Tadawul defies global IPO slump as Saudi listings thrive

Saudi Arabia’s sustained IPO performance reflects strong macroeconomic management, regulatory clarity, and ongoing reforms across sectors. (Supplied)
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Updated 05 September 2025
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Tadawul defies global IPO slump as Saudi listings thrive

  • While traditional financial centers struggle, the Kingdom continues to attract listings, underscoring a potential shift in how and where global capital is deployed

RIYADH: The Saudi Exchange is proving resilient amid a global initial public offerings downturn, highlighting the strength and dynamism of its diverse issuer base. 

While traditional financial centers struggle, the Kingdom continues to attract listings, underscoring a potential shift in how and where global capital is deployed.

Across the US, Europe, and much of Asia, 2025 has seen subdued IPO activity, affected by volatile macroeconomic indicators, persistent inflation, and shifting investor sentiment. Could Saudi Arabia’s divergence signal a broader reshaping of investor priorities and market leadership?

Equity markets showed early signs of recovery in the first quarter, but geopolitical tensions and tariff shocks in April disrupted momentum, prompting issuers to delay offerings and adopt a cautious stance, according to Haitham Aljabry, capital markets consulting partner at PwC Middle East.

In contrast, the Saudi Exchange is charting its own path. As of August 2025, 33 new listings have been completed across its main market, Nomu – parallel market, and sukuk and bonds market, bringing the total number of listed securities to more than 460.

“The Saudi Exchange’s resilience amid the global IPO slowdown underscores the strength and dynamism of our diverse issuer base,” Nasser Alajaji, chief of listing at the Saudi Exchange, told Arab News.

Alajaji added: “Recent listings from new sectors such as aviation and e-commerce have further deepened market breadth and enhanced its appeal.” 




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He highlighted the launch of the Kingdom’s first ESG-focused exchange-traded fund and two corporate sukuk as signs of ongoing innovation aligned with the Financial Sector Development Program under Vision 2030.

“Global IPO activity paused, as some companies chose to delay their IPO processes due to the level of uncertainty associated with the various tariff announcements,” Aljabry explained. “However, the gradual reopening of selective IPO markets is now underway, with sentiment largely tied to macroeconomic and geopolitical stability.”

Aljabry said Saudi Arabia’s sustained IPO performance reflects strong macroeconomic management, regulatory clarity, and ongoing reforms across sectors. The government’s commitment to economic diversification through megaprojects such as Neom and the Red Sea is bolstering investor confidence and stimulating activity across industries. Capital inflows have also remained consistent in 2025, supported by a stable riyal-dollar peg and Saudi Arabia’s status as a regional safe haven amid wider geopolitical instability.

Structural advantages boosting Tadawul’s appeal
Tadawul offers structural advantages that distinguish it from global peers.

“Tadawul is the largest stock exchange in the MENA region by market capitalization. Its high free-float requirement ensures liquidity, and Tadawul’s inclusion and weighting in MSCI EM and FTSE indices boosts demand from passive global funds,” Ibrahim Soumrany, partner at Gibson Dunn in Riyadh, noted.

Soumrany also cited strong valuation premiums, robust institutional demand, and consistent oversubscription levels in retail tranches, with new listings often leaving individual investors with as few as ten shares. Additional drivers include state asset privatizations, Public Investment Fund divestments, and IPOs by large family conglomerates seeking succession planning and liquidity.

“The level of capital inflow into the Saudi market since the beginning of the year suggests that investors, both local and international, continue to view the Kingdom as a stable and growth-oriented investment destination, even as global capital markets remain cautious,” Aljabry said.

Regulatory momentum
Saudi capital markets benefit from a deepening institutional investor base and growing digital engagement, particularly among younger retail investors accessing equities via trading apps.

“The Saudi capital market continues to play a pivotal role in driving economic diversification and attracting global capital,” Alajaji said. “We continue to observe steady IPO activity across all our platforms… Investor demand remains robust, supported by a favorable regulatory environment and active participation from both institutional and retail investors.”

According to Aljabry, IPOs in Saudi Arabia during 2025 have predominantly involved well-established or strategically significant companies aligned with Vision 2030, appealing to long-term investors. Despite fluctuations in crude oil prices, the Kingdom has attracted significant capital inflows, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth strategy and stable economic management.

In terms of liquidity and market-making, Saudi capital markets stand out. Soumrany emphasized that market-making regulations support tighter bid-ask spreads and consistent trading activity, enhancing the investor experience and reducing market volatility.

Further contributing to market dynamism is the growing role of Qualified Foreign Investors. As of August, over 4,400 QFIs were registered with the Saudi Exchange, highlighting rising international institutional interest, Alajaji told Arab News.

The evolution of environmental, social and governance and sustainability-linked products is also adding new dimensions to the market. Alajaji noted that the introduction of new asset classes and sustainability-driven instruments reflects the exchange’s commitment to long-term innovation.

Retail investor enthusiasm remains a key pillar. Soumrany noted: “High oversubscription levels in retail tranches. Retail investors are unlikely to receive more than 10 shares due to high oversubscription levels.” 

Some IPOs have been so oversubscribed that retail investors received only a fraction of their applications, demonstrating grassroots engagement in Saudi capital markets.

Outlook
Looking ahead, Aljabry believes the momentum of Saudi IPOs is unlikely to slow. With a predictable pipeline shaped by PIF exits, state divestments, and family business listings, the exchange is well-positioned to maintain its upward trajectory.

The alignment between economic diversification objectives and capital market development ensures that listings will continue to be both strategic and impactful. Soumrany said this alignment results in IPOs that are not only financially attractive but integral to the broader national transformation.

Tadawul’s strength amid global weakness underscores its evolution into a leading regional financial hub. As global investors seek resilient, growth-oriented markets, Saudi Arabia is increasingly viewed as a compelling alternative to traditional financial centers. With robust infrastructure, regulatory foresight, and strategic positioning, the Kingdom is not just weathering the global IPO slump — it is defining a new benchmark for emerging-market exchanges.
 


S&P affirms UAE sovereign credit ratings at AA/A-1+ amid regional tensions

Updated 10 March 2026
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S&P affirms UAE sovereign credit ratings at AA/A-1+ amid regional tensions

JEDDAH: The UAE’s sovereign credit ratings have been affirmed at AA/A-1+ with a stable outlook, as S&P Global Ratings highlighted the country’s strong fiscal buffers, diversified economy, and policy flexibility in the face of escalating regional conflict.

The agency cited the UAE’s consolidated net assets, estimated at 184 percent of gross domestic product in 2026, and its low general government debt of around 27 percent of GDP, as key buffers against economic shocks.

Sovereign credit ratings play a key role in determining a country’s borrowing costs and investor demand for its debt. A high rating signals strong fiscal health and policy stability, helping governments attract foreign investment and access global capital markets at favorable terms.

S&P noted that “our baseline forecasts carry a significant amount of uncertainty” amid heightened tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the US, including potential threats to key infrastructure.

The report added: “We also believe the authorities will deploy their substantial policy flexibility to counteract the effects of volatility stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Gulf region on economic growth, government revenue, and its external accounts.

“We believe this flexibility will enable the UAE to withstand periods of low oil prices and, more importantly, the temporary disruption of oil production and export routes.”

The UAE is facing a tense geopolitical environment amid escalating Iran-Israel-US conflicts. Threats around the Strait of Hormuz have nearly stopped vessel traffic, fueling oil market volatility and investor concern.

The ratings agency also emphasized the UAE’s diversified economic base, with non-oil sectors accounting for roughly 75 percent of GDP, as a stabilizing factor.

Strategic infrastructure, including the Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline to Fujairah, enables the country to bypass the Strait of Hormuz and safeguard oil exports, while ADNOC’s overseas storage investments further mitigate risk.

Despite the risks, S&P expects sectors such as financial services, trade, and tourism to remain resilient. It forecasts that UAE growth will moderate to 2.2 percent in 2026, down from 5 percent in 2025, reflecting potential impacts from expatriate outflows, reduced tourism revenue, and lower real estate demand.

S&P cautioned, however, that “we now expect weaker economic and external performance due to increased intensity, scope, and potential duration of conflict in the Middle East,” underscoring that prolonged disruption could weigh on fiscal and external accounts.

The affirmation underscores investor confidence in the UAE’s ability to navigate short-term geopolitical challenges while maintaining long-term stability. Analysts said the country’s large liquid asset buffer and effective policy tools will likely contain the credit impact of regional tensions and support continued economic growth.

The UAE has consistently maintained strong and stable sovereign credit ratings, reflecting a resilient and diversified economy, as well as prudent fiscal management.

Despite occasional caution during regional tensions or oil market swings, ratings have remained high, underscoring the country’s policy flexibility, fiscal strength, and appeal to global investors.