Afghans torn between hope and despair despite US-Taliban agreement

Afghan Taliban militants and villagers celebrate the peace deal. (AFP)
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Updated 11 March 2020
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Afghans torn between hope and despair despite US-Taliban agreement

  • Violence and political rivalry testing the viability of US-Taliban agreement signed on Feb. 29
  • Agreement was signed after 18 months of tortuous negotiations marked by several false starts

PESHAWAR: When the US-Taliban peace agreement was signed on Feb. 29 in Qatar, it was expected to face some hurdles. But not, as it turned out, within 72 hours.

A wave of Taliban attacks on March 3 resulted in the deaths of 20 Afghan soldiers and police officials along with several civilians, according to authorities in Kabul.
The US retaliated the next day by carrying out an airstrike against Taliban fighters preparing to attack Afghan government forces in Helmand province.
Since then, some steps have been taken to control the damage and clear the uncertainty about the agreement’s future.
President Donald Trump called the Qatar-based Taliban deputy leader Mullah Abdul Ghani Biradar to tell him that Mike Pompeo, the US Secretary of State, had been instructed to talk to Afghan President Ashraf Ghani in an attempt to resolve the issues hindering implementation of the Doha deal.
Meanwhile, Zalmay Khalilzad, the US Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, raced to Kabul to make clear Washington’s commitment to facilitating an exchange of prisoners and thrash out the differences that are holding up intra-Afghan talks.
However, in a development that makes the government look divided in the run-up to the intra-Afghan talks, two politicians declared themselves president at rival inauguration ceremonies in Kabul on Monday.
The electoral commission has said incumbent Ashraf Ghani won September’s shambolic poll, but Abdullah Abdullah, his long-time rival, has dismissed the result as fraudulent.




US representative Zalmay Khalilzad and Taliban co-founder Mullah Abdul Ghani Biradar after the agreement. (AFP)

All this comes against a backdrop of continuing violence, high unemployment and deep-seated distrust between the warring sides.
The conditions-based US- Taliban agreement was hammered out after about 18 months of tortuous negotiations marked by several false starts and little reduction in conflict.
In theory, the deal paves the way for the full withdrawal of American and allied security forces from Afghanistan in just over a year, starting with a drop in troop levels to 8,600 in the first 135 days.
The text of the agreement also says that up to 5,000 Taliban prisoners and up to 1,000 “prisoners of the other side will be released by March 10, 2020, the first day of intra-Afghan negotiations.”
There was understandable worry that turning the words into action would be challenging. The Taliban, after all, are no ordinary armed group.
The US attacked Afghanistan in October 2001 in a bid to oust the Taliban, who were harboring Osama bin Laden and other al-Qaeda figures linked to the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks.
The Taliban were toppled from power in Kabul and replaced by an internationally recognized government, but they quickly became an insurgent force.
By 2018, Taliban fighters were active in more than two-thirds of Afghanistan.
The Afghan government had been kept out of the protracted negotiations in Qatar because of Taliban objections. In the circumstances, it was a foregone conclusion that implementation of the agreement would be problematic.
President Ghani fired the first salvo when he said that his government had made no pledge to free 5,000 Taliban prisoners as part of the swap mentioned in the agreement.
He argued that such a concession could not be a prerequisite to intra-Afghan dialogue, but instead be part of the agenda of the talks.
Evidently, Ghani is hoping to use the prisoners’ release as a bargaining chip when the time comes to demand a permanent cease-fire before what is likely to be difficult negotiations with the Taliban regarding Afghanistan’s future.
For a few weeks in February, there was a palpable reduction in attacks claimed by the Taliban. However, Ghani’s tough stance on the issue of prisoners’ release triggered a chain of events that made Afghans feel they were back to square one.
The Taliban announced resumption of operations against the government. They argued that since they had reached the agreement with the US, the onus was on the former to get the 5,000 fighters released from Afghan prisons.
The Taliban had promised not to attack the US-led international force and honor its commitment to a “reduction in violence” for one week, which it had given in the lead-up to the signing of the peace agreement.
However, the US felt it could not stay aloof after the Taliban attacks against Afghan forces. The March 4 airstrike was meant to be reaffirmation of American support to the beleaguered Afghan government.
It also was a warning to the Taliban that they would pay a price if violence did not abate.
The fast-moving developments, coupled with the Ghani-Abdullah face-off, have predictably raised fresh questions about the viability of the US-Taliban agreement.
The deal with the Taliban has not been popular with US politicians as it is, with even some Republican leaders criticizing the sidelining of the Afghan government.
Trump pulled out all stops to ensure the negotiations’ success, mindful of a failed deal’s potential for hurting him politically in the run-up to the November elections.
There are plenty of reasons for US voters to be tired of the war. More than 3,500 American and NATO troops have been killed since the US military intervention in Afghanistan in October 2001, and tens of thousands have been wounded.
The financial cost for the US alone has been estimated at more than $2 trillion, excluding care for veterans with long-term medical needs or disabilities.
On the Afghan side, more than 100,000 people, including perhaps 32,000 civilians and 58,000 security personnel, have been killed, and millions more have been displaced.
There are considerations for the Taliban leaders, too. Getting the deal implemented would enable them to achieve their main goal of “ending” Afghanistan’s occupation by ensuring withdrawal of the US-led NATO forces; securing freedom for Taliban prisoners; and having a say in deciding Afghanistan’s future.
With all this in mind, Taliban negotiators for the first time agreed to meet an Afghan government delegation, which had been waiting in Qatar for more than a week to discuss the agenda of the intra-Afghan dialogue.
Though the militants said that the meeting would discuss only the issue of the prisoners’ swap, this was still a breakthrough. With luck, it could lead to a change in the Taliban’s approach of refusing to directly engage with the Afghan government on the pretext that it is a “puppet” of the US.
For their part, both the Taliban and the US made compromises to reach the Qatar agreement.
The fighters agreed to give the US 14 months to withdraw troops from Afghanistan (after having long insisted on a shorter period), promised to cut ties with al-Qaeda and other militant groups, offered guarantees disallowing the use of Afghan soil for attacks against the US and its allies, and vowed to dial down violence.
The group also declined to make the latest US airstrike against its fighters an issue.
The US, too, conceded the Taliban demand for holding direct talks without involving the Afghan government, gave up its insistence on a permanent cease-fire by opting for a “reduction in violence,” and offered support for the striking off of Taliban members’ names from the UN Security Council “black list.”  
Some of the deadlines, including the March 10 date for the release of prisoners and the start of intra-Afghan talks, may yet be missed. Even so, if the two sides, along with the Afghan government, agree to make further compromises, a lasting accommodation need not be viewed as totally out of reach.


Rubio defends US ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro to Caribbean leaders unsettled by Trump policies

Updated 26 February 2026
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Rubio defends US ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro to Caribbean leaders unsettled by Trump policies

BASSETERRE, St. Kitts and Nevis: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Wednesday defended the Trump administration’s military operation to capture Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, telling Caribbean leaders, many of whom objected to that move, that the country and the region were better off as a result.
Speaking to leaders from the 15-member Caribbean Community bloc at a summit in the country of St. Kitts and Nevis, Rubio brushed aside concerns about the legality of Maduro’s capture last month that have been raised among Venezuela’s island-state neighbors and others.
“Irrespective of how some of you may have individually felt about our operations and our policy toward Venezuela, I will tell you this, and I will tell you this without any apology or without any apprehension: Venezuela is better off today than it was eight weeks ago,” Rubio told the leaders in a closed-door meeting, according to a transcript of his remarks later distributed by the US State Department.
Rubio said that since Maduro’s ouster and the effective takeover of Venezuela’s oil sector by the United States, the interim authorities in the South American country have made “substantial” progress in improving conditions by doing “things that eight or nine weeks ago would have been unimaginable.”
The Caribbean leaders have gathered to debate pressing issues in a region that President Donald Trump has targeted for a 21st-century incarnation of the Monroe Doctrine meant to ensure Washington’s dominance in the Western Hemisphere. The Republican administration has declared a focus closer to home even as Washington increasingly has been preoccupied by the possibility of a US military attack on Iran.
Rubio downplays antagonism in US regional push
In his remarks to the group, America’s top diplomat tried to play down any antagonistic intent in what Trump has referred to as the “Donroe Doctrine.” Rubio said the administration wants to strengthen ties with the region in the wake of the Venezuela operation and ensure that issues such as crime and economic opportunities are jointly addressed.
“I am very happy to be in an administration that’s giving priority to the Western Hemisphere after largely being ignored for a very long time,” Rubio said. “We share common opportunities, and we share some common challenges. And that’s what we hope to confront.”
He said transnational criminal organizations pose the biggest threat to the Caribbean while recognizing that many are buying weapons from the United States, a problem he said authorities are tackling.
Rubio also said the US and the Caribbean can work together on economic advancement and energy issues, especially because many leaders at the four-day summit have energy resources they seek to explore. “We want to be your partner in that regard,” he said.
Rubio said the US recognizes the need for fair, democratic elections in Venezuela, which lies just miles away from Trinidad and Tobago at the closest point.
“We do believe that a prosperous, free Venezuela who’s governed by a legitimate government who has the interests of their people in mind could also be an extraordinary partner and asset to many of the countries represented here today in terms of energy needs and the like, and also one less source of instability in the region,” he said.
Rubio added: “We view our security, our prosperity, our stability to be intricately tied to yours.”
Trump plays up Maduro’s ouster
Trump, in his State of the Union address Tuesday night, called the operation that spirited Maduro out of Venezuela to face drug trafficking charges in New York “an absolutely colossal victory for the security of the United States.”
The US had built up the largest military presence in the Caribbean Sea in generations before the Jan. 3 raid. That has now been exceeded by the surge of American warships and aircraft to the Middle East as the administration pressures Iran to make a deal over its nuclear program.
In the Caribbean, Trump has stepped up aggressive tactics to combat alleged drug smuggling with a series of strikes on boats that have killed over 150 people and he has tightened pressure on Cuba. Regional leaders have complained about administration demands for nations to accept third-country deportees from the US and to chill relations with China.
One regional leader who has backed the US escalation is Trinidad and Tobago Prime Min­is­ter Kam­la Persad-Bisses­sar, whom Rubio thanked for her “public support for US military operations in the South Caribbean Sea,” the State Department said.
Persad-Bissessar told reporters that her conversation with Rubio focused on “Haiti; we talked about Cuba of course; we talked about engagements with Venezuela and the way forward.”
She was asked if she considered the latest US military strikes in Caribbean waters as extrajudicial killings: “I don’t think they are, and if they are, we will find out, but our legal advice is they are not.”
Rubio had other one-on-one meetings with heads of government, including from St. Kitts and Nevis, Haiti, Jamaica and Guyana.
Caribbean leaders point to shifting global order
Trump said during the State of the Union that his administration is “restoring American security and dominance in the Western Hemisphere, acting to secure our national interests and defend our country from violence, drugs, terrorism and foreign interference.”
Terrance Drew, prime minister of St. Kitts and Nevis and chair of the Caribbean Community bloc, said the region “stands at a decisive hour” and that “the global order is shifting.”
Drew and other leaders said Cuba’s humanitarian situation must be addressed.
“It must be clear that a prolonged crisis in Cuba will not remain confined to Cuba,” Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Holness warned. “It will affect migration, security and economic stability across the Caribbean basin.”
The US Treasury Department on Wednesday slightly eased restrictions on the sale of Venezuelan oil to Cuba, which instituted austere fuel-saving measures in the weeks after the US raid in Venezuela.
That move came hours before Cuba’s government announced that its soldiers killed four people aboard a speedboat registered in Florida that had opened fire on officers in Cuban waters.