Saudi Arabia GDP growth higher than G20 average: OECD

The report highlighted that while Saudi Arabia experienced a significant recovery, other G20 countries faced varying economic conditions. Shutterstock
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Updated 13 June 2024
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Saudi Arabia GDP growth higher than G20 average: OECD

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s economy witnessed growth of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2024 – higher than that seen across the G20 as a whole, according to new data.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has released its latest gross domestic product report for the G20 countries, noting that the Kingdom bounced back from a contraction of 0.6 percent in the previous three-month period. 

GDP in the G20 area grew by 0.9 percent quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter of 2024, slightly up from 0.7 percent in the previous quarter. 

The economic performance of the G20 area was primarily driven by China and India, with Turkiye, Korea, and Indonesia also recording higher GDP growth than the G20 average. 

Turkiye led with an increase of 2.4 percent, followed by India at 1.9 percent, China at 1.6 percent, Korea at 1.3 percent, and Indonesia at 1.2 percent. 

The report highlighted that while Saudi Arabia experienced a significant recovery, other G20 countries faced varying economic conditions. 

The US saw a slowdown, with GDP growth dropping to 0.3 percent in the first three months of the year from 0.8 percent in the previous quarter. 

Japan’s economy contracted by 0.5 percent, and South Africa saw a contraction of 0.1 percent. 

Conversely, Brazil, the UK, and Germany showed signs of recovery in the first quarter of 2024 after contractions over the previous three month period, with growth reaching 0.8 percent, 0.6 percent, and 0.2 percent, respectively. 

Canada, Mexico, and the EU grew by 0.4 percent, 0.3 percent, and 0.3 percent, respectively, in the three months to the end of March, after zero growth in the final quarter of 2023. 

Year-on-year, GDP in the G20 area grew by 3.3 percent in the first three months of the year, maintaining the same growth rate as the previous quarter. 

Among G20 economies, India recorded the highest year-on-year growth rate at 8.4 percent in the first quarter of 2024, followed by Turkiye at 7.4 percent. 

However, Saudi Arabia recorded the most significant year-on-year decline at a drop of 1.5 percent. 

According to a separate report by the General Authority for Statistics released earlier in June, the Kingdom’s non-oil activities also rose by 0.9 percent in the first three months of this year compared to the previous quarter.  

Additionally, non-oil activities increased by 3.4 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2024.  

GASTAT further noted that Saudi Arabia’s GDP amounted to SR1.01 trillion ($270 billion) in the first quarter.  

“Crude oil and natural gas activities achieved the highest contribution to GDP by 23.4 percent, followed by government activities at 15.8 percent, and then wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels activities with a contribution of 10.4 percent,” said GASTAT in the report.  

Strengthening the non-oil private sector is crucial for Saudi Arabia, as the Kingdom is steadily diversifying its economy to reduce its decades-long dependence on oil.  

The report further noted that government activities in Saudi Arabia rose by 2 percent year-on-year in the first quarter while declining by 1.1 percent on a quarter-on-quarter basis.  

GASTAT added that the Kingdom’s oil activities increased by 1.7 percent in the first quarter compared to the previous quarter.  

However, oil activities dipped by 11.2 percent year-on-year as Saudi Arabia reduced its crude production in line with the decision of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+.  

To maintain market stability, Saudi Arabia reduced its oil output by 500,000 barrels per day in April 2023, and this cut has now been extended until December 2024.  

In April, the International Monetary Fund projected that Saudi Arabia’s economy would grow by 2.6 percent in 2024 and 6 percent in 2025.  

In the same month, the World Bank also raised the growth prospects of the Kingdom’s economy to 5.9 percent in 2025, up from an earlier projection of 4.2 percent. 

Furthermore, Saudi Arabia’s gross fixed capital formation surged to SR317.5 billion in the first quarter of 2024, marking a significant 7.9 percent increase compared to the same period last year. 

According to a separate report by the Saudi Ministry of Investment released earlier this month, gross fixed capital formation expansion was driven by growth in both the government and non-government sectors.  

GFCF, which represents the net increase in physical assets within an economy, plays a crucial role in gross domestic product as it reflects capital accumulation supporting future production capabilities and economic growth. 

Of the total GFCF, the government sector contributed 7 percent, experiencing a robust growth rate of 18 percent. Meanwhile, the non-government sector, constituting 93 percent, also saw a substantial rise of 7.2 percent. 

Saudi Arabia’s proactive efforts to attract foreign direct investment and bolster bilateral relations have significantly strengthened the Kingdom’s economic trajectory.  

FDI serves as a pivotal catalyst for GFCF development, facilitating funding for investment projects and resource and knowledge transfer across borders, thereby fostering economic expansion and maturation. 

Key initiatives such as the National Investment Strategy, the Regional Headquarters Program, and zero-income tax incentives for foreign entities play a vital role in advancing Vision 2030, which aims to diversify and expand the economy. 

During this quarter, the Ministry of Investment issued 3,157 investment licenses, marking a 93 percent surge compared to the same period last year, excluding licenses issued under the anti-concealment law. 

In its economic and investment monitor released in late May, the ministry revealed that the construction and manufacturing sector dominated with 47 percent of total permits, followed by vocational and educational activities, information and communication technology and accommodation and food services as well as wholesale and retail trade. 

The real estate sector witnessed the most significant year-on-year growth, with a staggering 253.3 percent increase in investment licenses. 

Furthermore, 127 international firms secured permits to relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia in the first quarter of 2024, reflecting a remarkable 477 percent year-on-year upsurge. 

Leading corporations such as Google, Microsoft and Amazon as well as Northern Trust, Bechtel, IHG Hotels & Resorts, and Deloitte have established operations in the Kingdom under this program. 

The report also highlights that Saudi Arabia processed 445 applications for investor visit visas during the first quarter of this year, enabling overseas businesspersons to explore opportunities in the country. 


GCC offering investors ‘safe’ PPP deals; Saudi pipeline nears 300: FII

Updated 20 February 2026
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GCC offering investors ‘safe’ PPP deals; Saudi pipeline nears 300: FII

RIYADH: Global investors can find a “safe harbor” in the Gulf Cooperation Council as the bloc’s public-private partnerships pipeline offers “compelling” opportunities, according to a new report.

The latest document from the Future Investment Initiative Institute highlights how economies in the region are currently driving the next wave of PPP growth. 

It cites findings from Partnerships Bulletin, which ranks Saudi Arabia as second in the global emerging markets pipeline for PPP projects up to July 2025, and also places Dubai in the top 10.

While that analysis claims the Kingdom has 98 PPP projects either formally published or announced, FII says Saudi Arabia has a further 200 currently awaiting approval.

The findings align with the goals outlined in the Kingdom’s National Privatization Strategy, launched in January, which aims to raise satisfaction levels with public services across 18 target sectors, create tens of thousands of specialized jobs, and exceed 220 PPP contracts by 2030. 

The strategy also aims to increase private sector capital investments to more than SR240 billion ($63.99 billion) by 2030.

The FII report says that around 90 percent of FDI into Saudi Arabia now flows into non-oil sectors, from advanced manufacturing and tourism to green energy and digital infrastructure. 

“That shift reflects deliberate policy choices to open markets, standardize regulatory frameworks and use public capital to de-risk new value chains,” says the document, adding: “The result is a kind of safe harbor in an otherwise low-growth, high-uncertainty world.”

It continues: “While global FDI has stagnated or declined in many regions, the GCC’s pipeline of planned infrastructure and industrial projects now exceeds $2.5 trillion, according to Boston Consulting Group data, with PPPs playing a central role in structuring and financing them. For global investors searching for yield, diversification and inflation-linked income, this represents a compelling proposition.”

Commenting on the FII Institute report, Sally Menassa, partner at international management consulting firm Arthur D. Little, said PPPs are a strategic necessity for delivering infrastructure at speed and scale, and described Saudi Arabia’s pipeline as a “powerful execution and financing tool.” 

She added: “The Kingdom’s PPP momentum must remain focused on impact, value creation and execution excellence. PPPs should not be viewed merely as a funding mechanism, but as a structural tool to enhance infrastructure performance, attract investment and support sustainable economic growth in line with Vision 2030.” 

Menassa said that Saudi Arabia’s National Privitization Strategy marks a shift from a project-by-project approach to institutionalization of efforts and value creation.

“By clarifying sector priorities, strengthening project selection criteria, and formalizing governance and investor pathways, the Strategy reduces uncertainty. This clarity enhances investor confidence and improves pipeline quality,” said the Arthur D. Little official. 

Sally Menassa, partner at international management consulting firm Arthur D. Little. Supplied.

She added: “PPP and privatization efforts in Saudi Arabia are not about divestment or the state shifting execution to the private sector, it is really about becoming more productive as a nation. It enhances efficiency, raises service standards, mobilizes private and SME participation, and attracts capital.” 

Menassa further said that the strategy could help the Kingdom achieve stronger fiscal sustainability and higher private sector GDP contribution, both of which are critical components to accelerate the Kingdom’s economic transformation under Vision 2030.

Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial, believes input from the private sector across all stages, from design to construction and operations, improves the efficiency of project delivery and long-term operations in Saudi Arabia. 

“Tighter governance through centralized management at the National Center for Privatization and PPP and a more streamlined process, including template contracts, a clearer regulatory environment, and a transparent pipeline, is likely to improve delivery speed,” said Valecha. 

He added: “This means faster delivery of big projects like Red Sea resorts or Neom, with private firms handling operations to drive innovation. Ultimately, the strategy supercharges diversification by making the private sector the main engine of growth, aligning perfectly with Saudi Arabia’s push for a vibrant, non-oil economy.” 

The FII Institute added that the global flow of FDI is increasingly concentrated in the Gulf Cooperation Council region, driven by ambitious national transformation agendas and deep pools of sovereign wealth.

Tony Hallside, CEO of STP Partners, outlined several factors that are boosting the PPP landscape in the region, which include large infrastructure demand from Vision-level programs and urbanization. 

“Government frameworks that standardise PPP procurement are making projects bankable. Strong regional capital pools and sovereign support will mitigate risk and attract global players. In the GCC, Saudi Arabia’s pipeline itself is one of the largest in the Middle East, indicating strong investor interest,” added Hallside. 

Underscoring the role of growing PPP in Saudi Arabia, the FII report said: “A decade ago, the Kingdom’s solar capacity was negligible, despite its vast solar resource. Through early anchor investments, long-term power purchase agreements and support for national champions, the state seeded a competitive renewables market that now attracts global players on purely commercial terms.” 

Valecha said that clearer PPP laws, standardised contracts and dedicated PPP units have reduced execution risks and made projects more bankable for global infrastructure funds and developers in the GCC region. 

He added that rapid urbanization, a young and growing population, rising data center power demand and energy transition projects create predictable, long-duration cash flows in the region. 

“This combination of policy support, fiscal necessity and structural growth is why the GCC is emerging as one of the fastest-growing PPP markets globally,” said Valecha. 

Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial. Supplied

Key Saudi PPP projects

Yanbu 4 Independent Water Project - supplying water to Medina and Makkah

Location Yanbu, Red Sea coast

Companies involved: Engie, Mowah, Nesma, Saudi Water Partnership Co.

Cost: $826.5 million

Expected delivery date: Operational as of 2024

Hadda Independent Sewage Treatment Plant

Location: Makkah Province

Companies involved: Metito Utilities, Etihad Water and Electricity, SkyBridge Limited Co., Saudi Water Partnership Co.

Expected delivery date: 2028 

As Sufun Solar PV Independent Power Project

Location: Hail region

Companies involved: TotalEnergies, Aljomaih Energy & Water, Saudi Power Procurement Co.

Expected delivery date: Expected to connect to the grid in 2027

Construction of greenfield international airports

Location: Taif, Abha, Qassim, and Hail

Companies involved: Currently in the planning stage; investors are being sought

One-Stop Station Project

Location: Intercity road network across the Kingdom

Companies involved: Saudi Arabia’s Roads General Authority and National Center for Privatization & Public-Private Partnership announced a full list of qualified bidders in February.

King Salman Park

Location: Riyadh

Companies involved: King Salman Park Foundation, Ajdan Real Estate, Sedco Capital

Cost: $1 billion

Project: Madinah-3, Buraydah-2, and Tabuk-2 Independent Sewage Treatment Plants

Location: Madinah, Buraydah, and Tabuk

Companies involved: Acciona Agua, Tawzea, Tamasuk, Saudi Water Partnership Co.

Cost: $627 million combined

Riyadh Metro Line 2 Extension

Location: Riyadh

Companies involved: Royal Commission for Riyadh City, Arriyadh New Mobility Consortium, led by Webuild. Riyadh Metro Transit Consultants (JV between US Parsons and France’s Egis and Systra) as project management and construction supervision consultant.

Cost: Up to $900 million

Expected delivery date: 2032


The crucial role of emerging markets

According to the FII Institute report, the ability to deliver resilient infrastructure, expand digital connectivity and accelerate the energy transition will increasingly depend on the strength and legitimacy of PPPs, as fiscal space tightens and investment needs rise. 

FII estimates a $5 trillion global infrastructure financing gap by 2040. It also points to significant regional shortfalls, including an estimated $3.7 trillion gap in the US and an annual $130 billion to $170 billion gap across Africa. In this context, PPPs are moving from a transactional procurement route to a central model for financing and delivery.

The report highlighted that emerging markets, including Saudi Arabia, are currently driving the next wave of PPP growth, with spending across low-and middle-income countries reaching $100.7 billion in 2024, up 16 percent year on year, according to figures from the World Bank. 

Moreover, emerging markets now represent around 61 percent of global PPP activity by gross domestic product share.

According to Partnerships Bulletin’s findings up to July 31 2025, the Philippines leads the emerging-market pipeline with 230 projects, followed by Saudi Arabia with 98, Kyrgyzstan with 80, Bangladesh with 71, and Peru with 54 projects.

Greece has 42 projects in the pipeline, followed by Dubai at 28, Kenya at 25, Colombia at 24, and Pakistan at 14. 

PPP: An engine of growth

When capital was cheap, PPPs were often treated as an optional extra – a way to shift specific projects off the public balance sheet, or to import private-sector efficiency into construction and operations, the FII report said. 

However, now, nations consider PPPs as a central hub of their economic strategy, as they enable the state to stretch every dollar of public investment using private capital, while retaining strategic control over what gets built, where and to what standard.

“The real differentiator is complexity. When a project presents significant financial uncertainty or unpredictable demand, or if there’s a high level of climate exposure or technological risk, a PPP can give leaders the tools to manage those issues without slowing things down,” said Bob Willen, global managing partner and chairman of Kearney, said in the FII report. 

Erik Ringvold, chief business development officer at Regional Voluntary Carbon Market Co., was quoted in the report as saying that carbon markets will benefit through PPPs, as deepened public-private partnerships could help achieve progress toward national emissions targets, while simultaneously creating economic opportunity and catalyzing new green industries. 

“Saudi Arabia has made large strides toward an emissions compliance system, with an operational carbon standard in place, and an emissions trading system announced to be launched over the coming few years,” said Ringvold. 

He added: “At VCM, we see a clear future carbon vision for Saudi Arabia. One ecosystem. One marketplace. One iconic collaboration – with the PPP model at the heart of its success.” 

PPPs for investors and citizens 

For investors, infrastructure-backed PPPs offer long-duration, often inflation-linked cash flows at a time when public markets are volatile and dominated by a narrow set of mega-cap technology stocks. 

For citizens, well-designed PPPs can mean better services, more resilient infrastructure and faster progress toward climate and development goals, without unsustainable tax rises or austerity. 

FII, however, cautioned that public consent is becoming decisive. Across seven countries, only 23 percent of citizens agree that PPPs “equally benefit everyone”, compared with 41 percent of business and government leaders.

Tony Hallside, CEO of STP Partners. Supplied

Hallside said that public consent hinges on transparency, accountability, and visible service outcomes. 

He added that governments should publish clear procurement frameworks, communicate cost-benefit and performance expectations in plain language, and measure user satisfaction and service quality over time — “reinforcing that PPPs deliver tangible improvements in infrastructure and services.” 

Menassa echoed similar views and said that communication with the public is not sufficient, but the performance and execution phase holds the key to PPP projects. 

“Winning public opinion for PPPs is rather a marathon not a race. It starts with building awareness and trust by providing transparency and demonstrating value for money, ensuring affordability and service quality of public services is maintained through strong regulatory oversight, and ensuring competitive, transparent procurement processes,” added Menassa. 

According to the Arthur D. Little official, the public must see tangible improvements in service reliability, efficiency and accountability, and acceptance will follow.

“The world can’t afford to delay the infrastructure and energy transition investments that will determine prosperity – and planetary stability – for decades to come. Nor can it fund them through public budgets alone. Financing the future is, by definition, a joint endeavour,” added the FII report.