Non-oil growth fuels 3% GDP rise across GCC in early 2025 

Economic growth across the GCC is projected to rise in the medium term. Shutterstock
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Updated 06 October 2025
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Non-oil growth fuels 3% GDP rise across GCC in early 2025 

JEDDAH: Gulf Cooperation Council economies expanded by 3 percent in the first quarter of 2025, with gross domestic product reaching $588.1 billion, up from $570.9 billion in the same period of 2024, according to official data. 

This growth, according to the Statistical Center for the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, or GCC-Stat, was primarily fueled by a significant expansion in non-oil activities, which accounted for 73.2 percent of the region’s GDP — a 2.6-percentage-point increase from 70.6 percent at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024, the Oman News Agency reported. 

This comes as economic growth across the GCC is projected to rise in the medium term, according to a report by the International Monetary Fund released in June. The IMF forecast growth of 3.2 percent in 2025, with a further increase to 4.5 percent expected in 2026. 

“The GCC’s GDP at current prices grew by 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2025, reaching $587.8 billion in the fourth quarter,” the ONA report stated, citing the GCC-Stat data. 

This indicated a stable economic environment, with non-oil sectors continuing to play a pivotal role in sustaining growth amidst global economic uncertainties. 

Building on the GCC trend, Saudi Arabia has projected real GDP growth of 4.6 percent in 2026, supported by expected gains in non-oil activity.

In its pre-budget statement released last week, the Ministry of Finance set the 2025 growth projection at 4.4 percent, reflecting the economy’s sustained performance in the first half of the year. 

The report said the 2025 forecast “is driven by an estimated 5.0 percent increase in non-oil activities, supported by increased domestic demand and improved employment rates, which contribute to rises in both private consumption and investment, while reinforcing the resilience of economic growth.” 

The 2026 GDP forecast positions Saudi Arabia ahead of the International Monetary Fund’s 3.1 percent projection for the global economy and surpasses the IMF’s forecasts for the US, China, Japan, and the euro area. 

The UAE also recorded real GDP growth of 3.9 percent in the first quarter of 2025, the state news agency reported last month, citing preliminary estimates from the Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Center.

Among non-oil activities, the UAE’s trade sector contributed the most to GDP at 15.6 percent, followed by finance and insurance at 14.6 percent, manufacturing at 13.4 percent, construction at 12 percent, and real estate at 7.4 percent.


Saudi Cabinet cancels expat worker fees for licensed industrial facilities

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Saudi Cabinet cancels expat worker fees for licensed industrial facilities

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Cabinet, chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, has approved the abolition of fees imposed on expatriate labor in industrial facilities licensed under an industrial permit, following a recommendation from the Council of Economic and Development Affairs.

The Saudi Press Agency reported that the decision reflects the Kingdom’s ongoing support for the industrial sector and aligns with the crown prince’s commitment to empowering national factories, enhancing their sustainability and global competitiveness, and advancing Saudi Vision 2030’s goal of a resilient, diversified industrial economy.

The decision to abolish the financial levy on expatriate workers in industrial facilities will enhance the global competitiveness of Saudi industry and expand the reach of non-oil exports in international markets, said Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef.

In remarks to SPA, Alkhorayef stated that the decision reflects the continued support and empowerment provided to the industrial sector by the crown prince. He emphasized that industry remains a key pillar of national economic diversification under Saudi Vision 2030.

He explained that the move will strengthen sustainable industrial development in the Kingdom, enhance national industrial capabilities, and attract high-quality investments, supported by the incentives and enablers offered by the industrial ecosystem.

Alkhorayef added that abolishing the levy will reduce factories’ operating costs, enabling them to expand, grow, and increase production, while accelerating the adoption of modern operating models such as automation, artificial intelligence, and advanced manufacturing technologies — thereby improving efficiency and boosting the sector’s global competitiveness.

The minister reaffirmed the ministry’s commitment to supporting continued industrial growth, attracting international investment, and providing 800 investment opportunities across various industrial activities valued at SR1 trillion ($270 billion), in addition to tripling industrial gross domestic product to SR895 billion by 2035.

He noted that the government’s coverage of the expatriate levy over the past six years — during the first and second exemption periods from Oct. 1, 2019, to Dec. 31, 2025 — played a pivotal role in driving qualitative growth in the industrial sector and expanding the Kingdom’s industrial base.

Between 2019 and the end of 2024, the sector achieved significant milestones, including an increase in the number of industrial facilities from 8,822 factories to more than 12,000, and a 35 percent rise in total industrial investments from SR908 billion to SR1.22 trillion.

Non-oil exports grew by 16 percent, rising from SR187 billion to SR217 billion, while employment increased by 74 percent, from 488,000 workers to 847,000. Localization improved from 29 percent to 31 percent, and industrial GDP expanded by 56 percent, from SR322 billion to more than SR501 billion.