorney. Nakoula has put his home up for sale and gone into hiding since violence erupted over the 14-minute YouTube trailer for “Innocence of Muslims,” a crudely made film that portrays the Muhammad as a religious fraud, womanizer and pedophile. Enraged Muslims have demanded punishment for Nakoula, and dozens have died in violent protests linked to the movie. A Pakistani cabinet minister on Monday offered a $100,000 bounty to anyone who kills Nakoula.
Meanwhile, First Amendment advocates have defended Nakoula’s right to make the film even while condemning its content. President Barack Obama echoed those sentiments yesterday in a speech at the United Nations.
“We understand why people take offense to this video because millions of our citizens are among them. I know there are some who ask, ‘Why don’t we just ban such a video?’“ he said. “The answer is enshrined in our laws. Our Constitution protects the right to practice free speech.”
Against that backdrop, federal officials are looking into whether Nakoula, 55, violated probation for a 2010 check fraud conviction by uploading the trailer to YouTube. Nakoula was sentenced to 21 months in prison and ordered not to use computers or the Internet for five years without approval from his probation officer. If he’s found in violation, he could be returned to prison. If not, he’ll remain free. Either way, federal officials will face criticism, either from those who say Nakoula’s free speech rights were trampled or from those who believe he should have been punished for inciting violence with the video.
“This case breaks the mold,” said Mark Werksman, a defense attorney in Los Angeles and a former federal prosecutor. “If the video hadn’t gone viral, and caused the Arabic world to blow up, who would care if this guy is using YouTube? It’s all about politics with this guy.” Because of the international complexity, probation officials handling the case are taking plenty of time to make a decision and likely are getting input from throughout the federal government, said Lawrence Rosenthal, a professor at Chapman University’s School of Law in Orange. “My best guess is decisions about this case are going to be made at very high levels,” Rosenthal said, surmising federal prosecutors, Justice Department headquarters and even the State Department may be weighing in.
Steven Seiden, a defense attorney representing Nakoula in the probation matter, did not reply to questions by email yesterday and has not replied to several written requests for an interview with him or his client. The US attorney’s office declined to comment.
In most federal cases, a probation officer who decides someone has committed a serious violation submits a confidential report to the sentencing judge, who then can pursue a probation revocation hearing — a mini-trial of sorts — where probation officials must prove the violation.
If the judge finds the individual in violation, the court can return the defendant to probation, send him to prison or impose additional terms of probation without prison time.
Normal cases can move very quickly — sometimes taking days — once a probation officer has prepared a report, Werksman said. In this instance, however, the political and diplomatic ramifications likely have officials scrutinizing every step.
Probation officials first must be able to prove there was a violation, and that could mean a lengthy investigation into whether Nakoula or someone else posted the video on YouTube, said Heidi Rummel, a former federal prosecutor and criminal law professor at the University of Southern California’s Gould School of Law.
In addition, the terms of Nakoula’s supervised release indicate he was allowed to use computers with prior approval from his probation officer. It’s possible he received approval to post the trailer for “Innocence of Muslims.”
“Usually the probation officer will be most interested in preventing him from engaging in any kind of activity related to the original crime, so another factor would be what kind of permission did the probation officer give him?” she said. “Why would (the film) be of concern in a bank fraud case? That’s a whole another wrinkle.”
If federal probation officials — or those above them — decide not to proceed against Nakoula, the public likely will never know what went into the decision or who was involved without a court proceeding, Rosenthal said.
If the case does go before a judge, Nakoula could argue he was singled out on a probation technicality for exercising his right to free speech, Rosenthal said.
Either way, the outcome to the investigation could take a long time and isn’t as straightforward as it may seem, said Rummel, the former prosecutor.
The issues are unusual for the probation revocation context and the allegations may be difficult to prove,” she said.
“It’s not like they have a couple dirty drug tests and two weeks later they’re in court.”
Anti-Islam filmmaker goes underground
Anti-Islam filmmaker goes underground
Russia, facing labor crunch worsened by war, pivots to India for workers
- Migrant labor crucial to Russia’s war economy
- Russia is employing fewer workers from Central Asia
MOSCOW: A group of weary-looking Indian men carrying sports bags queued at passport control at a busy Moscow airport one recent evening after flying over 2,700 miles — and via Uzbekistan — to get work.
“I have a contract for one year. In the rubbish disposal business. The money is good,” said Ajit, one of the men, speaking in English.
Faced with what the authorities say is an immediate shortage of at least 2.3 million workers, a shortfall exacerbated by the strain of Russia’s war in Ukraine and one that Russia’s traditional source of foreign labor — Central Asians — is not able to fill, Moscow is turning to a new supplier: India.
Indian influx helps Russia make up labor shortfall
In 2021, a year before Russia sent its troops into Ukraine, some 5,000 work permits were approved for Indian nationals. Last year, almost 72,000 permits were okayed for Indians — nearly a third of the total annual quota for migrant workers on visas.
“Currently, expatriate employees from India are the most popular,” said Alexei Filipenkov, director of a company that brings in Indian workers.
He said workers from ex-Soviet Central Asia, who do not need visas, had stopped coming in sufficient numbers. Official figures show they still made up the majority of some 2.3 million legal foreign workers not requiring a visa last year, however.
But a weaker ruble, tougher migration laws, and increasingly sharp anti-immigrant rhetoric from Russian politicians have eroded their numbers and encouraged Moscow to boost visa quotas for workers from elsewhere.
The choice of India for unskilled labor reflects strong defense and economic ties between Moscow and New Delhi.
India has been buying discounted Russian oil that Moscow — due to Western sanctions — cannot easily sell elsewhere, although that may now be in question.
President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi signed a deal in December to make it easier for Indians to work in Russia. Denis Manturov, Russia’s first deputy prime minister, said at the time that Russia could accept an “unlimited number” of Indian workers.
At least 800,000 people were needed in manufacturing, and another 1.5 million in the service and construction sectors, he said.
Indians working in Russian factories and farms
Brera Intex, a Moscow textiles company, has hired around 10 workers from South Asia, including Indians, to make curtains and bed linen.
Sat at a sewing machine, 23-year-old Gaurav from India said he had been working in Russia for three months.
“I was told to come (over) to this side, that the work and money are good,” he said. “Russian life is very good.”
Married with two children, he said he spoke to his family back in India by phone every day and told them he missed them.
Olga Lugovskaya, the company’s owner, said the workers — with the help of samples and supervision — had picked up the work in time and were highly motivated.
“Some of the guys who came in didn’t even know how to switch on a sewing machine,” she said. “(But) after two or three months, you could already trust them to sew a proper finished item.”
Outside Moscow, the Sergiyevsky farm relies on Indian workers too, using them to process and pack vegetables for an average salary of about 50,000 rubles ($660) per month, a salary for which the farm says locals will not work.
“I have been working here, at Sergiyevsky, for one year,” said Sahil, 23, who said he was from India’s Punjab region.
“In India there is little money, but here there is a lot of money. The work is here.”
US pressure on India to halt its purchases of Russian oil — something President Donald Trump has linked to a trade deal between the United States and India announced this month — could yet dampen Moscow’s appetite for Indian workers.
But for now it’s unclear how New Delhi will recalibrate its oil purchases, and Moscow has played down any suggestion of tensions.
“I have a contract for one year. In the rubbish disposal business. The money is good,” said Ajit, one of the men, speaking in English.
Faced with what the authorities say is an immediate shortage of at least 2.3 million workers, a shortfall exacerbated by the strain of Russia’s war in Ukraine and one that Russia’s traditional source of foreign labor — Central Asians — is not able to fill, Moscow is turning to a new supplier: India.
Indian influx helps Russia make up labor shortfall
In 2021, a year before Russia sent its troops into Ukraine, some 5,000 work permits were approved for Indian nationals. Last year, almost 72,000 permits were okayed for Indians — nearly a third of the total annual quota for migrant workers on visas.
“Currently, expatriate employees from India are the most popular,” said Alexei Filipenkov, director of a company that brings in Indian workers.
He said workers from ex-Soviet Central Asia, who do not need visas, had stopped coming in sufficient numbers. Official figures show they still made up the majority of some 2.3 million legal foreign workers not requiring a visa last year, however.
But a weaker ruble, tougher migration laws, and increasingly sharp anti-immigrant rhetoric from Russian politicians have eroded their numbers and encouraged Moscow to boost visa quotas for workers from elsewhere.
The choice of India for unskilled labor reflects strong defense and economic ties between Moscow and New Delhi.
India has been buying discounted Russian oil that Moscow — due to Western sanctions — cannot easily sell elsewhere, although that may now be in question.
President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi signed a deal in December to make it easier for Indians to work in Russia. Denis Manturov, Russia’s first deputy prime minister, said at the time that Russia could accept an “unlimited number” of Indian workers.
At least 800,000 people were needed in manufacturing, and another 1.5 million in the service and construction sectors, he said.
Indians working in Russian factories and farms
Brera Intex, a Moscow textiles company, has hired around 10 workers from South Asia, including Indians, to make curtains and bed linen.
Sat at a sewing machine, 23-year-old Gaurav from India said he had been working in Russia for three months.
“I was told to come (over) to this side, that the work and money are good,” he said. “Russian life is very good.”
Married with two children, he said he spoke to his family back in India by phone every day and told them he missed them.
Olga Lugovskaya, the company’s owner, said the workers — with the help of samples and supervision — had picked up the work in time and were highly motivated.
“Some of the guys who came in didn’t even know how to switch on a sewing machine,” she said. “(But) after two or three months, you could already trust them to sew a proper finished item.”
Outside Moscow, the Sergiyevsky farm relies on Indian workers too, using them to process and pack vegetables for an average salary of about 50,000 rubles ($660) per month, a salary for which the farm says locals will not work.
“I have been working here, at Sergiyevsky, for one year,” said Sahil, 23, who said he was from India’s Punjab region.
“In India there is little money, but here there is a lot of money. The work is here.”
US pressure on India to halt its purchases of Russian oil — something President Donald Trump has linked to a trade deal between the United States and India announced this month — could yet dampen Moscow’s appetite for Indian workers.
But for now it’s unclear how New Delhi will recalibrate its oil purchases, and Moscow has played down any suggestion of tensions.
© 2026 SAUDI RESEARCH & PUBLISHING COMPANY, All Rights Reserved And subject to Terms of Use Agreement.










