Pakistan cuts growth forecast, foreign exchange reserves drop

A Pakistani currency dealer counts US dollars at a currency exchange shop in Karachi, Pakistan, on August 1, 2018. (AFP/File)
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Updated 26 May 2023
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Pakistan cuts growth forecast, foreign exchange reserves drop

  • Cuts GDP growth estimate for fiscal year 2022-23 to 0.29 percent, from earlier estimate of 2 percent
  • Country’s growth stunted by slowdowns in the agriculture, industrial and service sector

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has cut its GDP growth estimate for fiscal year 2022-23 to 0.29 percent, from an earlier estimate of 2 percent, the national accounts committee said, with a contraction in industrial growth underscoring concern of an acute economic crisis.

The country’s growth was stunted by slowdowns in the agriculture, industrial and service sectors — with growth estimated at 1.55 percent, -2.94 percent and 0.86 percent, respectively, the committee said in a statement late on Wednesday.

Pakistan’s fiscal year runs from July to June 30.

GDP growth for FY2021-22 was revised to 6.1 percent, up from 5.97 percent, and the final figure for FY2020-21 was 5.77 percent, up from 5.74 percent, the committee said.

Battered by natural disaster, an acute balance of payments crisis, and the worst political turmoil in years, Pakistan has been trying to reach a deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to disburse a stalled $1.1 billion of funding from a $6.5 billion bailout agreed in 2019.

A central bank statement said on Thursday Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves had dropped to $4.19 billion, barely enough to cover a month of controlled imports.

Hit last year by devastating floods and political chaos stoked by the removal of Imran Khan as prime minister, Pakistan’s $350 billion economy has nosedived from over 6 percent growth in the last year.

The central bank said last week that GDP growth was likely to be significantly lower this year, compared with the previous year, even lower than its own revised estimate of 2 percent.

Pakistan posted its highest ever rate of inflation, of 36.4 percent, in April and its currency has depreciated to a historic low as part of IMF conditions to bring it in line with a market-based exchange rate.

The committee’s latest GDP growth estimate for this financial year is lower than the World Bank’s estimate of 0.4 percent, while the IMF said in April that the growth would be 0.5 percent.


Pakistan drop express pacer Rauf from T20 World Cup squad

Updated 26 min 46 sec ago
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Pakistan drop express pacer Rauf from T20 World Cup squad

LAHORE: Pakistan left out express pacer Haris Rauf from the 15-man squad named Sunday for next month’s Twenty20 World Cup jointly hosted by India and Sri Lanka.

The 32-year-old finished with 20 wickets in the Big Bash League in Australia but selector Aaqib Javed said Rauf doesn’t fit in the combination.

“Rauf has played a lot of cricket for Pakistan but we kept conditions in Sri Lanka in mind while selecting the squad,” Javed told a news conference.

Rauf is also the highest wicket-taker for Pakistan in T20I cricket with 133 in 94 matches.

Salman Agha will lead the squad.

Another pacer Shaheen Shah Afridi was declared fit and included in the squad with Naseem Shah and relatively inexperienced Salman Mirza the other fast bowlers in the squad.

Pakistan will play all their matches in Sri Lanka and will not travel to India under an agreement decided last year due to political tensions between the two countries.

Pakistan have been placed in Group A with archrivals India, Namibia, Netherlands and United States for the February 7 to March 8 tournament.

Pakistan open their campaign against the Netherlands in Colombo on February 7.

In the 20-team tournament, each team are set to play four group games with the top two teams qualifying for the Super Eight Stage.

Changes to T20 World Cup squads can be made for any reason until January 31 and after that with approval from the Event Technical Committee.

In the final build-up for the World Cup, Pakistan will face Australia in a three-match T20I series in Lahore on January 29, 31 and February 1.

Squad: Salman Agha (captain), Abrar Ahmed, Babar Azam, Faheem Ashraf, Fakhar Zaman, Khawaja Nafay, Mohammad Nawaz, Salman Mirza, Naseem Shah, Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Shadab Khan, Usman Khan, Usman Tariq