GCC retail sector set for 15.7% growth in 2022 but greater digital focus is needed: Alpen Capital  

The report expects retail to reach revenue of $296.8 billion in 2022 (Shutterstock)
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Updated 16 November 2022
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GCC retail sector set for 15.7% growth in 2022 but greater digital focus is needed: Alpen Capital  

RIYADH: Retailers in the Gulf Cooperation Council region are reporting higher turnovers due to inflation rises and consumers increasing spending on necessities, according to investment banking advisory firm Alpen Capital.

A report from the Dubai-based company forecasts the GCC’s overall retail sector is set to register 15.7 percent year-on-year growth, reaching revenue of $296.8 billion in 2022 — with the period covering the FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar prompting 36 percent year-on-year growth.

Alpen Capital also expects to see a compound annual growth rate of 5.7 percent to reach $370 billion by 2026.

Qatar will see the highest growth in the region during 2022, with its sales expected to reach $18.5 billion, however, growth is expected to normalize at a CAGR of 3.5 percent after the World Cup.

Favorable demographics, improving macroeconomic factors and tourism revival will contribute to the growth, along with governments’ push for economic diversification and growing prominence of retailers who sell in both bricks and mortar and online settings, the report added.

“The industry was severely hit by the restrictions imposed during the pandemic; however, retailers were responsive to the changing demands and innovated to sail through difficult times,” said Sameena Ahmad, managing director of corporate affairs at Alpen Capital.

She added: “As the retail industry continues to recover, there is an urgent need for retailers to upscale their digital presence to stay relevant as well as compete with regional and international players.” 

Another Alpen Capital managing director, Krishna Dhanak, said GCC retail is transforming post-pandemic and that consolidation is expected.

“Operators have shifted their focus on brand acquisition to strengthen their geographical presence as well as expand and diversify their product offerings,” he explained.

“Larger e-commerce players are likely to acquire niche operators offering customized products and services. Going forward, we expect consolidation in the industry to intensify in order to drive earnings, gain market share and improve operational efficiency,” Dhanak added.

Alpen said across the region, non-food retail sales are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 6.2 percent between 2022 and 2026, while food retail sales are anticipated to increase at an annualized rate of 4.9 percent during the same period.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE lead sales regionally, cumulatively accounting for 78.5 percent of the total sales by 2026, the report added, due to large and diverse populations, liberalization of policies and a growing appetite for unique shopping experiences.

Retail sales in the Kingdom and the UAE are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 6.5 percent and 5.1 percent, respectively, between 2022 and 2026, Alpen said.  

Bahrain, Oman and Kuwait are expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.3 percent, 6.1 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively during the forecast period, Alpen concluded. 


Future Minerals Forum launches global index to track critical mineral supply chains 

Updated 57 min 29 sec ago
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Future Minerals Forum launches global index to track critical mineral supply chains 

RIYADH: The Future Minerals Forum on Jan. 12 launched the “Future Minerals Index Report,” a first-of-its-kind global tool designed to measure and track progress in developing critical mineral value chains across producing, exporting, and consuming countries.  

The initiative aims to support the creation of more resilient and responsible supply chains and promote sustainable development worldwide.  

Khalid Al-Mudaifer, vice minister of industry and mineral resources for mining affairs, stated: “The Future Minerals Index Report is an unprecedented and essential document; it is an intellectual tool that highlights key trends in the mining and minerals sector, particularly in terms of insights and directions from sector stakeholders, including government leaders, global mining executives, experts, and interested parties.”   

He pointed out that the report is distinguished by its tracking of developments in mineral supplies and its provision of actionable recommendations to ensure the sustainable development of critical mineral value chains. 

Al-Mudaifer described the report as a new international benchmark that establishes a comprehensive baseline to measure the progress of governments, companies, and investors in enhancing more resilient and responsible mineral supply chains.   

He said it provides a clear picture of how global critical mineral markets are shaped by capital, risk, and trust dynamics. “It shows where investment is growing or shrinking and identifies the widening gap between resource availability and capital allocation. Based on this baseline, the report will monitor changes in risk perceptions, investment flows, and progress toward more resilient mineral value chains.”  

Ali Al-Mutairi, general supervisor of the Future Minerals Forum, emphasized the report’s importance and the attention it received at the forum due to its role in highlighting global trends in the mining sector.   

He explained that the report was prepared in partnership with McKinsey & Co. and in collaboration with other sector experts, including S&P Global Market Intelligence, Global AI, and GlobeScan.  

“It integrates stakeholder trends, data, market insights, and intelligence into a single reference that supports global mining and mineral sector decision-making,” he said.  

Jeffrey Lorsch, partner at McKinsey & Co., commented: “The Future Minerals Index Report, by integrating market data, stakeholder perspectives, and value chain standards, provides a strategic roadmap to help companies navigate volatility and unlock long-term growth opportunities.”  

The report is based on the “Future Minerals Framework,” developed with contributions from 47 experts across multilateral organizations, non-profits, and private companies. It was first introduced at the 2025 International Ministerial Meeting.   

The framework outlines key enablers for end-to-end value chains, including supportive policies and regulations, innovative financing solutions to secure and manage investments, multimodal infrastructure such as roads, railways, and ports to reduce costs and increase viability, and sustainability through strong environmental and social governance frameworks.   

It also includes talent development through education, training, R&D, technological modernization via updated geological data systems and global expertise partnerships, and geology through reliable, accessible geological data in producing, exporting, and consuming countries as a critical factor in attracting investment.  

The report highlighted the world’s urgent need to sustain mineral supplies, featuring contributions from leading industry figures.  

Robert Friedland, founder of Ivanhoe Mines, Ivanhoe Electric, and I-Pulse, stated that the electrification of energy systems, digitalization of the economy, and the rapid growth of artificial intelligence are converging toward a future that increasingly depends on minerals.   

He stressed: “You can’t reduce emissions, build computing systems, or transport energy without mining.”  

Bob Wilt, CEO of Ma’aden, said in the report: “We are not fully prepared to deliver the minerals the world needs. Our biggest challenges are not equipment, capital, or technology — but people.”  

Duncan Wanblad, CEO of Anglo American, noted that global copper demand is expected to grow by 75 percent to reach 56 million tonnes annually by 2050. To meet this demand and offset declines from aging mines, the sector will need to open approximately 60 new mines the size of Quellaveco within the next decade alone.  

Gustavo Pimenta, CEO of Vale, said in his contribution: “I can’t imagine a future without mining — at least not a sustainable one that balances economic development with environmental protection and social responsibility. Mining has become essential to everything.”  

The release of the Future Minerals Index Report coincides with the upcoming fifth edition of the Future Minerals Forum, being held from Jan. 13 to 15, 2026, in Riyadh under the patronage of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud. The event is held under the theme “Minerals: Facing the Challenges of a New Era of Development.”  

The forum will host a wide range of ministers and CEOs from leading global mining companies, reflecting its stature as a global platform in the mining sector and a key event showcasing Saudi Arabia’s leadership in shaping the future of minerals regionally and internationally.