Pakistan annual inflation slows to lowest in almost four years in September

A woman buys vegetables from a stall in Karachi on September 26, 2024. (AFP/File)
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Updated 01 October 2024
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Pakistan annual inflation slows to lowest in almost four years in September

  • Consumer prices rose 6.93% in September from a year ago, according to Bureau of Statistics 
  • CPI decreased by 0.5% in Sept. 2024 as compared to increase of 0.4% in previous month

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s inflation clocked in at 6.9% on a year-on-year basis in September 2024, the bureau of statistics said on Tuesday, slowing to the lowest rate in almost four years after the government slashed fuel prices and food costs eased.

Consumer prices rose 6.93% in September from a year ago, according to data released by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. The reading in August 2024 stood at 9.6%.

On a month-on-month basis, CPI decreased by 0.5% in September 2024 as compared to an increase of 0.4% in the previous month and an increase of 2.0% in September 2023.

“CPI National for the month of September, 2024 decreased to 6.93% over September, 2023,” the statistics bureau said in a statement. “The Urban CPI decreased to 9.29% while Rural CPI decreased to 3.65%.”

“Due to aggressive monetary tightening, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has achieved bringing inflation below the one-year target of 7% ahead of time,” Mohammed Sohail, CEO Topline Securities, said in a note.

Pakistan’s Finance Division announced on Monday it had slashed the price of petrol by Rs2.07 per liter till the next fortnight due to the fluctuating global prices of petroleum products.

Petroleum and electricity prices have been the key drivers of high inflation in Pakistan over the past two years. Inflation averaged close to 30% in FY23 and 23.4% in FY24, which ended on June 30, 2024.

The September inflation reading is lower than official expectations, as the finance ministry had expected inflation to decelerate in the next two months (September-October) and hover around 8-9%.

“Inflation is expected to remain within the range of 8% to 9% in September and October 2024,” the Ministry of Finance said in its ‘Monthly Economic Update and Outlook’ released last week. 

The slowing inflation figure also gives impetus to a further cut in the key policy rate.

In September, the central bank announced its most aggressive cut in the key policy rate since April 2020, reducing it by 200bps to bring it down to 17.5% amid slowing inflation and declining international oil prices.

“With continued disinflation expected, mainly on the back of high base effect, falling global commodities, this gives SBP room to keep lowering the policy rate, as real interest rates are nearly 1090bps positive,” Shahid Ali Habib, CEO Arif Habib Limited, said in a note.

The IMF last month approved a $7 billion loan program that includes tough measures such as higher taxes on farm incomes and electricity prices. The prospect of such moves has worried poor and middle-class Pakistanis. But inflation has started moving on a downward trend, albeit from a high base.


Pakistan says responding to Afghan ‘offensive operations’ after border fire as tensions escalate

Updated 26 February 2026
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Pakistan says responding to Afghan ‘offensive operations’ after border fire as tensions escalate

  • Afghan Taliban spokesperson says “large-scale offensive operations” launched against Pakistani military bases
  • Pakistan says Afghan forces opened “unprovoked” fire across multiple sectors along shared border

ISLAMABAD: Afghanistan’s Taliban authorities said on Thursday they had launched “large-scale offensive operations” against Pakistani military bases and installations, prompting Pakistan to say its forces were responding to what it described as unprovoked fire along the shared border.

The escalation follows Islamabad’s weekend airstrikes targeting what it said were Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Daesh militant camps inside Afghanistan in response to a wave of recent bombings and attacks in Pakistan. Islamabad said the strikes killed over 100 militants, while Kabul said dozens of civilians were killed and condemned the attacks as a violation of its sovereignty.

In a post on social media platform X, Afghan government spokesperson Zabihullah Mujahid said Afghanistan had launched “large-scale offensive operations” in response to repeated violations by the Pakistani military.

 

 

Pakistan’s Ministry of Information said Afghan forces had initiated hostilities along multiple points of the frontier.

“Afghan Taliban regime unprovoked action along the Pakistan–Afghanistan border given an immediate, and effective response,” the ministry said in a statement.

The statement said Pakistani forces were targeting Taliban positions in the Chitral, Khyber, Mohmand, Kurram and Bajaur sectors, claiming heavy Afghan casualties and the destruction of multiple posts and equipment. It added that Pakistan would take all necessary measures to safeguard its territorial integrity and the security of its citizens.

 

 

Separately, security officials said Pakistani forces had carried out counterattacks in several border sectors.

“Pakistan’s security forces are giving a befitting reply to the unprovoked Afghan aggression with full force,” a security official said, declining to be named. 

“The Pakistani security forces’ counter-attack destroyed Taliban’s hideouts and the Khawarij fled,” they added, referring to TTP militants. 

The claims from both sides could not be independently verified.

Cross-border violence has intensified in recent weeks, with Pakistan blaming a surge in suicide bombings and militant attacks on militants it says are based in Afghanistan. Kabul denies providing safe havens to anti-Pakistan militant groups.

The clashes mark the third major escalation between the neighbors in less than a year. Similar Pakistani strikes last year triggered weeklong clashes before Qatar, Türkiye and other regional actors mediated a ceasefire in October.

The 2,600-kilometer (1,600-mile) frontier, a key trade and transit corridor linking Pakistan to landlocked Afghanistan and onward to Central Asia, has faced repeated closures amid tensions, disrupting commerce and humanitarian movement. Trade between the two nations has remained closed since October 2025.