Macro Snapshot — Eurozone factory activity contracted in July as recession fears grow

The eurozone's final manufacturing PMI fell to 49.8 in July from June’s 52.1, just ahead of a preliminary reading of 49.6 (Shutterstock)
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Updated 02 August 2022
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Macro Snapshot — Eurozone factory activity contracted in July as recession fears grow

CAIRO: The eurozone saw a significant drop in manufacturing activity in July as weak demand, rising prices and global economic instability continue. 

According to S&P Global’s final manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index, Japan’s manufacturing sector growth slowed down, while South Korea’s factory activity weakened for the first time in two years.

Russia's factory activity grew slightly, whereas India's factory growth hit an 8-month high last month. 

Global July Factory Activity 

Eurozone

  • Manufacturing activity across the eurozone contracted last month with factories forced to stockpile unsold goods due to weak demand.
  • Final manufacturing PMI fell to 49.8 in July from June’s 52.1, just ahead of a preliminary reading of 49.6.
  • First time below the 50 mark, which separates growth from contraction, since June 2020.

UK 

  • British manufacturing output and new orders declined in July at the fastest rate since May 2020 as factories across Europe struggled with rising costs and slowing demand.
  • Final manufacturing PMI fell last month to 52.1 from 52.8 in June.
  • Revised down slightly from a preliminary “flash” July reading of 52.2.

Germany

  • Germany’s manufacturing sector contracted in July for the first time in over two years, hurt by a deepening slump in new orders that darkens the outlook for Europe’s largest economy.
  • Final manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 from 52.0 in June.
  • A Reuters poll of analysts had pointed to a July reading of 49.2.

France

  • French manufacturing activity contracted in July by a bit more than initially forecast, highlighting the inflationary pressures on the euro zone’s second-biggest economy.
  • Final manufacturing PMI  fell to 49.5 points from 51.4 in June.

Italy 

  • Italy’s manufacturing sector contracted in July for the first time in more than two years, amid a sharp decline in factory production.
  • Final manufacturing PMI came in at 48.5, down from 50.9 the month before.
  • Below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction for the first time since June 2020.

Spain

  • Factory activity in Spain contracted in July for the first time in a year and a half as inflationary pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty weighed on demand.
  • Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7 in July, down from 52.6 in June.
  • The indicator in June was below the 50.0 level that marks an activity contraction for the first time since January 2021 and the lowest since May 2020, when the country was in a strict lockdown.

Poland

  • The downturn in Polish manufacturing accelerated in July, as output and new orders fell sharply due to an uncertain economic outlook and high inflation.
  • Final manufacturing PMI fell to 42.1 in July from 44.4 in June, below the 50.0 line that separates growth from contraction.
  • Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a reading of 43.6.

Russia

  • Russia’s manufacturing sector held steady in July, as the sector continues to struggle with diving exports and logistical problems in the face of Western sanctions.
  • Manufacturing PMI edged lower to 50.3 from 50.9 in June, but stayed above the 50 mark that separates expansion from contraction.

India

  • India’s factory activity expanded at its quickest pace in eight months in July, driven by solid growth in new orders and output as demand continued to improve on the back of easing price pressures.
  • The survey results suggested the Indian economy has remained resilient, at least for now, despite concerns over faster interest rate hikes, massive capital outflows, a weakening rupee and a rapidly slowing global economy.
  • Final manufacturing PMI jumped to 56.4 in July from June’s 53.9, remaining above the 50-level separating growth from contraction for a thirteenth month.

South Korea

  • South Korea’s factory activity shrank in July for the first time in nearly two years, as output and new orders weakened amid continued inflation and supply chain woes.
  • The final manufacturing PMI fell to a seasonally-adjusted 49.8 in July from 51.3 in June, falling below 50 for the first time since September 2020.

Japan

  • Japan’s manufacturing activity expanded at the weakest rate in 10 months in July, as pressure from rising prices and supply disruptions hurt output and new orders, suggesting a solid post-pandemic economic recovery is still some way off.
  • The final manufacturing PMI dipped to a seasonally adjusted 52.1 in July from the previous month’s 52.7 final.

South Africa

  • South African manufacturing activity contracted for the first time in a year in July, when the country experienced major power cuts that dented output.
  • The seasonally-adjusted Absa PMI fell to 47.6 points in July from 52.2 in June, falling below the 50-point mark that separates expansion from contraction for the first time since July 2021.

 

 

 


Over 3k flights cancelled across the Middle East after attack on Iran by the US, Israel

Updated 01 March 2026
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Over 3k flights cancelled across the Middle East after attack on Iran by the US, Israel

RIYADH: US and Israeli strikes on Iran led to widespread airspace shutdowns in the Middle East, canceling and rerouting thousands of flights and paralyzing key international travel corridors.

Flight cancellations affected seven airports across the Middle East, including Dubai and Abu Dhabi in the UAE, Doha in Qatar, and Manama in Bahrain.

Emirates Airlines said in a statement: “Due to multiple regional airspace closures, Emirates has temporarily suspended all operations to and from Dubai, up until 1500 hrs UAE time on Monday, 2 March.”

A flydubai spokesperson said the situation is evolving, and the airline is closely monitoring developments while coordinating with authorities to adjust its flight schedule.

“Our teams are working diligently to implement comprehensive welfare for all affected customers. The safety of our passengers and crew remains our highest priority,” the spokesperson said.

He added: “We are currently experiencing a high volume of calls and appreciate our customers’ patience while our teams work to assist everyone as quickly as possible.”

Qatar Airways announced that the airport will remain closed until at least the morning of March 2.

“Qatar Airways flights to, and from, Doha have been temporarily suspended due to the closure of Qatari airspace,” the airline said.

It added: “Qatar Airways will resume operations once the Qatar Civil Aviation Authority announces the safe reopening of Qatari airspace.”

Saudia also said in an official statement that it had canceled a number of flights due to developments in the region and the closure of airspace.

The organization said the decision was taken in line with aviation safety and security standards, noting that its Emergency Coordination Center is closely monitoring developments with relevant authorities.

Saudia urged passengers to verify the status of their flights before heading to the airport and said guests would be notified of updates through the contact details associated with their bookings.

The carrier added that further information would be announced in a subsequent statement if available.

Air Arabia also said its flights were experiencing cancellations, delays, or rerouting as a result of the evolving situation and airspace closures.

Airlines cited airspace closures and safety concerns as the main reasons for flight disruptions, urging passengers to check official channels for updates as the situation develops.

Israeli airspace also remained closed on March 1st. Israeli airline El Al said it was preparing a recovery effort to bring home Israelis stranded abroad once the airspace reopened.

Travelers were either stranded or diverted to other airports on Feb. 28 after Israel, Qatar, Syria, and Iran as well as Iraq, Kuwait and Bahrain, closed their airspace.

After the UAE announced a temporary partial airspace closure, FlightRadar24 recorded no flights over the country.

The closures affected key hub airports in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha. Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad, airlines that operate from these hubs, normally handle around 90,000 passengers daily, with even more traveling to other Middle Eastern destinations, according to aviation analytics firm Cirium.

Airports hit by attacks

Two airports in the UAE reported incidents as the government there condemned what it called a “blatant attack involving Iranian ballistic missiles” on Feb.28.

Dubai International Airport, the UAE’s largest and one of the world’s busiest, reported four injuries, while Abu Dhabi’s Zayed International Airport said a drone attack killed one person and injured seven others. Strikes were also reported at Kuwait International Airport.

Though Iran did not publicly claim responsibility, the scope of retaliatory strikes that Gulf nations attributed to Iran extended beyond the US bases that it previously said it would target.

Flight delays, cancellations are likely to continue

“For travelers, there’s no way to sugarcoat this,” said Henry Harteveldt, an airline industry analyst and president of Atmosphere Research Group.

“You should prepare for delays or cancellations for the next few days as these attacks evolve and hopefully end,” he added.

To avoid conflict zones, airlines are rerouting Middle East flights over Saudi Arabia, adding hours and fuel costs, which could push ticket prices higher if the tensions persist.

The extra flights will strain air traffic controllers in the Kingdom, who may need to slow traffic for safety. Meanwhile, countries that closed their airspace will lose out on overflight fees from passing airlines.

Mike McCormick, former head of air traffic control at the FAA and now a professor at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, said some countries may reopen parts of their airspace in the coming days once US and Israeli officials provide airlines with details on military flight zones and Iran’s missile capabilities.

“Those countries then will be able to go through and say, ok, we can reopen this portion of our space but we’ll keep this portion of our airspace closed,” McCormick said.

“So, I think what we’ll see in the next 24 to 36 hours is how the use of airspace evolves as the kinetic activity gets more well-defined and as the capability of Iran to actually shoot missiles and create additional risk is diminished due to the attacks,” he added.

But it is unclear how long the disruption to flight operations could last. For comparison, the Israeli and US attack on Iran in June 2025 lasted 12 days.