Analysts hopeful Pakistan finance minister can secure multilateral donor commitments during US visit

Pakistan's finance minister Senator Ishaq Dar chairs a meeting of the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (ECNEC) in Islamabad, Pakistan on October 7, 2022. (Twitter/FinMinistryPak)
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Updated 12 October 2022
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Analysts hopeful Pakistan finance minister can secure multilateral donor commitments during US visit

  • Dar leaves for DC amid unprecedented economic crisis as Pakistan grapples with aftermath of cataclysmic floods
  • Pakistani experts said Dar’s top task in DC was convincing multilateral donors of expedited loan program, project financing

KARACHI: As finance minister Ishaq Dar left for Washington on Tuesday to hold talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, Pakistani experts said they hoped the South Asian nation would convince multilateral donors to expedite financing and relax conditionalities amid widespread devastation from recent floods.

Dar leaves for DC amid an unprecedented economic crisis, with Pakistan grappling with mounting inflation, depleting forex reserves, an increasing trade deficit, and over $30 billion in damages caused by cataclysmic floods that have killed over 1,700 people and left 33 million scrambling for survival.

In response to an emergency relief call from the United Nations, the country now expects to receive around $4 billion from multilateral donors, including $1.5 billion from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and $0.5 billion from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) by the end of current month.

Pakistan is also expecting around $1 billion from the UN and $1 billion from the World Bank by December this year. The World Bank’s commitment is dependent on the completion of conditionalities, according to a central bank briefing on Monday.

On Tuesday, Pakistani experts said Dar’s top task in DC was convincing multilateral donors to disburse their commitments.

“Pakistani authorities must be able to convince multilaterals of an expedited [loan] program and project financing,” Dr. Khaqan Najeeb, a former finance ministry adviser, told Arab News.

“In addition, authorities [while in DC] should work to refinance a $1 billion bond, which is due in 2022, rollover or reschedule existing facilities of $7 billion with bilateral partners, access concessional facilities and ensure commercial rollovers.”

Dar’s Washington visit to attend the annual meeting of the World Bank and IMF comes ahead of the 9th review of a $7 billion loan program from the IMF, that is due on October 25, 2022.

Before leaving for Washington, Dar had assuaged spooky investors by saying the government would fully honor its commitments made with the IMF and other creditors.

“We will honor our commitments no matter what, irrespective of the government who made the agreements. Pakistan is an independent and sovereign state and the current government under the leadership of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is fully determined to protect and maintain its national sovereignty and integrity,” Dar told journalists on Saturday at a press conference.

Pakistan, a member of the IMF since 1950, went to the fund for the first time in 1958. Since then the country has signed some 23 agreements, with all ending prematurely, except one.

Pakistani analysts are hopeful of the success of the Dar’s visit in securing some solid commitments from multilateral donors amid the widespread destruction caused by floods.

“The finance minister is expected to talk on relaxation of IMF conditionalities in the backdrop of floods damages for the next review,” Tahir Abbas, the head of research at Arif Habib Limited, a brokerage firm, said.

“In addition, Dar is expected to hold talks with the World Bank for additional funding. I think Dar will be able to secure additional funding after completion of some modalities and will get relaxation from the IMF keeping in view the ground realities after floods.”

Khaqan, agreeing with Abbas, said: “All important aspects related to ensuring stability in Pakistan’s Balance of Payments challenge would hopefully see some progress in Washington.”

Although the full impact of flood damages is yet to be known, the South Asian economy has started decelerating, with Moody’s lowering its real economic growth to 0-1 percent for fiscal 2023 from a pre-flood estimate of 3-4 percent while the World Bank and Pakistan’s central bank forecasts stand at 2 percent and 3 percent respectively.

Given this, Pakistani experts stress revising the macro-framework and continued engagement with the IMF.

 “Pakistan must continue with the IMF as an anchor for its stamp of approval and accessing funds under the program,” Khaqan said. “But what has become necessary is to finalize a revised macro-framework to form the basis for further negotiations with the IMF.”


Pakistan to launch ‘historic’ lunar mission aboard China’s Chang’e 6 on May 3

Updated 6 sec ago
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Pakistan to launch ‘historic’ lunar mission aboard China’s Chang’e 6 on May 3

  • Pakistan’s Institute of Space Technology has built ICUBE-Q in collaboration with Shanghai University and SUPARCO
  • The student-built payload carries two optical cameras to image lunar surface and will be part of China’s mission to the Moon

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is scheduled to send its “historic” lunar mission (ICUBE-Q) on board China’s Chang’e6 which is scheduled to be launched on May 3, reported the state-owned Associated Press of Pakistan (APP) news agency on Tuesday.
ICUBE-Q has been designed and developed by the Institute of Space Technology in collaboration with China’s Shanghai University and Pakistan’s national space agency SUPARCO.
“ICUBE-Q orbiter carries two optical cameras to image the lunar surface,” the APP reported. “Following successful qualification and testing, ICUBE-Q has now been integrated with the Chang’e 6 mission.”
China is set to launch a first ever attempt to collect samples from the far side of the Moon.
The Chinese mission aims to grab samples containing material ejected from the lunar mantle and thus provide insight into the history of the Moon, Earth and Solar System.
According to the website of the Institute of Space Technology, China’s national space agency allowed Asia Pacific Space Cooperation Organization member states to send student-built payload to the Moon with its mission.
The Pakistani institution built a device that was selected for the purpose after rigorous evaluation.


At least 143 killed in Pakistan’s unusually heavy April rains

Updated 7 min 42 sec ago
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At least 143 killed in Pakistan’s unusually heavy April rains

  • Pakistan has become vulnerable to unpredictable weather, often-destructive monsoon rains that usually arrive in July
  • The largest death toll for April was in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, where 83 people died, including 38 children

ISLAMABAD: At least 143 people died in Pakistan from lightning strikes and other storm-related incidents in April, with the country receiving more than twice as much rain as usual for the month, officials said Tuesday.
April brought flash floods, landslides and inclement weather that caused houses to collapse in some areas and destroyed crops in others.
Pakistan saw a rainfall “increase of 164 percent above the normal levels in April, which is very unusual,” said Zaheer Ahmad Babar, spokesperson for the Pakistan Meteorological Department.
“We’ve observed these erratic weather patterns as a direct result of climate change,” he told AFP.
Pakistan is increasingly vulnerable to unpredictable weather, as well as often-destructive monsoon rains that usually arrive in July.
The largest death toll for April was in northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, where 83 people died, including 38 children, and where more than 3,500 homes have been damaged.
“The fatalities resulted from roof collapse and landslide incidents,” Anwar Shahzad, spokesman for the province’s disaster management authority, told AFP on Tuesday.
In some northern parts of Punjab, the country’s most populous province, harvests of wheat, a staple food, were spoiled by hailstorms.
Environmental expert Maryam Shabbir Abbasi told AFP that overall weather patterns had shifted by “about a month and a half, and we should shift our calendars for the agriculture sector accordingly to avoid damages caused by unprecedented rainfall.”
Officials earlier this month said several people, including farmers harvesting wheat, were killed by lightning in Punjab, and that a total of 21 people were killed in different rain-related incidents.
Another 21 deaths were reported in Balochistan province in April, including seven people who were struck by lightning, with rain disrupting life in some districts and causing school closures.
In parts of Azad Kashmir, 14 people were killed, and at least four were killed in road accidents linked to floods in southern Sindh province.
In the summer of 2022, a third of Pakistan was submerged by unprecedented monsoon rains that displaced millions of people and cost the country $30 billion in damages and economic losses, according to a World Bank estimate.
As several parts of the country were battered by heavy rains this month, Karachi, the largest city, experienced its hottest day of the year on Sunday, with temperatures soaring to 37 degrees Celsius (99 degrees Fahrenheit).


Pakistan reduces petrol and diesel prices amid favorable global energy market conditions

Updated 30 min 45 sec ago
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Pakistan reduces petrol and diesel prices amid favorable global energy market conditions

  • The government has announced to bring down the petrol and diesel prices by Rs5.45 and Rs8.42 respectively
  • Rising fuel cost in Pakistan led to inflationary pressure in economy, though things are said to be improving

ISLAMABAD: The government announced a reduction in the petrol price in Pakistan by Rs5.45 per liter on Tuesday night, bringing the overall rate down to Rs288.49 for the next 15 days following a recommendation of the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA).
Pakistan typically adjusts petroleum prices on a fortnightly basis, taking into account fluctuations in the international energy market and the rupee-dollar exchange rate.
According to an official notification, the diesel price has also seen a downward revision of Rs8.42 per liter, setting it at Rs281.96.
“The prices of Petroleum products have seen a decreasing trend in the international market during the last fortnight,” the notification announced. “The Oil & Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) has worked out the consumer prices, based on the price variations in the international market. The prices of Motor Spirit [petrol] & HSD [high-speed diesel] for the next fortnight, starting from 1st May, 2024, are accordingly being lowered.”
Earlier, the government increased the petrol and diesel prices by Rs4.5 and Rs8.1 per liter, respectively, on April 15.
Pakistan significantly increased fuel prices after securing a short-term, $3 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) last year.
The rising rates also led to spiraling inflation in the country, though the government started offering relief to the people by gradually bringing down the petroleum prices.
Pakistan is in the process of securing yet another IMF loan which is expected to be bigger in terms of size and duration.


Rana Sanaullah, another Nawaz Sharif loyalist, appointed adviser to Pakistan PM

Updated 01 May 2024
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Rana Sanaullah, another Nawaz Sharif loyalist, appointed adviser to Pakistan PM

  • Sanaullah’s appointment comes two days after foreign minister Ishaq Dar was named deputy prime minister
  • Analysts believe the appointments indicate Nawaz Sharif is trying to assert indirect control over the government

ISLAMABAD: President Asif Ali Zardari on Tuesday appointed Rana Sanaullah adviser to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, according to a post on the Pakistan president’s official account on platform X.
Sanaullah is considered a close aide of PM Sharif’s elder brother, Nawaz Sharif, who is also a three-time former prime minister.
Sanaullah has previously served as the federal interior minister and provincial law minister for Pakistan’s most populous Punjab province.
“President Asif Ali Zardari has approved the appointment of Rana Sanaullah Khan as Adviser to the Prime Minister on Political and Public Affairs,” read the post on President Zardari’s official social media account.
“The President approved the appointment of Rana Sanaullah Khan on the advice of the Prime Minister under Article 93 (a) of the Constitution.”
Sanaullah’s appointment comes two days after Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar was named the country’s deputy prime minister. Dar, a 73-year-old chartered accountant, is another close Nawaz Sharif ally.
The elder Sharif, who returned to Pakistan in October 2023 after years of self-exile, was widely seen as the favorite candidate for the prime minister’s office ahead of the February 8 national polls, and was believed to be backed by the country’s powerful army.
However, the three-time former prime minister decided against taking the PM’s office after the elections failed to produce a clear winner, leading to speculation that his role in the country’s politics had come to an end.
Analysts widely believe that the recent appointments of Dar and Sanaullah indicate Nawaz Sharif is attempting to assert control over the government through indirect means.


Pakistan to block mobile connections of over 500,000 individuals for not filing tax returns

Updated 30 April 2024
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Pakistan to block mobile connections of over 500,000 individuals for not filing tax returns

  • In December, the Federal Board of Revenue said Pakistan had around 5.2 million taxpayers in 2022, out of a population of 240 million people
  • The government has decided to digitalize tax collection system to prevent leakages even as large segment of economy remains undocumented

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has decided to block mobile phone connections of more than 500,000 individuals who had not filed their income tax returns for Tax Year 2023, the country’s tax regulator said on Tuesday.

Pakistan’s narrow tax base and enduring tax evasion issue have often led to the problem of insufficient revenue collection. The shortfall exacerbates the government’s tendency to run a high fiscal deficit, often financed through domestic and international borrowing.

In Dec., the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) said the country had a “very narrow tax base” of around 5.2 million people in 2022, out of a population of 240 million people and it had planned to add 1.5 million new taxpayers to the existing base during this fiscal year.

On Tuesday, the FBR issued an order to enforce filing of returns by the persons who were not appearing on the active taxpayer list.

“FBR has taken decisive action by issuing an order to disable mobile phone SIMs associated with 506,671 individuals who fall under the aforementioned category,” the regulator said in a statement.

“The Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA) and all telecom operators have been instructed to enforce the ITGO with immediate effect, ensuring swift implementation of the order.”

These mobile connections would remain blocked until restored by the FBR or the concerned Inland Revenue commissioner, according to the statement. Telecom operators were asked to furnish a compliance report to the FBR by May 15.

Amid its efforts to broaden the tax base, the government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has recently decided to digitalize the tax collection system to prevent leakages even as a large segment of the national economy remains undocumented.

Pakistan, which has been facing an economic meltdown, is also making efforts to introduce structural economic reforms. The South Asian country has to meet a primary budget deficit target of Rs401 billion ($1.44 billion), or 0.4 percent of its gross domestic product, for the current fiscal year before the government presents its budget in June.