UAE debt market to surpass $350bn in 2026: Fitch Ratings 

The UAE is expected to remain among the largest debt issuers in emerging markets. Getty
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Updated 27 January 2026
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UAE debt market to surpass $350bn in 2026: Fitch Ratings 

RIYADH: The UAE’s debt capital market is set to surpass $350 billion in 2026 and exceed $400 billion in the following years, supported by strong sukuk issuance, funding diversification and regulatory reforms, an analysis showed. 

In a new report, Fitch Ratings said that outstanding debt in the UAE climbed past $325 billion at the end of 2025, marking a 9.3 percent increase from a year earlier. 

The steady momentum in the Gulf Cooperation Council sukuk market highlights the region’s expanding debt markets, driven by domestic and international investors seeking diversification and stable returns. 

Earlier this month, Fitch said in a separate report that Saudi Arabia’s debt capital market is projected to reach $600 billion outstanding in 2026, positioning the Kingdom as the largest US dollar debt and sukuk issuer among emerging markets. 

Bashar Al-Natoor, Fitch’s global head of Islamic finance, said: “UAE’s DCM saw record high sukuk issuance in 2025, the highest-ever annual issuance. Dollar sukuk issuance rose to about 50 percent of dollar issuance, also the highest on record and up from 21.4 percent in 2024.”  

He added: “Over 85 percent of Fitch-rated sukuk in the UAE are investment-grade, with 100 percent of issuers on Stable Outlooks and no defaults. The market saw many debut sukuk issuers.” 

The country is expected to remain among the largest debt issuers in emerging markets and a leading global sukuk hub, underpinned by its Islamic finance ecosystem. 

Among emerging markets excluding China, the UAE ranked as the fifth-largest US dollar debt issuer in 2025, accounting for 7 percent of issuance. 

Dollar sukuk issuance in the UAE surged by more than 130 percent in 2025, while dollar bond issuance declined by 36 percent, Fitch said. 

The UAE ranked as the world’s second-largest dollar sukuk issuer and the third-largest issuer of environmental, social and governance-linked sukuk in 2025. 

“The UAE saw the emergence of digitally native notes, along with retail and fractional sukuk, which could improve settlement efficiencies and diversify the investor base,” added Fitch. 

The report cautioned, however, that the UAE’s debt capital market remains sensitive to oil price movements, interest rate volatility, and geopolitical risks. 


PIF’s Humain invests $3bn in Elon Musk’s xAI prior to SpaceX acquisition

Updated 18 February 2026
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PIF’s Humain invests $3bn in Elon Musk’s xAI prior to SpaceX acquisition

JEDDAH: Humain, an artificial intelligence company owned by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, invested $3 billion in Elon Musk’s xAI shortly before the startup was acquired by SpaceX.

As part of xAI’s Series E round, Humain acquired a significant minority stake in the company, which was subsequently converted into shares of SpaceX, according to a press release.

The transaction reflects PIF’s broader push to position Saudi Arabia as a central hub in the global AI ecosystem, as part of its Vision 2030 diversification strategy.

Through Humain, the fund is seeking to combine capital deployment with infrastructure buildout, partnerships with leading technology firms, and domestic capacity development to reduce reliance on oil revenues and expand into advanced industries.

The $3 billion commitment offers potential for long-term capital gains while reinforcing the company’s role as a strategic, scaled investor in transformative technologies.

CEO Tareq Amin said: “This investment reflects Humain’s conviction in transformational AI and our ability to deploy meaningful capital behind exceptional opportunities where long-term vision, technical excellence, and execution converge, xAI’s trajectory, further strengthened by its acquisition by SpaceX, one of the largest technology mergers on record, represents the kind of high-impact platform we seek to support with significant capital.” 

The deal builds on a large-scale collaboration announced in November at the US-Saudi Investment Forum, where Humain and xAI committed to developing over 500 megawatts of next-generation AI data center and computing infrastructure, alongside deploying xAI’s “Grok” models in the Kingdom.

In a post on his X handle, Amin said: “I’m proud to share that Humain has invested $3 billion into xAI’s Series E round, just prior to its historic acquisition by SpaceX. Through this transaction, Humain became a significant minority shareholder in xAI.”

He added: “The investment builds on our previously announced 500MW AI infrastructure partnership with xAI in Saudi Arabia, reinforcing Humain’s role as both a strategic development partner and a scaled global investor in frontier AI.”

He noted that xAI’s trajectory, further strengthened by SpaceX’s acquisition, exemplifies the high-impact platforms Humain aims to support through strategic investments.

Earlier in February, SpaceX completed the acquisition of xAI, reflecting Elon Musk’s strategy to integrate AI with space exploration.

The combined entity, valued at $1.25 trillion, aims to build a vertically integrated innovation ecosystem spanning AI, space launch technology, and satellite internet, as well as direct-to-device communications and real-time information platforms, according to Bloomberg.

Humain, founded in August, consolidates Saudi Arabia’s AI initiatives under a single entity. From the outset, its vision has extended beyond domestic markets, participating across the global AI value chain from infrastructure to applications.

The company represents a strategic initiative by PIF to diversify the Kingdom’s economy and reduce oil dependence by investing in knowledge-based and advanced technologies.