Pakistan's generators produced more power than required to cause countrywide system collapse — inquiry report

Shopkeepers sit at a market during a nationwide power outage, in Islamabad, Pakistan on January 23, 2023. (AFP)
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Updated 26 January 2023
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Pakistan's generators produced more power than required to cause countrywide system collapse — inquiry report

  • Blackout in Pakistan on Monday was second near-complete grid failure and third in South Asia in three months
  • Complete grid failures are rare, and operators of modern grids count local shocks from integration of renewable energy as primary challenge

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan's generators produced more power than was required on Monday, causing voltage fluctuations that culminated in a system collapse that plunged 220 million people into darkness, an internal government document reviewed by Reuters showed.

Complete grid failures are rare, and operators of modern grids count local shocks from the integration of renewable energy as their primary challenge. But the blackout in Pakistan on Monday was its second near-complete grid failure and the third in south Asia in three months.

The grid's failure plunged 220 million people into darkness for a whole day and disrupted commercial activity as outages also hit internet and mobile services.

The blackout was triggered by the power grid's frequency rising to 50.75 hertz (hz) early on Monday, causing severe voltage fluctuations in transmission lines in the south, according to the internal note. A frequency over 50 hz indicates the power generated exceeds demand, while a frequency under 50 hz points to supply falling short of demand.

Grid operators attempt to keep the frequency of the grid stable at 50 hz, with deviations over 0.05 hz typically considered abnormal. The frequency of the grid was already 50.30 hz moments before the incident, according to the note.

The severe frequency fluctuations in the transmission lines caused it to trip, Sajjad Akthar, general manager at state-run National Transmission and Distribution Company (NTDC) wrote in the note drafted on Tuesday.

"Transmission lines tripped, which resulted in isolation of north and south system," Akthar said in the note.

Pakistan's energy ministry did not respond to a request for comment. The note did not mention why supply overshot demand.

About 11.35 gigawatts (GW) of power plants were in operation across the country when the transmission lines tripped and separated the northern and southern grid, the note read.

Such separations are intended to protect parts of the grid not primarily affected by instabilities.

However, demand potentially far exceeded supply in the northern grid after the isolation, as most power generators were located in the south, causing further instability, according to an industry official who reviewed the note.

The official declined to be named as he was not authorized to speak to the media.

Pakistan's Energy Minister Khurram Dastgir had said in a tweet on Monday a "large voltage swing" in the south had "cascaded northwards" to cause a breakdown, but did not elaborate.

Pakistan started restoring power by operating hydropower stations in the north, and gas-fired utilities in the south, the note read, as they take the least time to start generating power.

While gas-fired utilities in the south started operating, it took nearly ten hours for the hydro plants to operate consistently and for the power restoration process to begin in the northern grid, according to the report.

Akthar said mechanisms meant to save the system from a blackout had worked, but the grid was overwhelmed by the magnitude and range of fluctuations.

"Though under frequency, cross-trip and rate of change of frequency schemes operated, system could not survive and (it) led to a complete blackout," the report read.


Pakistan to finalize ‘major agreements’ ahead of arrival of another Saudi delegation — minister

Updated 5 sec ago
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Pakistan to finalize ‘major agreements’ ahead of arrival of another Saudi delegation — minister

  • Pakistan has offered around 10 sectors for investment to Saudi businessmen, including mineral, energy, agriculture and petroleum
  • Jam Kamal Khan says both sides signed a number of deals during recent engagements and details of all MoUs were being collected

KARACHI: Pakistan’s Commerce Minister Jam Kamal Khan said on Monday some “major agreements” will be finalized ahead of the arrival of another high-level delegation from Saudi Arabia, after various Saudi and Pakistani firms developed an understanding during a recent visit by Saudi delegates to Pakistan.

A high-level Saudi business delegation, led by the Kingdom’s Assistant Minister of Investment Ibrahim Al-Mubarak, visited Pakistan this month to explore investment opportunities in various sectors, including mineral, energy, agriculture and petroleum.

“More than 100 Pakistani companies participated in the meetings with Saudi counterparts and even today, the process of meetings continues while the outcome of G2G (government-to-government) meetings has been seen in a very positive way in different sectors,” Khan said at a press conference in Karachi.

“A higher delegation from Saudi Arabia will definitely come to Pakistan, so before that, we should make a final form of these things (agreements), so that in the final form of B2B (business-to-business), some major agreements are signed.”

Khan, however, did not specify a date for the arrival of the Saudi delegation. Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have lately been working to increase bilateral trade and investment deals, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman last month reaffirming the Kingdom’s commitment to expedite an investment package of $5 billion.

During the visit of the Saudi assistant investment minister this month, a number of agreements were signed and Pakistani companies have been asked to submit details of these agreements, according to the commerce minister.

The government has made various sectors available for facilitation, including agriculture, information technology (IT), energy and ports, and even, construction companies in Saudi Arabia have also shown interest in these sectors.

Along with that, Khan informed, progress was also being made on a free trade agreement with the Gulf countries.

He said a memorandum of understanding (MoU) had been received from Alibaba Group, a Chinese multinational company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet and technology, for the improvement of connectivity with the Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP) to penetrate rural and urban areas of Pakistan.

“They have put their stake in that MoU and if it gets vetted and clarity comes, then the senior-most [official] in Alibaba will come to Pakistan and sign it, which will be a big thing,” the minister said.

Asked about the ongoing wheat crisis, Khan said no one could be held responsible prior to the completion of a probe.

Farmers in Pakistan’s Punjab province, which produces most of the wheat crop, are demanding the government stop wheat imports that have flooded the market at a time when they expect bumper crop. They say the import of wheat in the second half of 2023 and the first three months of this year has resulted in excess amounts of the commodity in the country, leading to reduced prices.

The South Asian country is trying to ascertain the factor that led to the import of wheat during the tenure of the interim government of caretaker prime minister, Anwar-ul-Haq Kakar, despite expectations of a bumper crop.

“It is premature to say who is responsible or due to whose negligence the current situation has arisen,” Khan said.

Zubair Motiwala, the TDAP chief executive, said the country’s food and agriculture exports had witnessed a substantial increase, which would cross $7 billion from $3.5 billion.

The major exports included rice, maize and sesame seeds, while there was a negative trend in the export of textiles, he said.

For the first time in the country, Motiwala shared, a policy was being introduced under which action could be taken against exporters for exporting substandard goods and companies could also be blacklisted.


Citi expects Pakistan to strike new $8 billion IMF deal by end-July

Updated 13 May 2024
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Citi expects Pakistan to strike new $8 billion IMF deal by end-July

  • Pakistan last month completed a short-term $3 billion program, which helped stave off a sovereign default 
  • But the government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has stressed the need for a fresh, longer-term program

LONDON: Wall Street Bank Citi expects Pakistan to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund for a new four year of up to $8 billion program by end-July, and recommends going long on the country’s 2027 international bond.

Pakistan last month completed a short-term $3 billion program, which helped stave off sovereign default, but the government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has stressed the need for a fresh, longer term program.

“While longer-term challenges pertain, we see several positive catalysts supporting the Eurobonds,” Nikola Apostolov at Citi wrote in a note to clients.

“First, a larger and longer IMF EFF (Extended Fund Facility) program could be finalized by July – possibly a $7-8 billion 4-year program and secondly and a possible inflow of Saudi investments,” Apostolov said after a team from Citi visited Pakistan and met policymakers, including Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb.

An IMF mission is expected to visit Pakistan this month to discuss the financial year 2025 budget, policies, and reforms under a potential new program, according to the Fund.

Citi said it expected Pakistan’s international 2027 bond to offer a sweet spot to investors with sufficient liquidity and large upside as risks of default dissipate further.

The 2027 maturity trades at 87.292 cents in the dollar, according to Tradeweb data.

The country’s shorter-dated bonds — maturing 2025 and 2026 — are trading at 91-96 cents following a sharp rally since late last year. Pakistan’s international bonds had sunken to as little as mid-20 cents in the dollar in 2022. 


Pakistan to send qualified, trained nurses to Saudi Arabia

Updated 13 May 2024
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Pakistan to send qualified, trained nurses to Saudi Arabia

  • Official says the Kingdom requires nurses in various fields on an ‘urgent basis’
  • Overseas Employment Corporation has advertised qualification, experience of nurses

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Overseas Employment Corporation (OEC) will be sending qualified and trained nurses to Saudi Arabia, Pakistani state media reported on Monday, citing an official of the Ministry of Overseas Pakistanis.

The Kingdom required nursing staff in various fields, including cardiac care, emergency, medical care, obstetrics, pediatrics, critical care, hemodialysis, neonatal care, oncology, surgical care, and intensive care, the state-run APP news agency reported.

“Saudi Arabia required nurses staff on urgent basis and in this regard OEC has advertised the qualifications and experience of required nurses staff for abroad,” the report read.

“Only qualified females would be entertained for final selection who have a Bachelor of Science in Nursing BScN (4-years) or (Post RN), minimum two years of experience in the relevant field, only females, not more than 45.”

The applicants will be entitled to annual air ticket, mid-year benefits such as 10 calendar days post leave and mid-year round trip air ticket, and end-of-service benefits (Saudi service award) i.e. remuneration computed equivalent to the years of service.

Interested applicants could apply via the OEC’s website https://oec.gov.pk/, UAN 0311-0011-632 or email at [email protected].

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia enjoy strong trade, defense and cultural ties. The Kingdom is home to over 2.7 million Pakistani expatriates and serves as the top destination for remittances to the cash-strapped South Asian country.


Pakistan benchmark stock index hits record high of 74,000 points

Updated 13 May 2024
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Pakistan benchmark stock index hits record high of 74,000 points

  • Pakistan’s stock index has surged 78.6 percent over past year and is up by 14.1 percent in year to date 
  • Analaysts say stock market evaluations progressing as IMF talks progress, investors show interest

KARACHI: Pakistan’s benchmark share index closed at a record high of 73,822, up 1 percent, after it touched a lifetime peak on Monday, breaching the key level of 74,000 points.

The index has surged 78.6 percent over the past year and is up 14.1 percent in the year to date.

During intraday trading, the index hit a high of 74,114 points. On Friday, it closed at a record high of 73,085 points, above the key level of 73,000 for the first time.

Pakistan last month completed a short-term $3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan program, which helped stave off sovereign default, but the government has stressed the need for a fresh, longer-term program.

An IMF mission led by its chief will meet with authorities in Pakistan this week to discuss a new program, ahead of Islamabad beginning its annual budget-making process for the next financial year, the IMF resident representative for Pakistan said on Saturday.

Amreen Soorani, head of research at JS Global Capital, said stock market valuations were recovering as talks with the IMF and reforms progressed, and foreign investors showed interest.
She said slowing inflation had also helped the rally.

Pakistan’s consumer price inflation slowed to 17.3 percent in April from a year earlier, the lowest reading in nearly two years and below the finance ministry’s projections.

The country has struggled with inflation above 20 percent since May 2022. Inflation jumped as high as 38 percent in May 2023, as Pakistan navigated reforms as part of an IMF bailout program. 

“Corporate profits are strong, the market’s (price-earning) multiple is still only around 4, which is well below the historical average of 6, including the distressed times in this average,” she added.

Despite that, on Friday in its staff report on the country ahead of talks on a longer term program, the IMF said downside risks for the Pakistani economy remained exceptionally high, and “political uncertainty remains significant.”
 


Pakistani filmmaker launches ‘central hub’ for local films at Cannes Film Festival

Updated 13 May 2024
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Pakistani filmmaker launches ‘central hub’ for local films at Cannes Film Festival

  • Pakistan Crescent Collective will represent Pakistan’s official presence at the 77th annual Cannes Film Festival 
  • PCC will serve as “central hub” at week-long event at Cannes from May 14-20, promote Pakistani and diaspora films

Three-time Emmy-nominated filmmaker and Pakistani Academy Selection Committee Chairman Mohammed Ali Naqvi has launched the Pakistan Crescent Collective (PCC), representing Pakistan’s official presence at the 77th annual Cannes Film Festival and marking the first time the country will have a central hub at the global event, a press release said on Monday. 

The PCC will serve as a “central hub” in a week-long event at Cannes from May 14-20 “to discover and nurture the next generation of talent, preserve films and promote Pakistani and diaspora films globally, thereby advancing Pakistan’s visual culture.”

“As one of the only countries without a central hub at Cannes, it’s imperative to launch initiatives like The Crescent Collective,” Naqvi was quoted as saying in a press release by Modoxy Media. “We are dedicated to championing Pakistani cinema and talent, both at home and abroad. It’s time to celebrate our own.”

Pakistan has made a significant impact at Cannes in recent years through the films Joyland in 2022 and last year’s In Flames, which were the country’s official submissions to the Academy Awards.

The Legend of Maula Jatt became the highest-grossing Pakistani film ever while Hollywood has also seen increased Pakistani representation, with Naqvi co-executive producing two seasons of the Netflix top ten hit, Turning Point: The Bomb & The Cold War and directing The Accused: Damned or Devoted?- the first Pakistani film nominated for a Primetime Emmy for Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking. 

Ms. Marvel, the first Muslim-American superhero series, also showcased Pakistani-American talent, while Iram Parveen Bilal’s Wakhiri and Fawzia Mirza’s Queen of My Dreams have also been well received recently. 

“The Pakistan Crescent Collective aims to build on this momentum by launching a robust and comprehensive program for the 77th Cannes Film Festival which includes a filmmaker panel discussion and event following the preview screening for the highly anticipated ‘The Glassworker’,” the statement said, referring to Pakistan first 2D hand-painted traditional film.

The PCC will also be co-hosting the inauguration and reception for the world’s first South Asian Film Market, launched by the Oscar-qualifying Tasveer Film Festival. 

As part of the launch, Tasveer and the Pakistan Crescent Collective will co-host an exclusive speed networking event on the American Pavilion Terrace. Selected filmmaking teams will meet with established film financiers and funders to pitch their next project during a rapid round of networking, followed by a cocktail sundowner reception for all participants. This event is part of American Pavilion’s Global Lens Day.