Moody’s upgrades Pakistan’s credit rating to ‘Caa1’, finance minister hopes for rate cut

A sign for Moody's rating agency is displayed at the company headquarters in New York, September 18, 2012. (AFP)
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Updated 13 August 2025
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Moody’s upgrades Pakistan’s credit rating to ‘Caa1’, finance minister hopes for rate cut

  • Pakistan’s international bonds rose as much as 1 cent to between 90-100 cents on the dollar following ratings upgrade
  • Aurangzeb says more room for central bank to cut key policy rate from 11 percent on back of positive economic indicators

Moody’s said on Wednesday it had raised Pakistan’s credit rating by one notch to ‘Caa1’ from ‘Caa2’ due to an improving external financial position and it assigned the country a “stable” outlook.

The announcement came within hours of Pakistan’s Finance Minister Mohammed Aurangzeb saying there was more room for the central bank to cut the country’s key policy rate from 11 percent on the back of positive economic indicators.

“The credit rating’s improvement is a sign that economic policies are heading toward the right direction,” Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said in a statement.

Pakistan’s international bonds rose as much as 1 cent to between 90 and 100 cents on the dollar following the ratings upgrade. It lifted most of them to their highest since early 2022 when fears of a full-blown debt crisis sent them plunging to as little as 30 cents.

Moody’s decision to raise the rating by one notch after Fitch and S&P did the same will help Pakistan’s capability to raise external debt. Pakistan says its economy is on a recovery path after a $7 billion IMF bailout helped to stabilize it.

“We changed the outlook for the Government of Pakistan to stable from positive,” Moody’s said in a statement.

“The upgrade to Caa1 reflects Pakistan’s improving external position, supported by its progress in reform implementation under the IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program,” it said.

Pakistan’s debt affordability has improved, but remains one of the weakest among rated sovereigns, Moody’s said, adding that the Caa1 rating also reflected the country’s weak governance and high degree of political uncertainty.

Aurangzeb told a gathering of businessmen in Islamabad ahead of the Moody’s announcement that he was expecting an improvement in Pakistan’s credit rating by other agencies after Fitch and S&P.

“We are hopeful of progress in terms of the policy rate going south,” he added.

Aurangzeb said it was his personal view that there was more room for a rate cut toward the end of the year, adding that it was for the central bank to make the final call on the issue. The next policy rate announcement is due on September 15. The central bank left its key interest rate unchanged at 11 percent on July 30, going against analyst expectations. In a Reuters poll they had forecast a reduction of 50 to 100 basis points. The bank said the inflation outlook had deteriorated due to rising energy prices.

Inflation accelerated to 4.1 percent year-on-year in July. 


Islamabad, Abu Dhabi resolve to deepen cooperation as UAE minister arrives in Pakistan

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Islamabad, Abu Dhabi resolve to deepen cooperation as UAE minister arrives in Pakistan

  • UAE’s Minister of Tolerance Sheikh Nayhan bin Mubarak Al Nayhan arrives in southern Khairpur city
  • Al Nayhan meets Pakistan Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi, discuss joint initiatives, bilateral ties

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi and UAE’s Minister of Tolerance and Coexistence Sheikh Nahyan bin Mubarak Al Nahyan on Wednesday discussed deepening bilateral cooperation and matters of mutual interest between the two states, the Pakistani interior ministry said. 

The two officials met and held talks when Al Nayhan arrived in Pakistan’s southern Khairpur city, the interior ministry said. Both leaders jointly cut a cake to mark the UAE’s National Day, which is celebrated on Dec. 2 every year. 

“During the meeting, there was a detailed discussion on further strengthening bilateral cooperation between Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates, matters of mutual interest and joint initiatives,” the interior ministry said. 

Naqvi observed that the brotherly ties between Pakistan and the UAE are based on mutual trust, respect and long-standing friendship. 

The Pakistani minister also noted that both countries remain firmly committed to further strengthening these ties, the statement said. 

Pakistan considers the UAE a vital regional ally, with the Gulf nation being Pakistan’s third-largest trading partner after China and the US.

It is also a major source of foreign investment for the South Asian country, valued at over $10 billion in the last 20 years, according to the UAE’s ministry of foreign affairs.