Pakistan inflation peaks to 14-year high amid currency depreciation, rising commodity prices

A Pakistani man talks on the phone in front of a poster displaying US dollars at the currency exchange place in Lahore on May 16, 2019. (AFP/File)
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Updated 01 August 2022
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Pakistan inflation peaks to 14-year high amid currency depreciation, rising commodity prices

  • Economists say dramatic fall of rupee is the 'most immediate reason' for the spike in inflation, the third highest in world
  • Pakistani authorities plan to generate $125 million through new taxes to keep budget deficit at the level agreed with IMF

KARACHI: Pakistan’s inflation rose to a 14-year high of 24.93 percent on a year-on-year basis in July, the country's statistics bureau said on Monday, with experts attributing it to falling currency and rising commodity prices. 

Pakistan is currently experiencing one of the highest inflationary pressures due to drastic depreciation of its national currency and recent multiple price hikes of fuel and electricity by the government as prior action to revive the stalled $6 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) program it secured in 2019.  

In July, food prices increased by 10.28 percent, energy and housing by 4.98 percent and transport by 3.88 percent, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS). 

Financial experts say rupee's depreciation is a major factor contributing to the inflationary pressure and the South Asian country now has the third-highest inflation rate in the world.  

“The dramatic fall in the currency is the most immediate reason for the spike in the inflation rate which is now the third-highest in the world,” Yousuf Nazar, a London-based economist, told Arab News on Monday. 

“Pakistani rupee has to appreciate and oil prices need to come down for the inflationary pressures to ease off in the country.”   

The Pakistani currency on Monday appreciated by 0.22 percent to close at Rs238.84 against the US dollar, in a second consecutive session of appreciation. 

The local currency has depreciated by 16.7 percent since July 1, with the greenback rising from Rs204.56 to Rs238.84. 

Pakistan is facing one of the worst economic crises in its history since its foreign exchange reserves have significantly declined and the national currency is under tremendous pressure.  

However, the country’s finance ministry and the central bank jointly said on Sunday the pressure on rupee would ease in the coming days. Pakistani authorities say the country’s economic “problems are temporary and are being forcefully addressed.” 

Finance Minister Miftah Ismail was also optimistic about the rupee’s appreciation following the decline in the import bill that fell by more than a third in July.   

Pakistan's imports have declined to $5 billion, down by 35 percent from June's record monthly high of $7.7 billion, Ismail said at a press conference in Islamabad on Sunday.  

Financial experts have stressed the need for serious efforts to contain inflation by setting up a special cell to ensure smooth management on the supply side.   

“Think about managing inflation beyond monetary tightening through setting up crisis cell for supply-side monitoring of key food items to manage food inflation and ensuring supply of cheaper fuels,” Dr Khaqan Najeeb, a former advisor to the finance ministry, told Arab News.   

Najeeb also suggested carving out a serious conservation strategy to ensure that “there is no undervaluation of the rupee” in the short run. 

Pakistan has also decided to impose additional taxes to generate Rs30 billion ($125.7 million) for the continuity of oil and gas supply to the nation and to save the Pakistan State Oil (PSO) from defaulting on international payments, according to the finance ministry. 

“The ECC (Economic Coordination Committee) decided to clear the outstanding payments accumulated during the period of pervious government and approved an amount of Rs30 billion as supplementary grant for PSO receivables,” the ministry said in a statement on Sunday. 

“The ECC also directed Finance Division and FBR (Federal Board of Revenue) to submit proposal for generation of Rs30 billion through taxes within a week.”  

Under the IMF program, financial experts say, the country needs to generate funds to keep the budget deficit at the agreed level.   

“Bailouts are never free, especially being in an IMF program requires that Pakistan generate the same amount of funds to keep the budget deficit at the agreed level with the fund,” Najeeb said.  

“This would require an additional taxation effort and of course it would come from the existing taxpayers most probably the corporate sector as that is the easiest source of collection or it could come from an increased duty structure on the imports. Any kind of new taxation at this stage is an extra burden on those already in the tax net.” 


Pakistan cricketers fined after failing to reach Twenty20 World Cup semifinals — report

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Pakistan cricketers fined after failing to reach Twenty20 World Cup semifinals — report

  • PCB links financial benefits to performance after fourth straight ICC semifinal exit
  • Fine reportedly imposed despite record-breaking tournament from Sahibzada Farhan

ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Cricket Board has reportedly fined players around $18,000 each after the team failed to qualify for Twenty20 World Cup semifinals.

PCB “officials have clearly told the players that enough pampering has been done — from now on, financial benefits will only come with performance,” the Express Tribune reported Tuesday.

According to the report, the PCB decided to fine the players after Pakistan lost a group-stage match to archrival India on Feb. 15. However, after the team qualified for the Super Eight stage the players were told the fine could be waived if Pakistan reached the semifinals.

Pakistan needed to beat co-host Sri Lanka by 65 runs in the last group match to qualify for final four ahead of New Zealand, but instead it narrowly scraped to a five-run win.

The report said PCB officials told the playing group that if they accepted rewards for good performances, “they must also pay penalties for poor ones.”

The fines reportedly included at least one outstanding performer — Sahibzada Farhan — who broke India great Virat Kohli’s record for most runs in a T20 World Cup and finished the tournament with 383 runs, featuring two centuries and two half centuries.

The sport’s national governing body did not respond to a request for comment.

It was the fourth successive major ICC tournament where Pakistan has missed the semifinals. Pakistan also hasn’t beaten India in a major event since 2022.

Soon after losing the last year’s Asia Cup final to India, the PCB briefly suspended permission for players participating in T20 leagues around the world but later allowed the players to compete in tournaments like Australia’s Big Bash.

Last year, the PCB abolished category A in its list of 30 centrally contracted players, and demoted both Mohammad Rizwan and Babar Azam in category B.