Pakistan denies secret arms sale to US for Ukraine army helped bag IMF bailout

A Russian intercontinental ballistic missile launcher Yars is displayed at the exposition field in Kubinka Patriot Park outside Moscow on August 15, 2023 during the International Military Forum Army - 2023. (AFP/File)
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Updated 18 September 2023
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Pakistan denies secret arms sale to US for Ukraine army helped bag IMF bailout

  • The Intercept reports arms sales played key role in securing $3 billion financial package from IMF in June
  • Foreign Office Spokesperson Mumtaz Zahra Baloch rejects the report as "baseless and fabricated"

ISLAMABAD: Islamabad on Monday rejected a report in an international media outlet that a secret Pakistani arms sale, made for the purpose of supplying the Ukraine military, helped to facilitate a bailout from the International Monetary Fund earlier this year.

The Intercept, an online American nonprofit news organization, on Sunday published a report saying “economic capital and political goodwill” from an arms sales to the US played a key role in helping secure a badly-needed $3 billion short-term financial package from the IMF in June. The report cited two unnamed sources with knowledge of the arrangement, with confirmation from internal Pakistani and American government documents.

Foreign Office Spokesperson Mumtaz Zahra Baloch rejected the report as “baseless and fabricated.”

“The IMF Standby Arrangement for Pakistan was successfully negotiated between Pakistan and the IMF to implement difficult but essential economic reforms. Giving any other color to these negotiations is disingenuous,” she said.

“Pakistan maintains a policy of strict neutrality in the dispute between Ukraine and Russia and in that context, does not provide any arms and ammunition to them. Pakistan’s defense exports are always accompanied with strict end user requirements.”

On February 23, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The move drew widespread condemnation from countries around the world and triggered sanctions by Western powers on Russia and Putin’s allies in the country. Pakistan remains one of the few countries in the world that have refrained from condemning Russia directly, though it has called for the use of diplomacy to resolve the crisis. 

Islamabad has also stated categorically that it does not want to be part of any bloc and repeatedly called for de-escalation.

“Pakistan is known as a production hub for the types of basic munitions needed for grinding warfare,” The Intercept report said.

“As Ukraine grappled with chronic shortages of munitions and hardware, the presence of Pakistani-produced shells and other ordinances by the Ukrainian military has surfaced in open-source news reports about the conflict, though neither the US nor the Pakistanis have acknowledged the arrangement.”

Records detailing the arms transactions were leaked to The Intercept earlier this year by a source within the Pakistani military, the outlet said, adding that the documents described munitions sales agreed to between the US and Pakistan from the summer of 2022 to the spring of 2023.

“Some of the documents were authenticated by matching the signature of an American brigadier general with his signature on publicly available mortgage records in the United States; by matching the Pakistani documents with corresponding American documents; and by reviewing publicly available but previously unreported Pakistani disclosures of arms sales to the US posted by the State Bank of Pakistan.”

The weapons deals were brokered, according to the documents, by Global Military Products, a subsidiary of Global Ordnance, a controversial arms dealer whose entanglements with less-than-reputable figures in Ukraine were the subject of a recent New York Times article.

Documents outlining the money trail and talks with US officials include American and Pakistani contracts, licensing, and requisition documents related to US-brokered deals to buy Pakistani military weapons for Ukraine, The Intercept said. 


Pakistan PM to soon visit Azad Kashmir to review situation after violent protests

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Pakistan PM to soon visit Azad Kashmir to review situation after violent protests

  • At least four people were killed in protests over subsidized wheat flour and electricity that began on May 11
  • The protests were called off on Tuesday after Pakistan approved $83 million subsidies for the disputed region

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has announced visiting Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) in a few days to personally review the situation after days-long violent protests over subsidies, Pakistani state media reported on Tuesday.

At least three protesters and a police officer were killed and several others wounded in days of clashes between demonstrators demanding subsidies on wheat flour and electricity and law enforcement.

The protests were called off on Tuesday, a day after Pakistan announced $83 million subsidies and prompted the regional government to notify a reduction in prices of wheat flour and electricity.

On Tuesday, Sharif presided over a meeting of his cabinet to discuss the situation in Azad Kashmir, the state-run Radio Pakistan broadcaster reported.

“Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has announced to visit Azad Jammu and Kashmir in a few days to personally review the ground situation and promote the tendency of resolving issues at the dialogue table,” the report read.

“He said Kashmir is the jugular vein of Pakistan as declared by the founder of Pakistan, and maintaining law and order there is the top priority.”

The Himalayan territory of Kashmir has been divided between India and Pakistan since their independence from Britain in 1947, with both countries ruling part of the territory but claiming it in full.

The western portion of the larger Kashmir region is administered by Pakistan as a nominally self-governing entity, while India rules the southern portion as a union territory.

While the Indian portion has faced an ongoing insurgency for decades and multiple armed attempts by the state to quell it, the Pakistani side has remained relatively calm over the decades, though it is also highly militarized.

The Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action Committee (JAAC) had organized the protests that began on May 11. “On the appeal of the Awami Action Committee, it has been decided to end the ongoing lockdown and wheel-jam strike across Azad Kashmir,” Amjad Ali Khan, a member of the JAAC core committee, told Arab News on Tuesday.

Presiding over the cabinet meeting, Sharif commended the AJK government for demonstrating restraint to foil “nefarious designs of the elements, who intend to sabotage the situation under the pretext of protests,” according to the Radio Pakistan report.

He thanked Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari and AJK PM Anwar-ul-Haq for their cooperation in resolving the issue “amicably.”


PM forms committee of allies to deliberate amendments to Pakistan’s social media law 

Updated 14 May 2024
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PM forms committee of allies to deliberate amendments to Pakistan’s social media law 

  • Law minister says federal cabinet will take final decision after coalition partners give feedback on draft law
  • Critics say the amendments could be used to stifle dissent and free speech instead of protecting digital rights 

ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has formed a committee comprising representatives of allied parties to review amendments to Pakistan’s electronic crimes law, Law Minister Azam Nazeer Tarar said on Tuesday, highlighting that the federal government wanted to form political consensus before making changes to the law. 

The government says amendments to the Prevention of Electronic Crimes Act (PECA) 2016 are aimed at protecting the digital rights of millions of Pakistani users, encouraging responsible Internet use and regulating online content to prevent hate speech and disinformation. Critics say the amendments, like PECA itself, could be used to stifle dissent and free speech. In the past, PECA has been used against critics of Pakistan’s all powerful army as well as governments and cases under the blasphemy law among others have also been filed using the legislation.

Earlier this month, the government notified a new National Cybercrimes Investigation Agency (NCCIA) to probe electronic crimes, which digital rights activists described as yet another attempt to stifle online criticism of the state. The NCCIA was approved by the caretaker government-led federal cabinet last year to take over cybercrime investigations from the Federal Investigation Agency (FIA).

Addressing the media on Tuesday, the law minister said the draft legislation has been sent to the federal cabinet for approval after being drafted by the IT ministry according to Article 19, which deals mainly with freedom of speech.

“Despite this, the PM was of the view that a political consensus was necessary for legislation, the cabinet also agreed to the premier’s view,” Tarar said. 

“Now he has formed a committee in this regard which will include allied parties including the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), Muttahida Qaumi Movement-Pakistan (MQM-P), Pakistan Muslim League Quaid (PML-Q), Istehham-i-Pakistan Party (IPP).”

The law minister said allied party representatives would examine the draft legislation and report feedback to the federal cabinet which would then take a final decision.

PECA

PECA was passed in 2016 during the government of Sharif’s Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz (PML-N) party, which is once more in power and leading a fragile coalition at the center. 

The law was originally enacted to combat various forms of cybercrime, including cyber terrorism, unauthorized access, electronic fraud and online harassment.

But the law has variously been used to crackdown on journalists, bloggers and other critics of the state. 

The popular social media platform X has been blocked in the country since February when Pakistan held general elections marred by widespread allegations of manipulation and rigging. 


New coach Gary Kirsten to join Pakistan cricket team in England

Updated 14 May 2024
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New coach Gary Kirsten to join Pakistan cricket team in England

  • The 56-year-old South African has served as the batting coach of Gujarat Titans in the Indian Premier League
  • The PCB has also appointed Simon Helmot as the fielding coach and David Reid as mental performance coach

ISLAMABAD: Gary Kirsten will start his two-year assignment as the coach of Pakistan’s white-ball cricket team when he joins the squad in England on Sunday.
Pakistan will play four Twenty20s against England to prepare for the T20 World Cup next month in the Caribbean and the United States.
Pakistan has delayed naming its final 15-man squad for the T20 World Cup until the first T20 against England next Tuesday at Leeds.
Kirsten served as the mentor and batting coach of Gujarat Titans in the Indian Premier League. They were knocked out of playoff contention on Monday.
“I’ve missed the experience of coaching at the international level and nurturing talented players to reach their full potential,” Kirsten said in a statement issued by the Pakistan Cricket Board on Tuesday. “I’m committed to working closely with the (Pakistan) team to elevate their game and bring joy to fans around the world.”
Kirsten has coached India and South Africa.
Last month, the 56-year-old South African was confirmed as the white-ball coach along with Jason Gillespie as the red-ball coach.
Pakistan has done well in the last two T20 World Cups. It made the semifinals in 2021 and the final against England in 2022.
The PCB has also appointed Simon Helmot as the fielding coach and David Reid as mental performance coach of the national team for the T20 World Cup. Reid will join the team next Monday while Helmot will team up with the Pakistan side on May 31 after the T20 series against England.


Missile fired by drone kills four of a family in Pakistan near Afghan border, police say

Updated 14 May 2024
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Missile fired by drone kills four of a family in Pakistan near Afghan border, police say

  • Local police chief said strike occurred in South Waziristan district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province 
  • It was not immediately clear who fired the missile and officers were investigating, the official added

DERA ISMAIL KHAN: A missile fired by a drone struck a house in a former stronghold of the Pakistani Taliban in northwestern Pakistan along the Afghan border before dawn Tuesday, killing at least four villagers, including children, police said.

The strike happened in South Waziristan in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, local police chief Hidayat Ullah said. He said it was not immediately clear who fired the missile and officers were investigating. The Pakistan army evicted Pakistani Taliban insurgents from the region years ago, but they have been regrouping there.

Those killed in the missile strike were civilians with no known links to the insurgents. Villagers put their bodies on a road near a military camp and protested the killings and demanded information about who was responsible.

Most of the previous drone strikes in the area were carried out by the United States or the Pakistan army.

There was no immediate comment from the government or the military about the strike. The Pakistani Taliban, officially known as Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, is separate from but a close ally of the Afghan Taliban. It has been emboldened by the Afghan Taliban’s takeover of Afghanistan in August 2021.


Any significant rise in energy prices may impact improved inflation outlook — Pakistan central bank

Updated 14 May 2024
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Any significant rise in energy prices may impact improved inflation outlook — Pakistan central bank

  • The bank says it is important for the government to set inflation target range in consultation with it
  • However, its latest report finds gaps in collective and up-to-date understanding of inflation dynamics

KARACHI: Pakistan’s central bank has warned that any significant increase in energy prices may offset the impact of recent positive developments on the inflation outlook, urging the government to set an inflation target range in consultation with it.

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said it had revised its inflation projection range to 23–25 percent for the current fiscal year against the target of 21 percent after the inflation hit all-time high of 38 percent in May last year, and had taken measures during the ongoing high inflationary episode to contain demand pressures and prevent de-anchoring of inflation expectations. 

The central bank cumulatively raised the policy rate by 1,500 basis points during FY22 and FY23 and maintained it at 22 percent as adjustments in energy prices, in the backdrop of longstanding structural issues, continued to impact inflation outturns. As a result of monetary tightening, supported by some fiscal consolidation, lower global commodity prices, and improved domestic crop output, the inflation came down from its peak of 38 percent to 29.7 percent in December 2023, whereas core inflation has also gradually started to decelerate. 

“Any significant increase in administered energy prices may offset the impact of positive developments on inflation outlook,” the central bank warned in its half-yearly report issued on Tuesday.

Higher input costs, increase in indirect taxes, and implementation of upward revision in minimum wage announced in the FY24 budget, alongside the second-round effects of administered prices of food and energy items, were responsible for the persistence in the core inflation during the first half of fiscal year 2023-24 (H1-FY24), according to the report.

“Despite subdued domestic demand and decline in global commodity prices, a combination of lingering structural issues, PKR (Pak Rupee) depreciation compared to H1-FY23, increase in government spending, and supply shocks kept the National CPI inflation at elevated levels,” it read.

The central bank also warned that its 23-25 percent inflation outlook may also be at risk due escalating geopolitical tensions, unfavorable weather conditions, adverse movements in global oil prices, and subsequent external account pressures, saying that it expected inflation to come down to 5–7 percent by September 2025.

To effectively anchor inflationary expectations, the central bank said: “It is important that the government sets the inflation target range in consultation with the SBP — ala the practice of joint agreements between the government and central bank in other countries, such as Canada, India and England.” 

It also necessitates that deviations from planned fiscal policies, including the setting of administrative prices, are neither significant in magnitude nor in timing to avoid affecting monetary policy credibility and stoking long term inflationary expectations, according to the report. 

It is imperative to relax the policy of price administration and to de-cap prices to help increase competition in the medium to long term and thereby lower inflationary pressure. While productivity growth is needed to improve supplies and lower per unit costs, there is also a need to significantly lower the pace of population growth to ease underlying demand pressures in the long term.

“There are gaps in collective and up to date understanding of inflation dynamics in the country,” the bank stated. “Plugging these gaps in understanding requires concerted efforts by academia, government institutions, and policy research institutes alike.”

Pakistan’s macroeconomic conditions somewhat improved during H1-FY24 and real economic activities moderately recovered against the contraction last year, while a $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) helped reduce stress on external account, according to the central bank. Continued tight monetary policy stance and fiscal consolidation are expected to keep domestic demand in check, with modest economic recovery expected in the second half of FY24.

In the backdrop of improvements in business confidence, high frequency demand indicators since November 2023 and prospects for a good wheat production during FY24, the SBP projected real GDP growth in the range of 2-3 percent for the current fiscal year.