From Pakistan to Texas, big rains after extreme heat deliver double punch

This aerial photograph taken on September 1, 2022 shows flooded residential areas after heavy monsoon rains in Dera Allah Yar town of Jaffarabad district, Balochistan province. (AFP)
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Updated 02 September 2022
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From Pakistan to Texas, big rains after extreme heat deliver double punch

  • Sweltering spring temperatures in South Asia, topping 50°C, are likely to have warmed Indian Ocean
  • That warm water would then have fueled what the UN secretary-general called ‘monsoon on steroids’

LONDON: While Pakistanis count the cost of one of the country’s worst recorded floods, heavy rain is hitting southwestern China as the Texas city of Dallas recovers from a 10-inch deluge in a single day last month.

Each of these rain-fueled disasters followed a heatwave, suggesting the regions have been swinging wildly between two contradictory extremes. But extreme heat and extreme rainfall are closely related — and being gassed-up by climate change, scientists say.

Sweltering spring temperatures in South Asia, topping 50 degrees Celsius, are likely to have warmed the Indian Ocean. That warm water would then have fueled what the UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres this week called “a monsoon on steroids” over Pakistan – dumping more than three times as much rain as the 30-year average for August and inundating a third of the country.

More than 1,100 people have been killed, crops are ruined, and homes destroyed, prompting urgent pleas for aid.

It will take weeks if not months to determine exactly how much of a role climate change may have played in this year’s floods, but scientists agree it is supercharging extremes. Heatwaves are already more frequent and intense worldwide, increasing evaporation from both the land and the ocean. Because a warmer atmosphere can also hold more moisture, the water vapor builds until clouds eventually break and send down heavier rain.

“The same places can be expected to experience both flooding and drought in a hotter climate,” said climate scientist Deepti Singh at Washington State University.

The area around Dallas had been bone dry for three months, with more than half of Texas suffering extreme drought. Cotton crops withered in the fields. Ranchers were forced to kill off much of their cattle for lack of feed. Soils hardened and cracked, forming a parched checkerboard across the landscape – the perfect setup for flash flooding.

It eventually rained on Aug. 21, dropping nearly 10 inches within 24 hours, but the ground was too hard to absorb the deluge, leaving much of the water to flow through the city. Interstate traffic came to a halt. Flights were canceled. And apartments in the historic area of Old East Dallas were swamped.

In a drought-stricken area, “the ground can almost act like concrete in an urban environment,” said climate scientist Liz Stephens at the University of Reading in Britain.

Unlike flooding that comes from rivers gradually overflowing their banks, flash floods are triggered by intense rain in a short period – usually less than six hours – giving little warning before the water swells into a raging torrent. In an urban population center, they pose the most risk. But flash floods also often rip through desert canyons in Utah and Arizona, threatening hikers.

There have been four other major flash floods in the United States since July – in Kentucky, eastern Illinois, California’s Death Valley and the Missouri city of St. Louis. Each saw enough rain to be considered a once-in-1,000-years event, according to historical trends.

It’s unclear how far that frequency will increase as the world continues warming.

Hit over the summer by its worst heatwave in six decades, China’s drought-stricken Yangtze River Basin is struggling with both power and water shortages. Desperate for rain, some provinces within the basin have begun “seeding” clouds, sending planes into the sky to release the chemical silver iodide to cause the clouds to break.

But as late summer rains arrive now, officials are worried about having too much water. More than 119,000 people have been evacuated from flood-risk areas of southwestern China, according to state media.

The Ministry of Emergency Management warned on Monday that parts of China were “alternating between drought and flood” and urged vigilance this week in monitoring dried-up riverbeds being inundated by intense rain. The ministry also asked that local authorities store rainwater, to potentially help relieve other drought-stricken areas of the country.

Weather events across the northern hemisphere can also be connected by the polar jet stream, a fast-flowing air current that moves weather systems from one part of the world to another.

But scientists have found that warming trends along with recent disturbances in air circulation may be increasing the chances of simultaneous extremes.

The jet stream disturbance is still a topic of intense research. But one recent study suggested that these factors combined have made it seven times more likely for heatwaves to be occurring simultaneously in the northern hemisphere than 40 years ago, according to the research published in January in the Journal of Climate.

“The warming trend is the main driver behind the increase in concurrent heatwaves,” said climate scientist Kai Kornhuber at Columbia University in New York, who was part of a team including Singh that worked on the study.

But there is evidence, including the research around the jet stream, “to believe that atmospheric dynamics have contributed to this increasing trend.”


Pakistan military says 12 soldiers killed in border fighting as Kabul calls for dialogue

Updated 50 min 46 sec ago
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Pakistan military says 12 soldiers killed in border fighting as Kabul calls for dialogue

  • Military says 274 Afghan fighters killed, over 400 injured in ongoing operation
  • Afghan authorities earlier said 55 Pakistani soldiers killed in retaliatory strikes

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s military said on Friday 12 soldiers had been killed in cross-border fighting with Afghan forces, as it detailed the scale of an ongoing border operation and accused the Kabul government of coordinating with militant groups targeting Pakistan.

The announcement followed days of escalating hostilities triggered by Pakistani airstrikes earlier this week on what Islamabad said were Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Daesh militant camps inside Afghanistan. Since then, both governments have reported retaliatory operations and issued conflicting casualty figures, marking the most serious deterioration in relations between the neighbors in recent months.

The 2,600-kilometer (1,600-mile) shared frontier between the two nations, a key trade and transit corridor, has remained closed to trade and movement since October 2025 amid recurring tensions.

Lt. Gen. Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry, director general of Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), told a news conference in Rawalpindi that Pakistani forces had repelled coordinated attacks at 53 locations along the border and responded under what he described as Operation Ghazab lil-Haq.

“While safeguarding Pakistan’s honor and territorial integrity, 12 brave soldiers have embraced martyrdom in the operation so far, while 27 have been injured and one soldier is missing in action,” he said.

Chaudhry said Pakistan had killed 274 Taliban fighters and injured more than 400, describing those figures as conservative estimates. He added that 73 Afghan posts had been completely destroyed along the border and 18 had been captured.

He said Afghan Taliban forces had launched physical raids “in collusion and in support of an internationally declared terrorist organization” and accused the Taliban administration of acting in coordination with militant groups.

“The Afghan Taliban regime is the master proxy of these terrorist proxies which are operating from Afghanistan,” he said.

Kabul has repeatedly said it does not allow militants to operate in its territory. 

Chaudhry said Pakistan had targeted 22 locations across the border, including in Kabul, Kandahar, Paktia, Nangarhar, Khost and Paktika.

“All targets were selected with great care based on intelligence. They were military objectives, and utmost care was taken to avoid any civilian collateral damage,” he said.

He said the Taliban authorities faced a choice.

“Either they choose terrorists and terrorism or side with Pakistan,” he said.

KABUL CALLS FOR DIALOGUE 

Separately on Friday afternoon, Afghan Taliban spokesperson Zabihullah Mujahid called for talks to resolve the crisis.

“We have always emphasized peaceful resolution, and now too we want the issue to be resolved through dialogue,” he said.

In a detailed statement earlier in the day, Afghanistan’s Ministry of National Defense said it had carried out airstrikes inside Pakistan in response to what it described as Pakistani “aerial incursions” into Kabul, Kandahar and Paktia.

Afghan officials said 55 Pakistani soldiers were killed and that several posts were captured, claims denied by Islamabad.

None of the casualty figures or battlefield claims from either side could be independently verified.

Pakistan’s Information Minister Attaullah Tarar earlier said militants had attempted to launch drones inside Pakistani territory.

“Fitna al khawarij terrorists have attempted to launch small drones in Abbotabad, Swabi and Nowshera. Anti Drone Systems have brought down all the drones. No damage to life,” Tarar said.

“The incidents have again exposed direct linkages between Afghan Taliban Regime and Terrorism in Pakistan.”

Separately, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Friday visited General Headquarters (GHQ) in Rawalpindi, where he was briefed by the military leadership on the evolving situation. 

According to a statement from the Prime Minister’s Office, Sharif said there would be “zero tolerance” toward what he described as collusion between the Afghan Taliban regime and militant elements.

“Pakistan knows very well how to defend itself against any aggression,” the statement quoted him as saying, adding that the armed forces were ready to safeguard the country.
Regional concern

Cross-border violence has intensified in recent weeks, with Pakistan blaming a surge in suicide bombings and militant attacks on insurgents it says are based in Afghanistan. Kabul denies providing safe havens and says Pakistan’s security challenges are an internal matter.

The latest clashes mark the third major escalation between the neighbors in less than a year. Similar strikes last year triggered weeklong fighting before Qatar, Türkiye and other regional actors mediated a ceasefire in October.

Several countries, including China, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Iran, have expressed concern and urged restraint.

Operations on both sides were ongoing as of Friday evening.