Oil rises to near six-week high despite OPEC trimming its demand forecast: Market wrap

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Updated 13 September 2021
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Oil rises to near six-week high despite OPEC trimming its demand forecast: Market wrap

  • Oil demand is expected to average 99.70 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2021

RIYADH: Oil prices rose to near six-week highs on Monday as US output remains slow to return two weeks after Hurricane Ida slammed into the Gulf Coast and worries another storm could affect output in Texas this week.
Those gains came even though the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries trimmed its world oil demand forecast for the last quarter of 2021 due to the delta coronavirus variant.

Oil demand is expected to average 99.70 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2021, down 110,000 bpd from last month’s forecast, OPEC said in its monthly report.

OPEC said a further recovery would be delayed until next year when consumption will exceed pre-pandemic rates.
Brent futures rose 53 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $73.45 a barrel by 11:30 a.m. EDT (1530 GMT), while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 71 cents, or 1 percent, to $70.43.
That puts Brent on track for its highest close since Aug. 3 and WTI on track for its highest close since July 30.

In addition to the OPEC forecast, other bearish factors also held back oil price gains on Monday, including persistent worries about coronavirus on global crude demand, potential supply increases from planned releases of oil from strategic reserves in the US and China.
A city in China’s southeastern province of Fujian has closed cinemas and gyms, sealed off some entries and exits to highways and told residents not to leave town as it battles a local COVID-19 outbreak.
Traders noted China’s planned release of oil from strategic reserves could boost supplies available in the world’s the second biggest oil consumer.
The US government agreed to sell crude oil from the nation’s emergency reserve to eight companies including Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Valero, under a scheduled auction to raise money for the federal budget.

 

 


Oman trade surplus narrows 27% in 2025 as oil exports decline 

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Oman trade surplus narrows 27% in 2025 as oil exports decline 

JEDDAH: Oman’s trade surplus narrowed 27 percent to 6.09 billion Omani rials ($15.8 billion) by the end of 2025, as lower oil and gas export earnings offset gains in non-oil shipments and re-exports. 

Preliminary data from the National Centre for Statistics and Information showed the surplus fell from 8.34 billion rials a year earlier, with total merchandise exports declining 7.1 percent to 23.26 billion rials, the Oman News Agency reported. 

The weaker trade balance reflects softer hydrocarbon revenues in a year marked by lower global crude prices. Benchmark Brent Crude averaged about $69 a barrel in 2025, down from roughly $80 a barrel in 2024, as global supply outpaced demand and inventories increased. 

“Conversely, total registered merchandise imports into Oman rose 2.7 percent to 17.167 billion rials, compared with 16.713 billion rials during the same period in 2024,” the ONA report added. 

The agency added that the decline in Oman’s merchandise exports was mainly due to a fall in oil and gas exports, which totaled 14.51 billion rials by the end of 2025, down 15.2 percent from 17.11 billion rials a year earlier. 

Non-oil merchandise exports, however, increased 7.5 percent to 6.7 billion rials by the end of December, compared with 6.23 billion rials during the same period of 2024. 

Re-exports also rose to nearly 2.06 billion rials by the end of December, recording growth of 20.3 percent compared with around 1.71 billion rials in the same period a year earlier. 

The UAE topped non-oil export destinations by the end of December, with shipments valued at more than 1.31 billion rials, up 25.3 percent compared with the same period in 2024. It also led re-export trade from Oman, with re-exports valued at 724 million rials, and remained the leading source of imports into Oman at more than 4.15 billion rials. 

Saudi Arabia ranked second in non-oil exports at around 1.07 billion rials, followed by India at 699 million rials. 

In re-exports, Iran came second at 365 million rials, followed by the UK at 207 million rials. 

On the import side, China ranked second with nearly 1.94 billion rials, followed by India at 1.45 billion rials.