Global markets: Shares rise on China-US trade hopes, dollar on the back foot

The S&P 500 index is up just 4.4 percent this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year. Getty
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Updated 27 June 2025
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Global markets: Shares rise on China-US trade hopes, dollar on the back foot

PARIS: Global shares rallied on Friday, helped by signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while the dollar held close to its lowest levels in more than three years.

World stock markets have rallied to record highs this week, as traders took confidence from a ceasefire between Iran and Israel and markets stepped up bets for US rate cuts.

A trade agreement between the US and China on Thursday on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the US was also seen by markets as a positive sign, amid efforts to end the tariff war between the world’s two biggest economies.

Asian shares hit their highest in more than three years in early trading, and US stock futures pointed to a firm start for Wall Street shares.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.8 percent on the day, set for a 1.1 percent weekly gain — its best week since mid-May.

London’s FTSE 100 was up 0.5 percent and Germany’s DAX gained 0.6 percent.

The MSCI World Equity Index touched a fresh record high and was set for a weekly gain of 2.8 percent.

The S&P 500 index is up just 4.4 percent this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year, dominated by US President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement on April 2, which sent stocks plunging.

“What we are having right now is potentially some optimism about some trade deals,” said Vasileios Gkionakis, senior economist and strategist at Aviva Investors.

“We have ... come from quite low levels in the aftermath of the Liberation Day in April. To a certain extent we have also had some mini-selloff on the back of the events in the Middle East, and in that sense we’re rebounding.”

Trump has set July 9 as the deadline for the EU and other countries to reach a deal to reduce tariffs.

Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said that in the near-term, the firm saw greater upside potential in US and emerging markets than in Europe.

Dollar drop

The dollar remained on the backfoot, hovering near its lowest level in 3-1/2 years against the euro and sterling.

The dollar index was down a touch on the day at 97.269 , holding near its lowest in more than three years. The euro was at $1.1708, getting a lift after data showed French consumer prices rose more than expected in June.

It held near multi-year peaks hit a day earlier.

“We see the US dollar as unattractive,” said Haefele at UBS Wealth Management.

Markets are focused on US monetary policy, as traders weigh up the possibility of Trump announcing a new, more dovish chair of the Federal Reserve.

Traders have stepped up their bets on US rate cuts, and are now pricing in 64 basis points (bps) of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday.

The dollar is having its worst start to a year since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s.

“I don’t think it’s just the repricing of the Fed, I think there is a broader issue here of some tarnishing of US exceptionalism,” Aviva Investors’ Gkionakis said.

Core PCE price data, the US central bank’s preferred measure of inflation, is due later in the session.

German 30-year government bond yields were on track for their biggest weekly increase in nearly four months after rising this week on expectations of increased borrowing by Germany’s government.

 


CMA CGM, global carriers suspend Gulf transits on security fears

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CMA CGM, global carriers suspend Gulf transits on security fears

RIYADH: Shipping and logistics across the Middle East were disrupted after major carriers halted routes and ordered vessels to seek shelter following joint US-Israeli attacks on Iran and Tehran’s warning restricting transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

At least 150 tankers, including crude oil and liquefied natural gas vessels, dropped anchor in open Gulf waters beyond the Strait of Hormuz, while dozens more were stationary on the other side of the chokepoint, shipping data showed on March 1, Reuters reported.

The tankers were clustered in open waters off the coasts of major Gulf oil producers, including Iraq and Saudi Arabia, as well as LNG giant Qatar, according to Reuters estimates based on ship-tracking data from the MarineTraffic platform.

This comes as French shipping giant CMA CGM instructed vessels operating in the Gulf to move to safe shelter and suspended some Suez Canal transits as security risks escalated along one of the world’s busiest trade routes.  

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, is one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints, carrying about 30 percent of global oil supplies along with significant volumes of liquefied natural gas.

The world’s third-largest container line said all vessels currently inside or bound for the Persian Gulf had been instructed to proceed immediately to safe shelter, while certain canal transits were halted until further notice and ships were rerouted via the Cape of Good Hope, according to a statement.

The precautionary move comes as shipping companies reassess operations across the region following military strikes and retaliatory attacks that have heightened security risks along critical maritime corridors linking Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.

“This decision is dictated by safety considerations and is made in compliance with our Bill of Lading Terms and Conditions,” the statement said.

It added: “Customers will be contacted as soon as we have more details of the possible alternative ports where their cargo could be discharged.”

The UK Maritime Trade Operations warned that the regional maritime security environment remains unstable, citing heightened military activity across key shipping lanes.

“The maritime security environment across the Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, North Arabian Sea, Bab al Mandab and the Strait of Hormuz remains highly volatile, with ongoing regional military activity contributing to an elevated threat to commercial shipping,” UKMTO said in an advisory.

The agency added that mariners should expect disruption to navigation and communications systems.

UKMTO said there is “significant military presence and activity across the region” and warned vessels of an increased risk of miscalculation or misidentification near sensitive maritime infrastructure.

Despite circulating reports, the agency said “no official closure of the Strait of Hormuz has been formally communicated to the maritime industry through recognized maritime safety channels.”

Separately, Japanese shipping companies have also begun restricting movements near the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported.

Nippon Yusen instructed vessels to halt transit in the area on Feb. 28, while Mitsui O.S.K. Lines said its ships were remaining in safe waters, citing crew and cargo safety as its top priority.  

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha said several of its vessels in the Persian Gulf were placed on standby, noting that, unlike other maritime routes, there are limited diversion options for ships operating near the strait.

“Until the situation stabilizes, we will not attempt to send vessels through the strait, nor dispatch additional ships towards the area,” a spokesperson said.

German shipping group Hapag-Lloyd has also suspended all vessel transit through the Strait of Hormuz until further notice because of the evolving security situation, it said.

This comes as a Palau-flagged oil tanker was hit off Oman’s Musandam peninsula on March 1, injuring four crew members, the country’s Maritime Security Centre said, following drone strikes on the Gulf nation’s commercial port of Duqm, Reuters reported.

The incidents mark the first time targets in or near Oman have been struck since Tehran launched retaliatory attacks across Gulf states after joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran.

The 20-member crew of the Skylight tanker was evacuated after the attack, which occurred about five nautical miles north of Khasab Port in Musandam, according to the maritime authority in a post on X. The centre did not specify what hit the vessel but said four crew members, among them 15 Indian and five Iranian nationals, suffered injuries of varying severity.

Oman’s Musandam peninsula shares control of the Strait of Hormuz with Iran, a strategic chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of global oil consumption passes.

Earlier in the day, Oman’s state news agency reported that Duqm commercial port was struck by two drones, injuring one expatriate worker. Debris from another drone fell near fuel storage tanks, though no additional casualties or material damage were recorded.