Oil Updates — little changed as higher OPEC+ output expectations weigh on sentiment

Brent crude futures were up 11 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $64.85 a barrel by 9:40 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $61.59 a barrel. Shutterstock.
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Updated 27 May 2025
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Oil Updates — little changed as higher OPEC+ output expectations weigh on sentiment

LONDON: Oil prices were little changed on Tuesday on increasing expectations members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, known as OPEC+, will decide to increase their output at a meeting later this week.

Brent crude futures were up 11 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $64.85 a barrel by 9:40 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $61.59 a barrel. The WTI contract did not settle on Monday because of the US Memorial Day holiday.

“Crude oil edged lower as the market contemplated the outlook for rising OPEC supply,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said in a note.

OPEC+ will likely finalize July output at their meeting, which sources have previously told Reuters will entail a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday that OPEC+ had yet to discuss hiking output. The group is likely to finalize output quotas in an online ministerial meeting on May 28.

Eight OPEC+ members that had pledged additional voluntary cuts are now expected to meet on May 31, one day earlier than previously scheduled, three sources within the group told Reuters on Monday.

OPEC+ members had already agreed to accelerate oil output increases for a second month in June.

However, US President Donald Trump’s decision to extend trade talks with the European Union until July 9 alleviated immediate fears of tariffs that could suppress fuel demand.

Iran set the official selling price for its light crude oil grade for Asian buyers at $1.80 a barrel above the Oman/Dubai average for June, the state-owned National Iranian Oil Co. said. The price it set for May was a premium of $1.65.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Monday that Iran would be able to survive if negotiations with the US over its nuclear program fail to secure a deal.

If nuclear talks between the US and Iran fail, it could mean continued sanctions on Iran, which would limit Iranian supply and be supportive of oil prices. 


Saudi Arabia’s industrial output rises 10.4% in November: GASTAT 

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Saudi Arabia’s industrial output rises 10.4% in November: GASTAT 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s industrial output rose at its fastest rate in months, climbing 10.4 percent year on year in November, supported by stronger manufacturing activity and higher oil production, official data showed. 

The Industrial Production Index increased to 114.4, up from 103.6 a year earlier, according to the General Authority for Statistics, though the index slipped 0.7 percent from October.

The latest figures highlight continued momentum in the Kingdom’s industrial sector as Saudi Arabia pursues economic diversification under its Vision 2030 agenda.

In its latest report, GASTAT stated: “Preliminary results indicate an increase of 10.4 percent in the IPI in November 2025 compared to the same month of the previous year, supported by the rise in mining and quarrying activity, manufacturing activity and water supply, sewerage and waste management and remediation activities.”  

The sub-index of mining and quarrying activity increased by 12.6 percent year on year in November, supported by Saudi Arabia’s decision to raise oil production to 10.1 million barrels per day, compared to 8.9 million bpd a year earlier. 

Manufacturing activity rose by 8.1 percent compared to November 2024, driven by a 14.5 percent increase in the production of coke and refined petroleum products. The manufacture of chemical products also recorded a 10.9 percent annual rise.

In contrast, the sub-index of electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply declined by 4.3 percent year on year, while water supply, sewerage and waste management and remediation activities rose by 10.2 percent. 

On a month-on-month basis, the overall IPI fell by 0.7 percent in November. 

Mining and quarrying activity rose by 0.5 percent from October, while manufacturing activity edged up by 0.3 percent.

However, electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply recorded a sharp monthly decline of 28.6 percent. Water supply, sewerage and waste management and remediation activities fell by 3.1 percent over the same period. 

Overall, the index of oil activities advanced by 12.9 percent year on year in November, while non-oil activities increased by 4.4 percent. 

Compared to October, oil activities rose by 0.4 percent, while non-oil activities declined by 3.4 percent. 

The IPI measures changes in industrial output based on the International Standard Industrial Classification framework and covers mining, manufacturing, utilities, and waste management sectors.