Oil Updates – prices slip for 5th session on demand worries

Brent crude futures slipped 10 cents to $75.95 a barrel at 9:39 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 22 August 2024
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Oil Updates – prices slip for 5th session on demand worries

TOKYO/SINGAPORE: Oil prices fell for a fifth session on Thursday as investors worried about the global demand outlook, despite a decline in US fuel inventories, according to Reuters.

Brent crude futures slipped 10 cents to $75.95 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 23 cents to trade at $71.70 at 9:39 a.m. Saudi time.

The front-month WTI contract for October has dropped 6.9 percent since Aug. 15, while Brent futures are down 6.4 percent over the same period.

Prices have plunged amid a report on Wednesday of revised employment statistics in the US, the world’s biggest oil consumer, that showed fewer jobs were added in 2024 than previously reported, and weak economic data last week from China, the world’s second-largest economy and largest oil importer.

Investors are also expecting OPEC and its allies such as Russia, known as OPEC+, will lift some voluntary output cuts in October, adding more supply.

“Weak global demand and the potential threat on OPEC+ rolling back on their production cuts are weighing on oil,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, a senior market analyst at Phillip Nova, adding that conflict in the Middle East and geopolitical tensions elsewhere are tilting risks to the upside.

Concerns over how OPEC+ production would pan out in the fourth quarter if the cuts are lifted has exacerbated price weakness, though they could be paused or reversed if needed.

“The downward pressure on prices makes it increasingly likely that OPEC+ will have to scrap their plans for gradually increasing supply from October. Failing to do so, will likely put further pressure on prices,” said ING analysts in a client note.

Crude prices have been slipping despite a US government report on Wednesday showing US crude, gasoline and distillate inventories fell in the week ending Aug. 16, at the same time refinery runs increased.

“Despite inventory draws across crude and other key major products ... weak Chinese oil import data and subdued middle distillate demand in the US have helped to reduce geopolitical risk premium for the oil complex,” said Citi analysts in a client note.

Concerns over the Israel-Gaza war have eased in the past week as the US, Israel and Hamas are trying to hammer out a ceasefire deal, though Washington diplomatic efforts earlier this week ended without a truce.

“Upside catalysts for oil may seem limited for now, with rising odds of a ceasefire in the Middle East, which saw market participants pricing out some of the geopolitical risks,” IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong said in an email.

“Economic conditions in the US, while supportive for upcoming policy easing, does not offer much reassurances for a stronger oil demand outlook just yet,” he added.
 


Flynas adjusted profit rises 28% to $148m

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Flynas adjusted profit rises 28% to $148m

RIYADH: Saudi low-cost carrier flynas posted a 28 percent increase in adjusted annual profit for 2025, as passenger growth and fleet expansion supported earnings despite a statutory loss caused by one-off expenses linked to its public listing.  

Adjusted net profit reached SR556 million ($148.1 million), compared with SR434 million a year earlier, according to a filing on Saudi Exchange. 

The airline reported a statutory net loss of SR527 million, versus a net profit of SR434 million in 2024, after booking SR1.08 billion in non-recurring IPO-related charges, including a one-time employee share-based payment expense and listing fees. 

The Saudi carrier last year raised SR4.1 billion in what marked one of the region’s largest aviation listings. 

The strong financial results of flynas come as a contributor to Saudi Arabia’s goal to establish itself as a global tourist and business destination. The Kingdom aims to attract over 150 million visitors by the end of this decade. 

Bander Al-Mohanna, CEO and managing director, said: “2025 was a year of disciplined execution and strategic progress for flynas. Despite external headwinds, including aircraft availability constraints and regional disruptions, we stayed focused on operational reliability, cost discipline, and network expansion.” 

He added: “Our low-cost model continues to prove resilient, enabling us to serve growing demand for affordable travel while maintaining margin discipline.” 

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 15 percent year on year to SR2.51 billion, with margin expanding by 3.2 percentage points to 32.1 percent, reflecting operating scale and continued cost discipline. Total revenue rose 4 percent to SR7.84 billion. 

The company reported revenue through three distinct operating segments. The low-cost carrier segment, which accounted for 90 percent of total revenue, generated SR7.09 billion, up 4 percent from a year earlier, supported by route expansion and higher operating capacity. 

Hajj and Umrah revenue remained broadly stable at SR584 million compared to SR587 million in 2024. General aviation revenue declined 6 percent to SR174 million, contributing 2 percent of total revenue. 

Passenger traffic grew 7 percent to 15.8 million, while available seat kilometers increased by 11 percent, driven mainly by international expansion and capacity deployment across key markets. 

Cost of revenue increased 4 percent to SR6.36 billion, broadly in line with revenue growth. Selling, general, and administrative expenses remained stable at SR510 million. 

Sale-and-leaseback gains totaled SR76 million, compared with SR131 million in 2024.  

The reduction reflects a deliberate strategic shift initiated in 2025, whereby the company began financing a portion of its aircraft directly as part of its long-term strategy to enhance unit cost efficiency.  

“This marks the implementation of a more balanced fleet funding model, combining owned and leased aircraft, and is expected to enhance long-term capital efficiency and support structural CASK improvement,” the statement said. 

The fleet expanded to 71 aircraft by year-end, including eight A320neo deliveries during the year and five wet-leased aircraft added to support network growth and mitigate supply chain constraints.  

In 2025, flynas introduced 25 new routes and 12 destinations across 9 countries, focusing on wider network coverage and expanding international presence to a total of 80 destinations across 38 countries. 

Total assets increased 27 percent to SR17.22 billion, while total equity more than doubled to SR3.55 billion, primarily attributable to higher retained earnings and the recognition of IPO proceeds. 

Flynas’s Chief Financial Officer, Ramzi Zaroubi, said: “We delivered margin expansion across the board, with adjusted EBITDA margin improving to 32.1 percent and adjusted net profit margin reaching 7.1 percent, ahead of our guidance.”

He added: “Beyond the income statement, we made important strides in strengthening the balance sheet, ending the year with significantly enhanced liquidity of SR4.1 billion in cash and equivalents and reducing net debt by 27 percent year on year.” 

Looking ahead, flynas said it remains focused on sustainable growth through scaling capacity efficiently, deepening presence in key markets, and enhancing guest experience.  

In early 2026, the company announced the establishment of a new operational base at Abha International Airport — its fifth in Saudi Arabia — and signed a term sheet to establish flynas Syria, a new low-cost carrier platform, subject to regulatory approvals.