Pakistan disaster authority urges caution as heat wave expected in May and June

Women shelter from the sun under umbrellas as they walk along a street during hot summer day in Islamabad on May 8, 2024. (AFP)
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Updated 16 May 2024
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Pakistan disaster authority urges caution as heat wave expected in May and June

  • NDMA says temperatures likely to go up to 45 degrees in Sindh and Punjab provinces in May and June
  • Alerts issued for Umerkot, Tharparkar, Tando Allayar, Matiari, Sanghar, Bahawalpur and Rahim Yar Khan 

KARACHI: A heatwave is expected to hit the Pakistani provinces of Sindh and Punjab in May and June, the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) said on Thursday, advising citizens in high-risk districts to take precautions. 

Increased exposure to heat, and more heatwaves, have been identified as one of the key impacts of climate change in Pakistan, with people experiencing extreme heat and seeing some of the highest temperatures in the world in recent years. The South Asian country of more than 241 million, one of the ten most vulnerable nations to climate change impacts, has also recently witnessed untimely downpours, flash floods and droughts.

In a statement released on Thursday, the NDMA listed Umerkot, Tharparkar, Tando Allayar, Matiari and Sanghar in Sindh and the Bahawalpur and Rahim Yar Khan districts in Punjab as at risk from heat waves. 

“Temperatures could surge to 40 degrees Celsius from May 15-30,” the statement said. “Similarly, temperatures could rise to 45 degrees Celsius in June.”




People swim in a canal to cool themselves during a hot summer day in Lahore on May 16, 2024. (AFP)

Climate change-induced extreme heat impacts human health in multiple ways. Direct effects of exposure to extreme heat and heatwaves can include heat-related illnesses such as heat cramps, heat exhaustion, heatstroke, and hyperthermia. It can make certain chronic conditions worse, including cardiovascular, respiratory, and cerebrovascular disease and diabetes-related conditions, and can also result in acute incidents, such as hospitalizations due to strokes or renal disease. 

According to the Global Climate Risk Index, nearly 10,000 Pakistanis have died while the country has suffered economic losses worth $3.8 billion due to climate change impacts between 1999 and 2018. A deadly heatwave that hit Pakistan’s largest city of Karachi, the capital of Sindh, claimed 120 lives in 2015.

In 2022, torrential monsoon rains triggered the most devastating floods in Pakistan’s history, killing around 1,700 people and affecting over 33 million, a staggering number close to the population of Canada. Millions of homes, tens of thousands of schools and thousands of kilometers of roads and railways are yet to be rebuilt.


Pakistan unlikely to buy spot LNG in summer despite simmering heat

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Pakistan unlikely to buy spot LNG in summer despite simmering heat

  • Pakistan unlikely to buy LNG cargoes until November due to oversupply, high prices
  • Countries seek more LNG cargoes due to extreme heat, driving spot prices to high levels

KARACHI: Pakistan is unlikely to buy liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes on the spot market until at least the beginning of winter in November due to oversupply and high prices, its petroleum minister told Reuters.

Extreme temperatures across Asia have pushed countries to seek more cargoes of LNG to address higher power demand, driving spot prices to their highest since mid-December. Asia spot LNG last traded at $12.00 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) on Friday.

However, LNG demand in the second largest South Asian LNG buyer was “subordinate to supplies,” the minister told Reuters, despite heatwaves baking the country of 300 million people with temperatures surging to a near-record.

“The question of getting more LNG when we can’t sell the amount of LNG that we already are obtaining from our long-term contracts, it does not apply,” Musadik Masood Malik, Pakistan’s petroleum minister, told Reuters in an interview.

Annual power use in Pakistan, which gets over a third of its electricity from natural gas, is expected to fall consecutively for the first time in 16 years, due to higher tariffs curbing household consumption.

Poor and middle-class households are still feeling the impact of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) bailout of Pakistan last year, which contributed to higher retail prices. A series of power tariff hikes over 12 months was a key part of the IMF program which ended in April.

Industrial demand has also remained tepid due to a cloudy economic outlook.

Pakistan, which last bought a spot LNG cargo in late 2023, canceled its spot LNG tender for delivery in January. Malik attributed the cancelation to oversupply, adding that there were “not a lot of customers” at current LNG spot prices.

Malik said Pakistan was keen to adopt more renewable energy to cut its import bill and exposure to geopolitical shocks. The country suffered widespread power outages due to its inability to buy expensive LNG after prices surged due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

“Any country that is importing $15-18 billion of fuel, how can it be sustainable when the total exports are south of $30 billion? So we have to move away from the imported elements such as LNG,” he said.

Pakistan was also trying to access less expensive natural gas by building a pipeline with Iran, but was wary of sanctions, he said.

“We basically are trying to work out the solution whereby we can have access to less expensive gas, but in a manner which does not invoke any sanctions on Pakistan. It all depends on legal interpretations,” he said.

“From our perspective, we don’t want to get into litigation and we don’t want to get sanctioned.” 


Pakistan, Muslim World League to host global conference on girls’ education in September

Updated 5 min 58 sec ago
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Pakistan, Muslim World League to host global conference on girls’ education in September

  • Eminent scholars, education ministers from Islamic countries to attend three-day event
  • Event to explore solutions to various barriers to education millions of girls face daily 

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s government will join hands with the Muslim World League to host a “landmark” global conference on girls’ education in September, state-run media reported on Wednesday, to ensure girls have better access to education and other facilities. 

According to the Malala Fund, 12 million girls are out of school in Pakistan and only 13 percent of girls advance to grade IX. The international non-governmental organization says social norms such as gender stereotypes and preference for educating boys continue to prevent girls from accessing education. 

State broadcaster Radio Pakistan said the primary objective of the three-day conference is to “explore and formulate” effective strategies to enable institutional responses and ensure better resource allocation for promoting girls’ education on a global scale.

“This event aims to bring together a diverse group of international and national dignitaries, including education ministers from numerous Islamic countries, to address and find solutions to different challenges faced by girls in the education sector,” Radio Pakistan said. 

It said eminent scholars, education experts, policymakers and various other stakeholders are expected to attend the conference. They will share their expertise, experiences, and best practices in the field of girls’ education. 

“The event will serve as a crucial platform for sharing experiences, discussing the multifaceted challenges faced by girls in accessing education, and exploring innovative solutions to overcome these barriers,” Radio Pakistan explained. 

It said PM Sharif has constituted a dedicated committee to organize the event in a “befitting and efficient manner.” 

The state-run media said the committee is headed by Secretary of Education Mohyuddin Wani and includes lawmaker Nausheen Iftikhar, representatives from the foreign office, the federal directorate of education and the Capital Development Authority (CDA). 

“This event marks a significant step toward the global promotion of girls’ education, demonstrating Pakistan’s commitment to being at the forefront of this vital initiative,” Radio Pakistan said. 

“By hosting such a crucial conference, Pakistan aims to contribute substantially to the global dialogue on education and help forge a path toward a more inclusive and equitable educational landscape for girls worldwide.”


Pakistani forces killed 181 militants in 7,000 operations in two months — state media 

Updated 17 min 59 sec ago
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Pakistani forces killed 181 militants in 7,000 operations in two months — state media 

  • Pakistan is grappling with a rise in militancy it blames on neighboring Afghanistan
  • Kabul rejects accusations, says rising violence in Pakistan is domestic issue for Islamabad

ISLAMABAD: At least 181 militants were killed by security forces in over 7,000 operations in Pakistan’s southern and northern provinces in the last two months, state media reported on Wednesday, as the South Asian state grapples with a rise in militancy. 

Islamabad blames the uptick in attacks on neighboring Afghanistan, saying Pakistani Taliban, or Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), leaders have taken refuge there and run camps to train militants to launch attacks inside Pakistan. Kabul has previously said rising violence in Pakistan is a domestic issue for Islamabad and it does not allow militants to operate on its territory.

The TTP has been waging a war against the state to try to overthrow the government for nearly two decades. It wants to run Pakistan as an Islamic state governed by its own harsh interpretation of Islam.

“Security forces have killed 181 terrorists in over 7,000 operations in different parts of Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan from April 1 till 10th of this month [June],” Radio Pakistan said on Wednesday. 

The “terrorists” were killed during cross-border infiltration from Afghanistan but “the timely response of security forces foiled the sordid designs of banned Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan,” the report added, saying infiltration attempts were made in KP’s Bajaur, Dir and Chitral.

“To conceal its failure, TTP forced the people of tribal areas for target killing and kidnapping for ransom,” Radio Pakistan added, referring to a way of killings of security and government officials in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. “The TTP network involved in targeting the Chinese nationals was also behind bars.”

Last week, a bomb blast targeting a military truck killed seven soldiers in northwestern Pakistan along the border with Afghanistan in one of the deadliest attacks on security forces in recent months. In March, a suicide bomber rammed an explosives-laden vehicle into a convoy of Chinese engineers that was on its way from Islamabad to a camp in Dasu, the site of a major dam project. Five Chinese nationals and their Pakistani driver were killed in the assault.


Climate change has unlikely victim in Pakistan: ancient Mohenjo Daro ruins

Updated 12 June 2024
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Climate change has unlikely victim in Pakistan: ancient Mohenjo Daro ruins

  • Archaeologists say heritage site under threat in Mohenjo Daro where temperatures rose as high as 52.2 C in May
  • The 2022 rains and floods also “severely damaged” the ruins, according to government and UNESCO officials 

LARKANA: As temperatures rose above 52 degrees Celsius (126 degrees Fahrenheit) in Pakistan’s southern province of Sindh amid a heat wave last month, a UNESCO world heritage site dating back to 2,500BC also felt the heat.

Archaeologists say ancient ruins are under threat in Mohenjo Daro, a town in Sindh that was once a major center of the Indus Valley Civilization, and where temperatures rose as high as 52.2 C (126 F) in May, the highest reading of the summer so far and approaching the town’s and country’s record highs of 53.5 C (128.3 F) and 54 C (129.2 F) respectively.

“Due to the prevailing heat wave, the ruins of Mohenjo Daro bricks are gradually melting,” Ali Hyder, an archaeological engineer with the Sindh Culture, Tourism & Antiquities Department who is posted in Mohenjo Daro, told Arab News.

“The temperature has been consistently rising to 50-51 degrees Celsius, which is unprecedented … This phenomenon is very dangerous for archaeological ruins in terms of salt crystallization and precipitation that may cause very severe damage to the archaeological ruins.”

Hyder said salt crystallization and precipitation resulting from unusually high temperatures were contracting the unbaked bricks used to build the ancient structures and could lead them to crumble. 

“You can see this wall is leaning and the main factor behind the leaning of the wall is extreme weather,” Hyder said as he pointed to a second century stupa built using sun-dried bricks and which had been propped up with metal rods. 

“It was also affected by extreme weather. We have provided it with a layer of sun-dried bricks to protect it from heat and rain … Due to rise in temperature, the evaporation and humidity available in the bricks, dehydration process starts, and the rate of deterioration rapidly increases. That is why we [have] provided support ensuring [protection] from further collapse … So that’s a very dangerous situation for Mohenjo Daro.”

Mohenjo Daro, the largest settlement of the Indus Valley civilization, is situated on the banks of the Indus River in Pakistan’s Larkana district, covering over 620 acres of land.

At its peak, the settlement rivaled contemporaneous cities in ancient Egypt and Mesopotamia, with a peak population of 40,000 before the site was abandoned in around 1,900 BCE. 

The city was designated a UNESCO world heritage site in 1980.

But human-driven climate change is now threatening its existence, Hyder said.

“In summer the salt available in the ruins contracts and in winter it expands in volume,” he said. “In the end come the [monsoon] rains that wash away different parts of the structural ruins.”

Pakistan ranks among the countries most vulnerable to climate change and has seen untimely downpours, deadly floods, heatwaves and droughts in recent years. A deadly heat wave that hit Pakistan’s largest city of Karachi, the capital of Sindh, claimed 120 lives in 2015.

In 2022, torrential monsoon rains triggered the most devastating floods in Pakistan’s history, killing around 1,700 people and affecting over 33 million. Millions of homes, tens of thousands of schools and thousands of kilometers of roads and railways are yet to be rebuilt.

“SEVERELY DAMAGED”

After the May heat wave, Pakistan witnessed another one in the first week of June and is expected to see a third in the last week of the month, according to Met officials. 

But heat is not the only threat to Mohenjo Daro, said Abdul Fatah Shaikh, the director general of the Archaeology and Antiquities Department in Sindh, explaining the damage to the ancient ruins from the 2022 rains and subsequent floods. 

“Mohenjo Daro is facing severe threats from extreme weather conditions, particularly rains and heat waves, which have impacted the upper artificial layer of mud slurry covering the original structure,” he told Arab News, saying the structures were so far “safe.”

“But it is still at risk, with a 10 percent impact already from extreme weather,” he added. “To provide extra protection, the upper artificial layer of mud slurry has been increased from 1 inch to 2.25 inches, in accordance with UNESCO guidelines.”

Given rising temperatures, an additional artificial layer of mud slurry was being considered for application from February next year, Shaikh explained. 

He said the damage from the 2022 rains and floods had been “conserved and preserved to 75 percent completion so far.”

“To combat these threats, the workforce has been increased from 30 laborers working before the 2022 rains arrived to 80 laborers in the post-2022 rains period to accelerate repairs and maintenance,” the official said. “The Mohenjo Daro site is vulnerable to brick decay, color change, and artificial layer decay due to the heat waves, making prompt action necessary to preserve this ancient archaeological site.”

Jawad Aziz, National Professional Officer (Culture) at UNESCO Islamabad, said Mohenjo Daro had been “severely damaged” during the 2022 monsoon season, including structural destruction like the collapse of walls and the development of cavities and holes in structures due to the loss of mud and bricks.

Heavy rainfall had also affected the drainage system, causing water to accumulate inside the ruins and leading to more damage to the structure.

In response to the emergency situation, Aziz said, UNESCO mobilized the Heritage Emergency Fund, a multi-donor fund for the protection of culture in emergencies that was established by UNESCO in 2015 to respond to crises resulting from armed conflicts and disasters.

“UNESCO also mobilized international experts, who worked with the local team of Directorate of Antiquities and Archaeology, Sindh, and undertook the impact assessment, trained the local staff in disaster risk reduction and conservation techniques and undertook the immediate remedial measures as well as restoration work,” the UNESCO officer said.

“The remedial work focused on improving the drainage system, repaired the flooring, improved wall capping and slopes, underpinning, repaired the visitors path, adding shallow drain, restoration of several structures and cleaning the circular drain which was blocked with silt and wild growth at many spots.”


Pakistan to unveil budget with eye to winning new IMF bailout

Updated 12 June 2024
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Pakistan to unveil budget with eye to winning new IMF bailout

  • Pakistan expected to stick to fiscal prudence under IMF deal, markets will watch for target for proceeds from privatization
  • Concerns remain about the government’s ability to pursue reform, since it is vulnerable to the quirks of coalition politics

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s coalition government will present on Wednesday its budget for the fiscal year to June 2025 that analysts expect to set ambitious fiscal targets as it looks to strengthen the case for a new bailout deal with the International Monetary Fund.
The budget comes a day after the government said economic growth of 2.4 percent expected in the current year would miss a target of 3.5 percent, although revenues were up 30 percent over last year, and the fiscal and current account deficits were under control.
While Pakistan is expected to stick to fiscal prudence under a new IMF program, growth is expected to stay constrained, said Abid Suleri of the Sustainable Development Policy Institute think tank.
“Many of the measures taken to achieve fiscal sustainability will impact growth negatively, at least in the near future,” he added.
Pakistan is in talks with the IMF for a loan estimated to range from $6 billion to $8 billion, as it seeks to avert a default for an economy growing at the slowest pace in the region.
But a recent economic uptick, following stabilization measures and falling inflation, as well as Monday’s interest rate cut by the central bank, has made the government optimistic about prospects for growth.
The key policy rate could fall further this year and economic growth would continue to rise, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, set to present his first budget, told reporters on Tuesday.
Markets will watch the budget for a target for proceeds from privatization, as Pakistan looks to make its first major sale in nearly two decades with the disposal of a stake in its national airline, kicking off a series of such moves.
But concerns remain about the government’s ability to pursue reform, since it is vulnerable to the quirks of coalition politics in the face of rising public pressure against inflationary reform measures.
Tapping under-taxed sectors such as agriculture and retail for additional revenues would prompt protests by farmers and small traders, while spending cuts in discretionary funds for MPs have already squeezed alliances and party loyalties.
The budget will be in line with IMF requirements, said economist Sakib Sherani, but cautioned: “However, the real problem will be adherence to fiscal austerity and prudence and containment of populism.”