LONDON: British house prices edged lower in May, in line with economists’ expectations, but the annual rate of growth rose and a shortage of homes is likely to push prices up further, mortgage lender Halifax said.
House prices dropped by 0.1 percent in May compared with a 1.6 percent surge in April.
The year-on-year rate of growth, however, was at its highest since December at 8.6 percent in the three months to May compared with the same months last year, up from an 8.5 percent annual increase for the three months to April.
“The imbalance between supply and demand is likely to continue to push up house prices over the coming months. Looking further ahead, the increasing level of house prices in relation to earnings is expected to dampen house price growth,” Halifax economist Martin Ellis said.
The figures contrast with those released on Wednesday by rival mortgage lender Nationwide, which reported the lowest annual increase in house prices in nearly two years, at 4.6 percent.
House prices on both measures were growing at a double-digit rate in the middle of last year, before tighter rules on mortgage lending sapped demand.
But Britain’s housing market appears to be recovering momentum. The Bank of England this week reported the biggest jump in the number of mortgages approved by lenders for six years, taking April’s total to the highest since early last year.
With wages now outstripping inflation and May’s election victory of Prime Minister David Cameron’s home-owner friendly Conservative Party, many economists think house prices could rise more strongly than previously thought.
“A recent shortage of properties coming on to the market seems to be exerting increasing upward pressure on house prices,” said IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer.
“Nevertheless, the upside ... is expected to be constrained by more stretched house prices to earnings ratios, tighter checking of prospective mortgage borrowers by lenders and the knowledge that interest rates will eventually start rising.”
A Reuters poll on Tuesday showed that on average, economists expect house prices to rise by 6 percent this year and 5 percent in 2016, up sharply from forecasts they made three months ago.
UK house prices: Halifax predicts upward pressure
UK house prices: Halifax predicts upward pressure
US allows countries to buy Russian oil stranded at sea for 30 days
- US issues 30-day license for stranded Russian oil purchases
- Measure the latest by Trump administration to calm energy markets jolted by Iran war
The United States issued a 30-day license for countries to buy Russian oil and petroleum products currently stranded at sea in what Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said was a step to stabilize global energy markets roiled by the Iran war.
The announcement comes a day after the US Energy Department said that the US would be releasing 172 million barrels of oil from the strategic petroleum reserve in an effort to curb sky-rocketing oil prices in the wake of the war in Iran. That release was part of a broader commitment by the 32-nation International Energy Agency to release 400 million barrels of oil. The agency said earlier on Thursday that he war in the Middle East was creating the biggest oil supply disruption in history. Bessent, in a statement on X released hours after benchmark oil prices shot above $100 a barrel, said the measure was “narrowly tailored” and “short-term” and would not provide significant financial benefit to the Russian government.
“The temporary increase in oil prices is a short-term and temporary disruption that will result in a massive benefit to our nation and economy in the long-term,” Bessent said in the statement, echoing President Donald Trump.
Thursday’s license, which authorizes the delivery and sale of Russian crude oil and petroleum products loaded on vessels as of March 12, will remain valid through midnight Washington time on April 11, according to the text of the license posted on the Treasury Department’s website. The US Treasury previously issued a 30-day waiver on March 5 specifically for India, allowing New Delhi to buy Russian oil stuck at sea. Among other measures to tame energy prices, Trump has already ordered the US International Development Finance Corporation to provide political risk insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade in the Gulf and said the US Navy could escort ships in the region. In another attempt to control prices, the Trump administration is considering temporarily waiving a shipping rule known as the Jones Act to ensure energy and agricultural products can move freely between US ports, the White House said. Waiving the rule would allow foreign ships to carry fuel between US ports, potentially lowering costs and speeding deliveries.
“The president is taking every action he can to lower prices ... unsanctioned oil that’s at sea to get that into the market, continuing to push our own producers to drill and expand production as fast and as far as they can, providing regulatory relief, and you’re going to see more and more in the days to come,” White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller told Fox News’ “Primetime” program on Thursday.
There were about 124 million barrels of Russian-origin oil on water across 30 different locations globally as of Thursday, Fox News reported, adding that the US license would provide around five to six days of supply when taking into account the daily loss of oil from the Strait. Trump said earlier on Thursday the United States stood to make significant money from oil prices driven higher by the war, prompting criticism from some lawmakers who accused him of caring only about rich people.
US and Israeli strikes on Iran and the subsequent response by Tehran have widened regional tensions and paralyzed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting vital Middle East oil and gas flows and sending energy prices higher.
Raising the stakes for the global economy, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps says it will block oil shipments from the Gulf unless the US and Israeli attacks cease.
