Economists warn against inflation as Pakistan presents ‘mini budget’ to meet IMF conditions

Pakistan's finance minister Shaukat Tarin, front right, is seen at the National Assembly in Islamabad to present the supplementary finance bill on December 30, 2021. (Photo courtesy: @NAofPakistan/Twitter)
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Updated 30 December 2021
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Economists warn against inflation as Pakistan presents ‘mini budget’ to meet IMF conditions

  • Bill ends tax exemptions on nearly 150 items as prior action for revival of $6 billion IMF loan program
  • Government also tables bill to grant autonomy to the central bank to meet another IMF condition

KARACHI: Pakistani finance minister Shaukat Tarin on Thursday presented a much-awaited supplementary finance bill, popularly known as the mini-budget, ending tax exemptions on nearly 150 items as a prior action for the revival of a $6 billion loan program from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The executive board of the Fund will meet on January 12, 2022, to decide if it will revive the stalled loan package, approved in 2019 to rein in mounting debts and stave off a looming balance of payments crisis, in exchange for tough austerity measures.

The new finance bill will empower the government to level a uniform 17 percent General Sales Tax (GST) on goods that were taxed at 5% or 12% rates. The amendment will also enable the government to generate over Rs343 billion in additional revenue.  

“IMF wants [Pakistan] to tax all the items which are exempted,” Tarin said at a press conference after the budget session in the national assembly, which was disputed by opposition chanting and sloganeering.

The measures Pakistan has agreed to meet for the IMF would have a monetary impact of around Rs600 billion, including around Rs350 billion through tax exemption withdrawals and new tax imposition, Rs200 billion through cuts in development funds, and Rs50 billion though other adjustments.

Apart from the tax exemption withdrawals, the supplementary bill also proposes the imposition of new taxes on sectors which were earlier zero-rated.

Tarin ruled out widespread inflationary pressures due to the new measures, saying: “Only Rs2 billion worth of new tax were being levied that would not cause inflation.”  

The finance bill proposes income tax rate to be enhanced on mobile phone calls from 10% to 15%, replacing zero-rating on supplies of raw materials for imported milk with a 17% tax, and a 17% tax on bread prepared in bakeries, restaurants, food chains and shops, apart from the other measures.

The bill also proposes to increase sales tax on cars with engine capacity of more than 1,000cc to 17%. The measures now propose to increase tax on imported electric vehicles from 5% to 17%.

The finance minister said a Rs70 tax exemption had been withdrawn, mainly on luxury items.

“The impression that the common man would be burdened with new measures is baseless,” Tarin said.

The other condition of the IMF was to grant complete autonomy to the central bank through amendments in the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Amendment Bill 2021. The government also tabled the revised bill approved by the federal cabinet on Wednesday.  

But Tarin warned: “If we see that the State Bank is slipping out of our hands [after the autonomy] we can end the autonomy with a simple majority.”  

Tarin’s comment came after opposition politician accused the government of “selling” the country to the IMF.

"You're giving the control of State Bank to the IMF,” opposition politician Khawaja Asif said. “Don’t surrender Pakistan’s financial sovereignty.”
 
Economists say the bill will bring inflationary pressure and impede economic growth.

“The impact of the Finance Supplementary Bill 2021 will be highly inflationary and anti-growth,” senior economist Dr Ikram ul Haq told Arab News. “The government, instead of withdrawing exemption given to the rich, has decided to withdraw exemption of billions of items of daily use, causing further hardships for the weaker sections of society, especially fixed income groups.”

He added: ”High tax rates are detrimental for businesses.” 


Pakistan PM calls for faster CPEC implementation, pledges security for Chinese workers

Updated 27 February 2026
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Pakistan PM calls for faster CPEC implementation, pledges security for Chinese workers

  • Shehbaz Sharif pushes expanded cooperation in agriculture, IT and mining under CPEC phase two
  • Chinese envoy reaffirms Beijing’s support for Pakistan’s sovereignty and economic development

ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Friday called for speeding up projects under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and pledged stronger security guarantees for Chinese workers and investments, during a meeting with China’s ambassador in Islamabad.

Sharif made the remarks as the two countries strive to launch the second phase of CPEC, a multibillion-dollar infrastructure and energy initiative launched in 2015 as part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

CPEC’s first phase focused largely on power generation and transport infrastructure aimed at easing Pakistan’s chronic energy shortages and improving connectivity. The second phase seeks to expand cooperation into industrial development, with an emphasis on special economic zones and export-oriented growth.

“While highlighting the importance of accelerating ongoing CPEC projects, the Prime Minister stressed on the need to enhance cooperation in agriculture and IT and mining & minerals,” said a statement circulated by the PM Office after the meeting.

“He also underscored Pakistan’s resolve to provide a secure and conducive environment for Chinese personnel, investments, and institutions in Pakistan,” it added.

Chinese nationals and projects in Pakistan have faced security threats in the past, including attacks by militant groups targeting infrastructure sites and convoys. Islamabad has repeatedly vowed to tighten security and has deployed special protection units for Chinese workers.

China is Pakistan’s closest ally in the region and a key economic partner, with CPEC widely regarded by Islamabad as central to long-term economic growth.

During the meeting, the prime minister conveyed greetings to Chinese President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang, particularly on the occasion of the Chinese New Year.

China’s Ambassador to Pakistan, Jiang Zaidong, reiterated Beijing’s support for Pakistan’s sovereignty and socioeconomic development, according to the statement. Both sides also exchanged views on regional and international issues and agreed to maintain close coordination.