Israeli repression, settlement expansion risk stoking West Bank violence: Experts

Palestinians watch patrolling Israeli soldiers as the military closes part of the H2 southern sector of the West Bank city of Hebron, announcing a curfew as they search for weapons and Palestinians on their wanted list, in the Israeli occupied West Bank on January 19, 2026. (FILE/AFP)
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Updated 21 January 2026
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Israeli repression, settlement expansion risk stoking West Bank violence: Experts

  • Ex-US envoy to Jordan: Despite Trump’s opposition, ‘de facto reality is one of annexation’

CHICAGO: Israel’s repression and its continued expansion of Jewish-only settlements are pushing Palestinians toward violence, Middle East experts said during a panel discussion attended by Arab News on Tuesday.

Hosted by the Middle East Institute, the panelists included Ron Shatzberg, co-executive director of the Economic Cooperation Foundation; Dr. Tahani Mustafa, visiting fellow in the Middle East and North Africa program at the European Council on Foreign Relations; and Yael Lempert, a former US ambassador to Jordan.

“From speaking with Palestinians, the hardship of what they’re going through, I see a potential escalation into violence in the West Bank,” Shatzberg said, adding that the goal of the settler movement and its supporters in Israel’s government is to achieve the collapse of the Palestinian Authority and block Palestinian statehood.

Violence in the West Bank would jeopardize the peace plan of US President Donald Trump, Shatzberg said, adding that accelerated settlement growth is a form of “de facto annexation.”

Mustafa said violence against Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank began long before the Hamas attack on Israel of Oct. 7, 2023.

“It was driving younger and younger generations of Palestinians that saw absolutely no political horizon toward more radical elements like Islamic Jihad and Hamas … In the last few months leading up to Oct. 7, the situation had been more tense than it had ever been in the decade that I’d worked on Palestine before that,” she added.

“Pre-Oct. 7, the levels of violence in the West Bank, land appropriation, Israeli search and arrest operations, settler violence, had been the worst they’d ever been in this conflict. The numbers of (Palestinian) fatalities were outnumbering anything we’d seen in the 15 years prior.” 

Lempert said there has been “tremendous frustration” from US administrations at the continued settlement expansion.

Despite Trump publicly declaring that “I will not allow Israel to annex the West Bank,” the “de facto reality is one of annexation, and no longer creeping annexation but sprinting annexation,” she added. “You see an acceleration that frankly is unrivaled since 1967.”

Shatzberg said Israel erected more than 30,000 new settler housing units just in 2025, fast outpacing the average of 4,000-5,000 each year.

He added that according to recent polling, 47 percent of Israelis oppose annexation while only 32 percent support it. The remainder, 21 percent, support a continuation of the status quo.


One killed in attack on oil tankers off Iraq, rescue operation ongoing: authorities

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One killed in attack on oil tankers off Iraq, rescue operation ongoing: authorities

  • Iraq’s oil ministry said in a statement on Thursday it had “deep concern” about incidents involving oil tankers in the Gulf, without providing details

BAGHDAD: An attack on two oil tankers near Iraq killed at least one crew member, authorities said on Thursday, as Iran carries out a campaign to disrupt global energy markets.
Farhan Al-Fartousi, from Iraq’s General Company for Ports, told state television that one crew member had been killed and 38 rescued while the “search continues for the missing.”
He did not specify the crew members’ nationalities or provide details on who was behind the attack, which occurred roughly 50 kilometers (31 miles) from the coast.
The Iraqi government’s media cell told national news agency INA that “two tankers were subject to sabotage.”
Iraq’s oil ministry said in a statement on Thursday it had “deep concern” about incidents involving oil tankers in the Gulf, without providing details.
“The safety of navigation in international maritime corridors and energy supply routes must remain free from regional conflicts,” the ministry added.
The Strait of Hormuz — the waterway carrying a fifth of the world’s oil — remains closed to almost all oil tankers, and Iran has vowed that not one liter of oil would be exported from the Gulf while its war with the United States and Israel continues.
US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that US forces have struck 28 Iranian mine-laying vessels more than a week into the Middle East war.
Images of a ship at sea with plumes of smoke rising from a huge fire, were broadcast by state television channel Al-Ikhbariya. AFP could not verify the images.
An employee at Iraq’s Basra oil terminal told AFP that it was unclear “whether it was a drone attack or explosive-laden boats.”
The Iraqi State Organization for Marketing of Oil (SOMO) confirmed in a statement that two oil tankers were attacked, without providing details on how.
Maltese-flagged oil tanker ZEFYROS was attacked as it was preparing to enter the port of Khor Al-Zoubair, where it would have taken on board an additional 30,000 tons of liquid naphtha — primarily used in petrochemicals, SOMO said.
The second targeted vessel, SAFESEA VISHNU, was sailing under the Marshall Islands flag and was chartered by an Iraqi company, according to SOMO.
The incidents come just hours after the US embassy in Baghdad warned that Iran and Tehran-backed Iraqi armed groups might target US-owned oil facilities in Iraq.