Saudi Arabia’s $100bn plan to become largest shale gas producer outside of the US

The Kingdom is estimated to be sitting on the fifth largest shale gas reserves in the world. (Shutterstock)
Short Url
Updated 01 December 2021
Follow

Saudi Arabia’s $100bn plan to become largest shale gas producer outside of the US

  • Saudi Arabia’s $100bn plan to become largest shale gas producer outside of the US

LONDON: Saudi Aramco’s award of $10 billion worth of contracts on its giant Jafurah project has finally fired the starting gun to develop what is thought to be the world’s biggest shale gas field outside of the US.
Having battled with America’s shale oil producers for market share over the last decade, the Kingdom is now adopting the advanced low-cost techniques of its fracking rivals and is set to spend up to $100 billion on Jafurah to rapidly increase its domestic gas production.
The Kingdom is estimated to be sitting on the fifth largest shale gas reserves in the world.
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman earlier said the Jafurah gas field will place the Kingdom third in the world in natural gas production by 2030.
But does Saudi Arabia really have the potential to replicate the soaring success of US shale gas development?


Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Amin Nasser certainly thinks so. Announcing the contracts this week, he said: “It is a breakthrough that few outside the Kingdom thought was possible and which has positive implications for energy security, economic development and climate protection.”
Production is scheduled to begin within the next three years. The field will supply cleaner natural gas for domestic use in the Kingdom, along with feedstock for both petrochemical production, and crucially, low carbon hydrogen power.
Jafurah is expected to contribute to Saudi Arabia’s goal of producing half of its electricity from gas and half from renewables as it pursues its 2060 net-zero target. Indeed, Jafurah alone is forecast to replace up to 500,000 barrels of oil a day that would otherwise be used for domestic consumption.
All this serves the goals of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 program to diversify the economy from crude oil and sharply reduce its carbon footprint, even if the scheme will enable the Kingdom to increase its crude exports.

The Kingdom, however, has no plans to export the gas from Jafurah as Prince Abdulaziz told reporter on Nov. 29 in Dhahran following the announcement of the new contracts to develop the basin.

We will keep our gas to ourselves

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman


But it was thought that fracking in Saudi Arabia will be more expensive than it is in the US, not least because the Kingdom is not renowned with an abundance of natural water, a critical component in the fracking process.
The fracking process requires pumping water, sand and chemicals into the fields at high pressure which fractures the shale rock and allows the hydrocarbons to escape.
“We managed to reduce drilling cost by 70 percent and stimulation cost by 90 percent since the 2014 cost benchmark, while increasing well productivity six-fold compared with the start of the program,” Nasser said on Monday.
Aramco plans to use seawater for fracking at Jafurah. Earlier this year, the company also invited bids for a water desalination plant at the field. Desalinated water is used in gas processing plants. An earlier bidding process was abruptly canceled last year and the current tender process has reduced the capacity of the desalination plant by around 20 percent.




Sadad Al Husseini, former EVP of Aramco


However, former Aramco Executive VP Sadad Husseini insists the “water issue” is a red herring.
He told Arab News: “The water issue was resolved years ago. We have aquifers that hold saline water and the Saudi oil industry has a long history of using this water for drilling.”
Husseini also dismissed cost comparisons with the US shale industry.
He said: “The cost of fracking depends on the depth of the reservoir. In the US, they work with shallower reservoirs, around 3,000 to 4,000 feet deep, which makes fracking less costly. In Saudi Arabia, the reservoirs will be 9,000 to 10,000 feet deep. It’s technically more challenging, but unlike the US, those deep wells are not just producing gas, they’re also producing a lot of condensates, most notably ethane, along with gas, and that is profitable and makes the economics of this field work. Ethane feeds the petrochemical industry.”
He added: “It’s a challenging development but it wouldn’t have advanced if the issues hadn’t been resolved.
Developing shale gas reserves outside the US has not been particularly successful, partly due to environmental concerns - particularly in large population centers in Europe, a lack of infrastructure, and difficulties accessing and disposing of water used in the process.
However, Jafurah is close to the Gulf coast with relatively easy access to seawater, and is also adjacent to the world’s largest oilfield, Ghawar, and its substantial energy infrastructure.
Production at Jafurah is expected to commence in 2024 and is forecast to reach up to 2 billion cubic feet per day of sales gas, 418 million cubic feet per day of ethane and about 630,000 barrels per day of gas liquids and condensates by 2030. Investment over that period will amount to $68 billion, but is expected to total more than $100 billion overall.
Domestic employment, another key plank of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030, is also central to the scheme. It is understood that along with fields under development in North Arabia and South Ghawar, the Jufarah project will create more than 200,000 direct and indirect jobs in the Kingdom.
The scheme will also incorporate new technology, most notably using industrial internet of things and video analytics.
The Jafurah project will not only aid the Kingdom’s environmental ambitions but will also support its petrochemicals industry. “Its ethane and liquified natural gas are highly valuable feedstocks for the Kingdom’s petrochemical’s industry,” the Aramco chief said.

 


NEOM, Saudi Red Sea Authority sign MoU to develop marine tourism regulations

Updated 03 May 2024
Follow

NEOM, Saudi Red Sea Authority sign MoU to develop marine tourism regulations

  • The MoU’s goal is to enhance research, deliver innovation, and improve the visitor experience for tourists
  • The agreement reflects SRSA’s commitment to attracting investment in coastal tourism activities

NEOM: The Saudi Red Sea Authority and NEOM signed a memorandum of understanding on Friday to cooperate on developing legislation, regulations, and technology in marine tourism, reported the Saudi Press Agency.
The MoU’s goal is to enhance research, deliver innovation, and improve the visitor experience for tourists in Saudi Arabia’s existing, emerging, and future Red Sea coastal destinations.
SRSA Acting CEO Mohammed Al-Nasser and NEOM’s CEO Nadhmi Al-Nasr signed the partnership, which they hope will promote an exchange of expertise and enable the implementation of joint initiatives.
The agreement also reflects SRSA’s commitment to attracting investment in coastal tourism activities.
The partnership will further assist small and medium enterprises in the sector through administrative, technical, and advisory support.
Via this agreement, SRSA aims to integrate with relevant public, private, and third-sector entities to achieve one of the goals of Saudi Vision 2030, which is to develop coastal tourism as a valuable sector of the Kingdom’s economy.


World food prices up in April for second month: UN agency

Updated 03 May 2024
Follow

World food prices up in April for second month: UN agency

PARIS: The UN food agency’s world price index rose for a second consecutive month in April as higher meat prices and small increases in vegetable oils and cereals outweighed declines in sugar and dairy products.

The Food and Agriculture Organization’s price index, which tracks the most globally traded food commodities, averaged 119.1 points in April, up from a revised 118.8 points for March, the agency said on Friday.

The FAO’s April reading was nonetheless 7.4 percent below the level a year earlier.

The indicator hit a three-year low in February as food prices continued to move back from a record peak in March 2022 at the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

In April, meat showed the strongest gain in prices, rising 1.6 percent from the prior month.

The FAO’s cereal index inched up to end a three-month decline, supported by stronger export prices for maize. Vegetable oil prices also ticked higher, extending previous gains to reach a 13-month high due to strength in sunflower and rapeseed oil.

The sugar index dropped sharply, shedding 4.4 percent from March to stand 14.7 percent below its year-earlier level amid improving global supply prospects.

Dairy prices edged down, ending a run of six consecutive monthly gains.

In separate cereal supply and demand data, the FAO nudged up its estimate of world cereal production in 2023/24 to 2.846 billion metric tonnes from 2.841 billion projected last month, up 1.2 percent from the previous year, notably due to updated figures for Myanmar and Pakistan.

For upcoming crops, the agency lowered its forecast for 2024 global wheat output to 791 million tonnes from 796 million last month, reflecting a larger drop in wheat planting in the EU than previously expected.

The revised 2024 wheat output outlook was nonetheless about 0.5 percent above the previous year’s level.


Material sector dominates TASI trading in first quarter of 2024

Updated 03 May 2024
Follow

Material sector dominates TASI trading in first quarter of 2024

RIYADH: The materials sector led trading on Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index, accounting for approximately SR87 billion ($23.2 billion) or 15.11 percent of the market, according to TASI’s 2024 first-quarter report.

SABIC, the largest component of this sector, boasted a market capitalization of SR234.9 billion, with trading value reaching nearly SR7 billion.

The banking sector trailed with transactions valued at SR71.22 billion, comprising 12.37 percent of the market. Al-Rajhi Bank took the lead in market capitalization within the sector and secured the second spot in trade value totaling SR23.62 billion.

In a February report by Bloomberg, Al-Rajhi Bank, seen as an indicator of Saudi Arabia’s growth strategies, exceeded the performance of JPMorgan Chase & Co., exhibiting nearly a 270 percent surge in shares since the initiation of Vision 2030. It has outpaced both local and global competitors, including state-supported banks, emerging as the largest bank in the Middle East and Africa, boasting a market cap of around $95 billion.

According to Morgan Stanley analysts led by Nida Iqbal, as reported by Bloomberg, “We see it as a long-term winner in the Saudi bank sector… While Al-Rajhi is best placed for a rate-cutting cycle, we believe current valuation levels reflect this.” 

Gulf central banks, including Saudi Arabia’s, frequently align their policies with those of the Federal Reserve to maintain their currency pegs to the dollar. According to Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst Edmond Christou, a reduction in Fed rates could potentially bolster Al-Rajhi Bank’s profitability and expansion, as it will encourage gathering cheap deposits while enabling it to issue debt at more attractive levels.

In this period, the energy sector secured the third position in terms of value traded, reaching SR55.4 billion. Saudi Aramco topped the list with a market capitalization of SR7.47 trillion and registered the highest value among companies traded on the index, totaling SR28.82 billion.

In March of this year, Aramco announced a net income of $121.3 billion for its full-year 2023 financial results, marking the second-highest in its history. Aramco credited these results to its operational flexibility, reliability, and cost-effective production base, underscoring its dedication to delivering value to shareholders.

Tadawul’s quarterly report also indicated that the transportation sector recorded the fourth-highest value traded at SR39.25 billion, equivalent to 6.82 percent of the market. Among the top performers in this sector was cargo firm SAL Saudi Logistics Services, ranking third in value traded on the TASI during this period, following Aramco and Al-Rajhi Bank, with a total value of SR22.74 billion.

SAL debuted on the main market of the Saudi Exchange in November last year. With aspirations to manage 4.5 million tonnes of air cargo by 2030, Saudi Arabia is empowering its logistics sector from a supportive role to a pivotal driver of economic growth.

SAL, in which the Saudi government holds a 49 percent stake through the Saudi Arabian Airlines Corp., experienced a 30 percent surge in its share price during its initial public offering, raising $678 million and becoming Saudi Arabia’s second-largest IPO of the year.

In a January report by Forbes, SAL’s CEO and Managing Director Faisal Al-Beddah emphasized the company’s potential to shape the future of logistics in Saudi Arabia and beyond. He stated: “Logistics is the backbone of any economy. Now we are ready. We have the rotation, we have the infrastructure, we have the regulations, and most importantly, we have the mindset and the technology for Saudi Arabia to be the leading connecting logistics hub in the region.”

The top gainer during this period in terms of price appreciation was MBC Group, with a quarter-to-date percentage change of 127.6 percent, according to Tadawul.

Saudi Arabia’s MBC Group, a media conglomerate, debuted as the first new listing on TASI in 2024. Its trading began on Jan. 8. The company raised SR831 million through its initial public offering.

Saudi Steel Pipes Co. in the materials sector was the second highest gainer, with price appreciating by 88.15 percent.

Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co. had a QTD price percentage change of 81.91 percent making it the third-highest gainer on the exchange during this period.

TASI concluded the first quarter of 2024 with a 3.6 percent increase, climbing by 435 points to reach 12,402 points.


Saudi startups raised $3.3bn in last 10 years, says report

Updated 03 May 2024
Follow

Saudi startups raised $3.3bn in last 10 years, says report

  • MAGNiTT report shows fintech emerged as the most funded sector in Kingdom

RIYADH: Startups in Saudi Arabia saw massive growth during the last decade raking in $3.3 billion in venture capital funding, according to a report issued by MAGNiTT.

The data platform, in its “10 Years Saudi Arabia Founders Report” sponsored by Saudi Venture Capital Co., provides an in-depth analysis of the backgrounds, experiences, and expertise of founders. 

“MAGNiTT initially published a report on founders in the MENA VC ecosystem in 2018, focusing on uncovering the DNA of successful entrepreneurs in the region. Today, in partnership with the Saudi Venture Capital Co., we present a comprehensive report on the founders of the top 200 funded startups in the Kingdom over the last ten years,” said Philip Bahoshy, CEO and founder of the platform. 

“By shedding light on founders’ experiences in the Saudi ecosystem, we aim to dispel myths around founders, empower aspiring entrepreneurs looking to establish their ventures in the Kingdom, guide government decision-makers in shaping policies conducive to innovation, and provide invaluable intelligence to investors seeking opportunities in the region,” he added. 

SVC CEO Nabeel Koshak emphasized the remarkable growth and dynamism in the Saudi startup landscape. 

FASTFACTS

Forty-four percent of these startups were launched by teams with two founding members, who together secured 53 percent of the total funds. 

Startups founded by a single individual accounted for 30 percent of the funded startups but only captured 15 percent of the funding in the last decade. 

Thirty-six percent of the 400 founders analyzed had at least 10 years of work experience before launching their respective startups.  

Fifty-nine percent of founders had technical education backgrounds, highlighting science, technology, engineering, and mathematics. 

Thirty-nine percent of founders held degrees in business, contrasting with the global average of 19 percent, according to an Endeavor Insight study. 

“The Kingdom’s strategic initiatives, driven by the Saudi Vision 2030, have laid a solid foundation for innovation, entrepreneurship, and investment. As a result, we have seen a surge in startup activity, with a growing number of ambitious founders seizing opportunities and driving innovation across various sectors,” he said. 

“The goal of the report is to provide policymakers, government officials, and investors with insights and data to inform strategic decisions and policies to further nurture the startup ecosystem for the next 10 years,” Koshak added. 

A decade of funding 

Compiling data from the 200 Saudi-based startups, which collectively raised a total of $3.3 billion from 2014 to 2023, the report highlighted that 44 percent of these startups were launched by teams with two founding members, who together secured 53 percent of the total funds. 

He further stated that with the significant support for innovation, the Kingdom is set to witness the emergence of more unicorns. 

In contrast, startups founded by a single individual accounted for 30 percent of the funded startups but only captured 15 percent of the funding in the last decade. 

Notably, 36 percent of the 400 founders analyzed had at least 10 years of work experience before launching their respective startups.  

The report also indicated a trend toward entrepreneurship among less experienced founders, with 66 percent being first-time startup founders and only 30 percent with previous regional startup experience. 

It revealed a significant gender disparity in the VC landscape within Saudi Arabia, with male founders comprising 94 percent of the total 400 individuals, while female founders accounted for only 6 percent.  

This gender gap is considerably wider than the global norms, where, according to research by Startup Genome conducted between 2016 and 2022, the average proportion of female founders in an ecosystem was 15 percent. 

Additionally, only 7 percent of solo founders were female, and there were no recorded startups with two or more female founders only.  

However, as the number of founders per startup increased, so did gender diversity, albeit slightly. In startups with three founders, 18 percent were of mixed gender, while in startups with four or more founders, the figure was 12 percent. 

Furthermore, 91 percent of male-only founded startups claimed 98 percent of total funding. Conversely, 3 percent of female-only founded startups accounted for 0.4 percent of the total funding. 

Founders' education 

The report further delved into the education qualification of founders revealing that 55 percent in the Kingdom had attained at least a bachelor’s degree.  

In terms of technical development, 59 percent of founders had technical education backgrounds, highlighting science, technology, engineering, and mathematics. 

Thirty-nine percent of founders held degrees in business, contrasting with the global average of 19 percent, according to an Endeavor Insight study. 

Over half of the 400 founders obtained their degrees internationally, while 22 percent held both international and local degrees. 

King Saud University, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, and King AbdulAziz University were among the most common institutions for startup founders. 

Seven of the top 10 universities of Saudi founders that raised funding were public institutions.

The top international schools of Saudi founders had Stanford and Harvard among the top choices, mirroring global trends. 

Professional experience 

Despite fintech being the most funded sector, only 7 percent of founders had experience in finance, and 18 percent in banking, which is lower compared to the 48 percent with backgrounds in information technology.  

Additionally, even fewer founders, only 12 percent, had experience in e-commerce, despite this industry accounting for the highest share of deals, 20 percent, closed by the top 200 Saudi startups. 

The report also revealed that 36 percent of the founders in Saudi Arabia are skilled professionals with over 10 years of experience before starting their businesses.  

Notably, Saudi Aramco was the most common previous employer among the funded founders, with 7 percent having worked there before launching their startups. 

Furthermore, McKinsey and Microsoft were among the top 10 companies where the 400 founders covered in this report had previously been employed.  

The majority of these founders held significant leadership roles, with 31 percent having served as a founder, co-founder, or board member. Only 4 percent originated from entry-level positions. 

The report also pointed out: “While Saudi Arabia has witnessed several serial entrepreneurs, 66 percent of founders in the last decade were first-time founders,” indicating a vibrant and growing entrepreneurial ecosystem. 


Oil prices set for steepest weekly drop in 3 months

Updated 03 May 2024
Follow

Oil prices set for steepest weekly drop in 3 months

NEW YORK: Oil prices edged up on Friday on the prospect of OPEC+ continuing output cuts, but the crude benchmarks were headed for the steepest weekly losses in three months on demand uncertainty and easing tensions in the Middle East reducing supply risks.

Brent crude futures for July rose 14 cents to $83.82 a barrel by 0646 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude for June was up 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $79.11 per barrel.

Still, both benchmarks were on track for weekly losses as investors worried about the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates curbing growth in the US, the top global oil consumer, and in other parts of the world.

“With the US driving season almost upon us, high inflation may see consumers opt for shorter drives over the holiday period,” analysts at ANZ Research said in a note on Friday.

The market is now looking towards US economic data and indicators of future crude supply from the world’s top producer.

The US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady this week, and flagged recent disappointingly high inflation readings that could make rate cuts take awhile in coming.

Geopolitical risk premiums due to the Israel-Hamas war, which had kept prices high due to global supply risks, are also fading, with Israel and Hamas considering a temporary ceasefire and holding talks with international mediators.

Brent headed for a 6.3 percent weekly decline, while WTI moved toward a loss of 5.6 percent on the week.

The drop comes just weeks ahead of the next meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, together called OPEC+.

Three sources from OPEC+ producers said the group could extend its voluntary oil output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day beyond June if oil demand fails to pick up, but the group has yet to begin formal talks ahead of the June 1 meeting.