Pakistan blames ‘state patronage’ from Afghanistan as separatist insurgency intensifies in southwest

Pakistan's Chief Minister Sardar Sarfraz Bugti is seen chairing a meeting in Quetta, Pakistan, on May 12, 2025. (Govt. of Balochistan/File)
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Updated 15 May 2025
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Pakistan blames ‘state patronage’ from Afghanistan as separatist insurgency intensifies in southwest

  • Afghan government has dismissed accusations it allows its territory to be used by militants or supports them
  • Balochistan, Pakistan’s most resource-rich but poorest province, has for decades battled a separatist insurgency

ISLAMABAD: Chief Minister Sardar Sarfraz Bugti said on Thursday an intensifying separatist insurgency in the southwestern Pakistani province of Balochistan was being bolstered by “state patronage” from Afghanistan, rejecting that the movement was a “struggle for rights.”

Balochistan, Pakistan’s largest and most resource-rich but poorest province, has for decades battled a separatist insurgency, with rebel groups accusing Islamabad of exploiting the province’s natural wealth and failing to provide jobs, health care and education to locals. Pakistani authorities reject these claims, saying they are investing billions of dollars in infrastructure, health and development initiatives in the province.

But militant attacks have intensified in recent months, targeting security forces and infrastructure, including Chinese-backed projects. In one of the most brazen assaults earlier this year, the Balochistan Liberation Army hijacked a passenger train carrying over 350 people and held them hostage for about 36 hours before the military rescued them. The army said 31 soldiers, railway staff and civilians were killed.

In August last year, at least 73 people were killed when separatist militants attacked police stations, railway lines and highways in a highly-coordinated assault and security forces launched retaliatory operations. Most recently, seven Pakistan army soldiers were killed on May 6 when their vehicle was targeted by an improvised explosive device.

Bugti dismissed the claim that such violence represented a struggle for rights.

“This is not a national war, nor a struggle for rights,” he said. “It is a futile conflict, and the only ones suffering are the Baloch themselves.”

Bugti acknowledged that uneven development in Balochistan and poor governance and corruption had helped insurgents gain ground but said external backing from Pakistan’s enemies, particularly support from within Afghanistan, was bolstering separatists. 

“Our insurgents are living in Afghanistan under state patronage,” the CM said.

The Taliban government in Afghanistan has repeatedly dismissed Pakistani accusations that it was allowing its territory to be used by militants or that it supported any insurgent movements. It says Pakistan’s security problems are a domestic issue. 

Bugti said another factor helping militants was public sympathy and legitimacy provided by civil society groups like the Baloch Yakjehti Council. The BYC has held several protests in Balochistan and marches to the federal capital, Islamabad, in recent years, putting the spotlight on issues like human rights abuses in the province as well as extrajudicial killings and detentions, which the state denies. The Pakistan army has previously called the civil rights movement a “terrorist proxy.”

“Insurgents need mouthpieces, they need legitimate voices from society,” Bugti said, predicting that the insurgency would dissipate.

“What happened with the Kurds in Türkiye after 40 long years is also where these groups will end up too.”

The Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) group, which has been locked in bloody conflict with the Turkish state for more than four decades, announced earlier this week it would disband and end its armed struggle.

The development followed a call from the group’s imprisoned leader, Abdullah Öcalan, who urged the PKK to cease its armed struggle and pursue Kurdish rights through democratic means.


IMF board to approve Pakistan reviews today ‘if all goes well,’ say officials

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IMF board to approve Pakistan reviews today ‘if all goes well,’ say officials

  • IMF’s executive board is scheduled to meet today to discuss the disbursement of $1.2 billion
  • Economists say the money will boost Pakistan’s forex reserves, send positive signals to investors

KARACHI: The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) executive board is scheduled to meet today, Monday, to approve the release of about $1.2 billion for Pakistan under the lender’s two loan facilities, said IMF officials who requested not to be named.

The IMF officials confirmed the executive board was going to decide on the Fund’s second review under the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and first review under the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), a financing tool that provides long-term, low-cost loans to help countries address climate risks.

“The board meeting will be taking place as planned,” an IMF official told Arab News.

“The board is on today yes as per the calendar,” said another.

A well-placed official at Pakistan’s finance ministry also confirmed the board meeting was scheduled today to discuss the next tranche for Pakistan.

The IMF executive board’s meeting comes nearly two months after a staff-level agreement (SLA) was signed between the two sides in October.

Procedurally, the SLAs are subject to approval by the executive board, though it is largely viewed as a formality.

“If all goes well, the reviews should pass,” said the second IMF official.

On approval, Pakistan will have access to about $1 billion under the EFF and about $200 million under the RSF, the IMF said in a statement in October after the SLA.

The fresh transfer will bring total disbursements under the two arrangements to about $3.3 billion, it added.

Experts see smooth sailing for Pakistan in terms of the passing of the two reviews, saying the IMF disbursements will help the cash-strapped nation to strengthen its balance of payments position.

Samiullah Tariq, group head of research at Pakistan Kuwait Investment Company Limited, said the IMF board’s approval will show that Pakistan’s economy is on the right path.

“It obviously will help strengthen [the country’s] external sector, the balance of payments,” he told Arab News.

Until recently, Pakistan grappled with a macroeconomic crisis that drained its financial resources and triggered a balance of payments crisis.

Pakistan has reported financial gains since 2022, recording current account surpluses and taming inflation that touched unprecedented levels in mid-2023.

Economists also viewed the IMF’s bailout packages as crucial for cash-strapped Pakistan, which has relied heavily on financing from bilateral partners such as Saudi Arabia, China and the United Arab Emirates, as well as multilateral lenders.

Saudi Arabia, through the Saudi Fund for Development, last week extended the term of its $3 billion deposit for another year to help Pakistan boost its foreign exchange reserves, which stood at $14.5 billion as of November 28, according to State Bank of Pakistan statements.

“In our view this [IMF tranche] will be approved,” said Shankar Talreja, head of research at Karachi-based brokerage Topline Securities Limited.

“This will help strengthen reserves and will eventually help a rating upgrade going forward,” he said.

The IMF board’s nod, Talreja said, would also send a signal to the international and local investors regarding the continuation of the reform agenda by Pakistan’s government.