Thar Coal Project could help Pakistan save $6 billion in energy imports — PM

This picture taken on May 23, 2018 shows trucks transporting soil in an open-pit coal mining site at Islamkot in the desert in the Tharparkar district of Pakistan's southern Sindh province. (AFP/File)
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Updated 10 October 2022
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Thar Coal Project could help Pakistan save $6 billion in energy imports — PM

  • Pakistan is reeling from aftermath of catastrophic floods that analysts say are partly driven by failure to cut fossil fuel use
  • Pakistan’s coal reserves at Thar are equivalent to 50 billion tons of oil, which is more than Saudi and Iranian oil reserves

ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Monday a coal-fired power project in the Thar desert could help the government save up to $6 billion in energy imports, even as the South Asian nation reels from the aftermath of catastrophic floods that analysts have said are partly driven by a failure of political will to cut fossil fuel use.

Experts and scientists say rising fossil fuel use is pushing stronger floods, heatwaves, droughts and wildfires in almost every part of the world. Meanwhile, international finance to help at-risk countries such as Pakistan boost their resilience to climate threats and adopt clean energy have largely failed to emerge.

The estimated 175 billion tons of watery, low energy coal in Thar was first discovered in 1992 but because of its poor quality, most companies found it too costly to mine. In 2012, the Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company (SECMC), a joint venture between the Sindh government and Engro Powergen, took up the challenge, convincing eight companies to join them. The project is now under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor of infrastructure and energy projects for which Beijing has pledged over $60 in Pakistan. since 2016.

“Amid the skyrocketing fuel prices, the cheaper energy production from the Thar Coal Mines project would prove as a game-changer of development for the entire country,” Sharif was quoted by state media, APP, as saying at a ceremony in Thar in the southern Sindh province.

“The Thar Coal Project, he said, could help the government save up to $6 billion as the expenditure on the import of energy including petrol and liquid petroleum touched $24 billion.”

“Thar Coal project was high on the agenda for the government in view of the reduced cost of power generation,” he added

The PM said not utilizing the country’s indigenous coal reserves was a “huge mistake” and announced a meeting of stakeholders on Thar Coal next week, adding that the federal government would collaborate with the Sindh government to chalk out a policy framework on the mines project, with an objective to connect it with other coal-powered power plants in the country.

Sharif said the international cost of coal had come down from $67 to $44 and could go down further to $30.

“The coal-powered plants, he said, would prove a feasible operation for electricity production at the rate of Rs10 per unit,” APP quoted the PM saying.

This month, a third power plant with the capacity of 330 megawatts was launched as part of the Thar coal project, taking the mine’s total installed power production capacity to 990 megawatts in three years. The previous two plants have a cumulative capacity of 660MW on local coal.

Pakistan has 175 billion tons of coal reserves in Thar equivalent to 50 billion tons of oil equivalent (TOE), which is more than Saudi and Iranian oil reserves. The reserves equal 2,000 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of gas, which is 68 times higher than Pakistan’s total gas reserves.

In 2020, the government of then PM Imran Khan set in motion a national renewables policy to boost the share of its electric power that comes from renewables to 30 percent by 2030, up from about 4 percent that year.

“The targets in the newly announced policy are a 20 percent share of renewables in installed capacity of Pakistan’s power mix by 2025 and 30 percent by 2030,” Syed Aqeel Hussain Jafry, a policy director for the government’s Alternative Energy Development Board, had said after the new policy was announced.

That would include mainly wind and solar power, but also geothermal, tidal, wave and biomass energy.

With boosts in hydropower capacity expected as well, the shift could bring the share of clean energy in Pakistan’s electricity mix to 65 percent by 2030, an energy reforms task force had predicted in 2020.


Pakistan’s domestic power sources cushion LNG supply risk from Middle East war — minister

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Pakistan’s domestic power sources cushion LNG supply risk from Middle East war — minister

  • Pakistan less exposed to LNG disruptions as domestic power rises, Power Minister Leghari says
  • 74% of power now from local sources, targeting 96%, LNG accounts for 10% of power generation

KARACHI: Pakistan’s growing reliance on domestic power, ​including solar and wind energy, nuclear reactors, coal and hydropower, has reduced its vulnerability to global LNG supply disruptions, Power Minister Awais ‌Leghari told Reuters.

The war in the Middle East threatens shipments from Qatar, the world’s No. 2 producer after the US which supplies most of Pakistan’s imported LNG, used to fuel power plants during peak electricity demand.

“Pakistan has been steadily increasing reliance on indigenous energy resources, and about 74% of our electricity generation now comes from local sources,” Leghari said, adding the ​government aims to raise that above 96% by 2034.

The figures have not been previously reported.

“The people-led solar revolution, and earlier decisions to invest ​in nuclear, hydropower and local coal have all played a role in increasing Pakistan’s self-reliance,” he added.

Pakistan has long struggled ⁠with electricity shortages and historically faced hours of daily load shedding during peak summer demand.

The country now has surplus generation capacity after adding coal, ​LNG and nuclear plants, while demand growth has slowed and the use of rooftop solar has surged, at times exceeding grid demand in some hubs.

Outages still occur in ​parts of the country due to theft, line losses and financial constraints, rather than a lack of power.

‘WORST-CASE SCENARIO’

Qatar halted LNG production earlier this month, and Asian nations, who buy 80% of its output, are scrambling to meet the shortage.

LNG now accounts for about 10% of Pakistan’s electricity generation, mainly used to meet evening demand peaks and stabilize ​the grid, Leghari said.%

During the global energy crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the country was forced to cut power for extended ​periods after failing to secure LNG cargoes on the spot market.

“Even if LNG was disrupted or became too expensive, the impact on production capacity, industry or agriculture would ‌be minimal,” ⁠Leghari said.

But he said prolonged disruptions could still lead to additional shortages during summer, when demand surges from the use of air-conditioners.

“In a worst-case scenario, if LNG cargoes stopped for several months, Pakistan might see one to two hours of load shedding during peak summer evenings,” Leghari said.

Such outages would likely affect some urban and rural areas, not industry or agriculture, he said, adding Pakistan is developing battery storage to shift excess daytime solar to evening ​peaks.

Pakistan canceled 21 LNG cargoes due in 2026-27 ​under a long-term deal with ⁠Italy’s Eni as domestic power and solar growth cut gas demand.

LOCAL AND GREEN

Pakistan is not expected to invest in any source of power that could put it at risk in terms of energy security,” Leghari said, saying the government’s ​plans for the next six to eight years is to focus on indigenous clean power.

About 55% of electricity ​generation now comes from ⁠clean sources, which the government aims to raise above 90% by 2034, Leghari said.

Hydropower produces about 40 terawatt hours of electricity annually, while nuclear generates roughly 22 TWh and domestic coal about 12 TWh, according to the minister, forming a significant share of Pakistan’s electricity supply without relying on imported fuel.

Rooftop solar installations ⁠have surged ​to more than 20 GW across Pakistan, with behind-the-meter capacity estimated at 12–14 GW and ​possibly up to 18 GW, sharply reducing daytime grid demand, he said.

Hydropower output also rises in summer as river flows increase, adding up to 7,000 megawatts of capacity and helping meet ​higher electricity demand from air-conditioning.