WASHINGTON: President Donald Trump said Thursday the US could re-enter the Trans-Pacific Partnership if it could get a “better” deal, potentially marking an abrupt about-face for a president who campaigned against the deal and swiftly withdrew from it after taking office last year.
“Would only join TPP if the deal were substantially better than the deal offered to Pres. Obama,” he wrote in a late night tweet.
“We already have BILATERAL deals with six of the eleven nations in TPP, and are working to make a deal with the biggest of those nations, Japan, who has hit us hard on trade for years!“
The statement came after the White House announced that US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and top economic adviser Larry Kudlow were re-examining Washington’s position.
Trump has frequently disparaged multilateral trade deals, calling the 24-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement a “disaster.”
The news was welcomed by lawmakers from agricultural states.
But his most hawkish trade advisers, who now dominate his cabinet after high-level departures, have expressed a strong preference for negotiating bilateral agreements, which they say play to US advantages.
The White House was quick to stress that Trump’s decision was consistent with earlier statements not a flip-flop.
“Last year, the President kept his promise to end the TPP deal... because it was unfair to American workers and farmers,” Deputy White House Press Secretary Lindsay Walters said in a statement.
However, he “has consistently said he would be open to a substantially better deal, including in his speech in Davos earlier this year.”
To that end, he has asked Lighthizer and Kudlow “to take another look at whether or not a better deal could be negotiated,” she said.
At the World Economic Forum in January Trump said he was prepared to enter talks with the TPP countries “either individually or perhaps as a group.”
It remained unclear, however, how enthusiastically the other 11 TPP economies would welcome an American return to the bargaining table.
Japan’s top government spokesman Yoshihide Suga said Friday Tokyo would “welcome it if the president’s remark was a recognition of the TPP’s significance and effect.”
But he added that Japan was committed to proceeding with the TPP in its current form.
“The TPP is a high-standard, well-balanced framework developed after meticulously weighing various interests,” he said.
“It is an accord like a glass sculpture. It would be extremely difficult to take out part of it for renegotiation,” he said.
But he said that Japan hoped Washington would see that the deal would benefit the US economy and added that Tokyo was eager to hear the administration’s views.
Trump’s new comments on the trade pact, which was negotiated under former president Barack Obama, were a further sign his positions may not be as tough as his rhetoric.
After taking office, Trump decided not to withdraw from NAFTA and from a free trade pact with South Korea, despite his threats to do so, preferring to renegotiate those deals. He also has so far exempted the largest US trading partners from his harshest new tariffs on steel and aluminum.
The TPP members, including Canada, Mexico and Japan, proceeded without the United States after Trump pulled out, and signed the sweeping new agreement last month.
Some experts have said joining the trade pact could strengthen the US position in their current trade spat with China, which is not a party to the agreement.
Critics said exiting the agreement had been a strategic gift to Beijing, which stood to strengthen its regional trade dominance as the United States retreated.
Farm groups and political leaders from US agricultural states have been most outspoken in denouncing Trump’s trade confrontations with Europe and China, which until recently appeared ready to boil over into all-out trade war.
Senator Deb Fischer, a Republican from the corn-growing state of Nebraska, said in a statement Thursday she was “encouraged” by Trump’s move “to reengage with TPP nations.”
TPP opponents, however, were quick to warn Trump risked of backsliding on a central tenet of the economic nationalism which helped sweep him to power.
Lori Wallach of the left-leaning advocacy group Public Citizen said in a statement that the developments “signal that Trump does not give a crap about working people and cannot be trusted on anything.”
Richard Trumka, head of the AFL-CIO, the largest federation of US trade unions, said on Twitter that the TPP “should remain dead.”
“There is no conceivable way to revive it without totally betraying working people,” he said.
Trump considers re-joining Pacific trade pact he once spurned
Trump considers re-joining Pacific trade pact he once spurned
World food prices up in April for second month: UN agency
PARIS: The UN food agency’s world price index rose for a second consecutive month in April as higher meat prices and small increases in vegetable oils and cereals outweighed declines in sugar and dairy products.
The Food and Agriculture Organization’s price index, which tracks the most globally traded food commodities, averaged 119.1 points in April, up from a revised 118.8 points for March, the agency said on Friday.
The FAO’s April reading was nonetheless 7.4 percent below the level a year earlier.
The indicator hit a three-year low in February as food prices continued to move back from a record peak in March 2022 at the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
In April, meat showed the strongest gain in prices, rising 1.6 percent from the prior month.
The FAO’s cereal index inched up to end a three-month decline, supported by stronger export prices for maize. Vegetable oil prices also ticked higher, extending previous gains to reach a 13-month high due to strength in sunflower and rapeseed oil.
The sugar index dropped sharply, shedding 4.4 percent from March to stand 14.7 percent below its year-earlier level amid improving global supply prospects.
Dairy prices edged down, ending a run of six consecutive monthly gains.
In separate cereal supply and demand data, the FAO nudged up its estimate of world cereal production in 2023/24 to 2.846 billion metric tonnes from 2.841 billion projected last month, up 1.2 percent from the previous year, notably due to updated figures for Myanmar and Pakistan.
For upcoming crops, the agency lowered its forecast for 2024 global wheat output to 791 million tonnes from 796 million last month, reflecting a larger drop in wheat planting in the EU than previously expected.
The revised 2024 wheat output outlook was nonetheless about 0.5 percent above the previous year’s level.
Material sector dominates TASI trading in first quarter of 2024
RIYADH: The materials sector led trading on Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index, accounting for approximately SR87 billion ($23.2 billion) or 15.11 percent of the market, according to TASI’s 2024 first-quarter report.
SABIC, the largest component of this sector, boasted a market capitalization of SR234.9 billion, with trading value reaching nearly SR7 billion.
The banking sector trailed with transactions valued at SR71.22 billion, comprising 12.37 percent of the market. Al-Rajhi Bank took the lead in market capitalization within the sector and secured the second spot in trade value totaling SR23.62 billion.
In a February report by Bloomberg, Al-Rajhi Bank, seen as an indicator of Saudi Arabia’s growth strategies, exceeded the performance of JPMorgan Chase & Co., exhibiting nearly a 270 percent surge in shares since the initiation of Vision 2030. It has outpaced both local and global competitors, including state-supported banks, emerging as the largest bank in the Middle East and Africa, boasting a market cap of around $95 billion.
According to Morgan Stanley analysts led by Nida Iqbal, as reported by Bloomberg, “We see it as a long-term winner in the Saudi bank sector… While Al-Rajhi is best placed for a rate-cutting cycle, we believe current valuation levels reflect this.”
Gulf central banks, including Saudi Arabia’s, frequently align their policies with those of the Federal Reserve to maintain their currency pegs to the dollar. According to Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst Edmond Christou, a reduction in Fed rates could potentially bolster Al-Rajhi Bank’s profitability and expansion, as it will encourage gathering cheap deposits while enabling it to issue debt at more attractive levels.
In this period, the energy sector secured the third position in terms of value traded, reaching SR55.4 billion. Saudi Aramco topped the list with a market capitalization of SR7.47 trillion and registered the highest value among companies traded on the index, totaling SR28.82 billion.
In March of this year, Aramco announced a net income of $121.3 billion for its full-year 2023 financial results, marking the second-highest in its history. Aramco credited these results to its operational flexibility, reliability, and cost-effective production base, underscoring its dedication to delivering value to shareholders.
Tadawul’s quarterly report also indicated that the transportation sector recorded the fourth-highest value traded at SR39.25 billion, equivalent to 6.82 percent of the market. Among the top performers in this sector was cargo firm SAL Saudi Logistics Services, ranking third in value traded on the TASI during this period, following Aramco and Al-Rajhi Bank, with a total value of SR22.74 billion.
SAL debuted on the main market of the Saudi Exchange in November last year. With aspirations to manage 4.5 million tonnes of air cargo by 2030, Saudi Arabia is empowering its logistics sector from a supportive role to a pivotal driver of economic growth.
SAL, in which the Saudi government holds a 49 percent stake through the Saudi Arabian Airlines Corp., experienced a 30 percent surge in its share price during its initial public offering, raising $678 million and becoming Saudi Arabia’s second-largest IPO of the year.
In a January report by Forbes, SAL’s CEO and Managing Director Faisal Al-Beddah emphasized the company’s potential to shape the future of logistics in Saudi Arabia and beyond. He stated: “Logistics is the backbone of any economy. Now we are ready. We have the rotation, we have the infrastructure, we have the regulations, and most importantly, we have the mindset and the technology for Saudi Arabia to be the leading connecting logistics hub in the region.”
The top gainer during this period in terms of price appreciation was MBC Group, with a quarter-to-date percentage change of 127.6 percent, according to Tadawul.
Saudi Arabia’s MBC Group, a media conglomerate, debuted as the first new listing on TASI in 2024. Its trading began on Jan. 8. The company raised SR831 million through its initial public offering.
Saudi Steel Pipes Co. in the materials sector was the second highest gainer, with price appreciating by 88.15 percent.
Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co. had a QTD price percentage change of 81.91 percent making it the third-highest gainer on the exchange during this period.
TASI concluded the first quarter of 2024 with a 3.6 percent increase, climbing by 435 points to reach 12,402 points.
Saudi startups raised $3.3bn in last 10 years, says report
- MAGNiTT report shows fintech emerged as the most funded sector in Kingdom
RIYADH: Startups in Saudi Arabia saw massive growth during the last decade raking in $3.3 billion in venture capital funding, according to a report issued by MAGNiTT.
The data platform, in its “10 Years Saudi Arabia Founders Report” sponsored by Saudi Venture Capital Co., provides an in-depth analysis of the backgrounds, experiences, and expertise of founders.
“MAGNiTT initially published a report on founders in the MENA VC ecosystem in 2018, focusing on uncovering the DNA of successful entrepreneurs in the region. Today, in partnership with the Saudi Venture Capital Co., we present a comprehensive report on the founders of the top 200 funded startups in the Kingdom over the last ten years,” said Philip Bahoshy, CEO and founder of the platform.
“By shedding light on founders’ experiences in the Saudi ecosystem, we aim to dispel myths around founders, empower aspiring entrepreneurs looking to establish their ventures in the Kingdom, guide government decision-makers in shaping policies conducive to innovation, and provide invaluable intelligence to investors seeking opportunities in the region,” he added.
SVC CEO Nabeel Koshak emphasized the remarkable growth and dynamism in the Saudi startup landscape.
FASTFACTS
Forty-four percent of these startups were launched by teams with two founding members, who together secured 53 percent of the total funds.
Startups founded by a single individual accounted for 30 percent of the funded startups but only captured 15 percent of the funding in the last decade.
Thirty-six percent of the 400 founders analyzed had at least 10 years of work experience before launching their respective startups.
Fifty-nine percent of founders had technical education backgrounds, highlighting science, technology, engineering, and mathematics.
Thirty-nine percent of founders held degrees in business, contrasting with the global average of 19 percent, according to an Endeavor Insight study.
“The Kingdom’s strategic initiatives, driven by the Saudi Vision 2030, have laid a solid foundation for innovation, entrepreneurship, and investment. As a result, we have seen a surge in startup activity, with a growing number of ambitious founders seizing opportunities and driving innovation across various sectors,” he said.
“The goal of the report is to provide policymakers, government officials, and investors with insights and data to inform strategic decisions and policies to further nurture the startup ecosystem for the next 10 years,” Koshak added.
A decade of funding
Compiling data from the 200 Saudi-based startups, which collectively raised a total of $3.3 billion from 2014 to 2023, the report highlighted that 44 percent of these startups were launched by teams with two founding members, who together secured 53 percent of the total funds.
He further stated that with the significant support for innovation, the Kingdom is set to witness the emergence of more unicorns.
In contrast, startups founded by a single individual accounted for 30 percent of the funded startups but only captured 15 percent of the funding in the last decade.
Notably, 36 percent of the 400 founders analyzed had at least 10 years of work experience before launching their respective startups.
The report also indicated a trend toward entrepreneurship among less experienced founders, with 66 percent being first-time startup founders and only 30 percent with previous regional startup experience.
It revealed a significant gender disparity in the VC landscape within Saudi Arabia, with male founders comprising 94 percent of the total 400 individuals, while female founders accounted for only 6 percent.
This gender gap is considerably wider than the global norms, where, according to research by Startup Genome conducted between 2016 and 2022, the average proportion of female founders in an ecosystem was 15 percent.
Additionally, only 7 percent of solo founders were female, and there were no recorded startups with two or more female founders only.
However, as the number of founders per startup increased, so did gender diversity, albeit slightly. In startups with three founders, 18 percent were of mixed gender, while in startups with four or more founders, the figure was 12 percent.
Furthermore, 91 percent of male-only founded startups claimed 98 percent of total funding. Conversely, 3 percent of female-only founded startups accounted for 0.4 percent of the total funding.
Founders' education
The report further delved into the education qualification of founders revealing that 55 percent in the Kingdom had attained at least a bachelor’s degree.
In terms of technical development, 59 percent of founders had technical education backgrounds, highlighting science, technology, engineering, and mathematics.
Thirty-nine percent of founders held degrees in business, contrasting with the global average of 19 percent, according to an Endeavor Insight study.
Over half of the 400 founders obtained their degrees internationally, while 22 percent held both international and local degrees.
King Saud University, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, and King AbdulAziz University were among the most common institutions for startup founders.
Seven of the top 10 universities of Saudi founders that raised funding were public institutions.
The top international schools of Saudi founders had Stanford and Harvard among the top choices, mirroring global trends.
Professional experience
Despite fintech being the most funded sector, only 7 percent of founders had experience in finance, and 18 percent in banking, which is lower compared to the 48 percent with backgrounds in information technology.
Additionally, even fewer founders, only 12 percent, had experience in e-commerce, despite this industry accounting for the highest share of deals, 20 percent, closed by the top 200 Saudi startups.
The report also revealed that 36 percent of the founders in Saudi Arabia are skilled professionals with over 10 years of experience before starting their businesses.
Notably, Saudi Aramco was the most common previous employer among the funded founders, with 7 percent having worked there before launching their startups.
Furthermore, McKinsey and Microsoft were among the top 10 companies where the 400 founders covered in this report had previously been employed.
The majority of these founders held significant leadership roles, with 31 percent having served as a founder, co-founder, or board member. Only 4 percent originated from entry-level positions.
The report also pointed out: “While Saudi Arabia has witnessed several serial entrepreneurs, 66 percent of founders in the last decade were first-time founders,” indicating a vibrant and growing entrepreneurial ecosystem.
Oil prices set for steepest weekly drop in 3 months
NEW YORK: Oil prices edged up on Friday on the prospect of OPEC+ continuing output cuts, but the crude benchmarks were headed for the steepest weekly losses in three months on demand uncertainty and easing tensions in the Middle East reducing supply risks.
Brent crude futures for July rose 14 cents to $83.82 a barrel by 0646 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude for June was up 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $79.11 per barrel.
Still, both benchmarks were on track for weekly losses as investors worried about the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates curbing growth in the US, the top global oil consumer, and in other parts of the world.
“With the US driving season almost upon us, high inflation may see consumers opt for shorter drives over the holiday period,” analysts at ANZ Research said in a note on Friday.
The market is now looking towards US economic data and indicators of future crude supply from the world’s top producer.
The US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady this week, and flagged recent disappointingly high inflation readings that could make rate cuts take awhile in coming.
Geopolitical risk premiums due to the Israel-Hamas war, which had kept prices high due to global supply risks, are also fading, with Israel and Hamas considering a temporary ceasefire and holding talks with international mediators.
Brent headed for a 6.3 percent weekly decline, while WTI moved toward a loss of 5.6 percent on the week.
The drop comes just weeks ahead of the next meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, together called OPEC+.
Three sources from OPEC+ producers said the group could extend its voluntary oil output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day beyond June if oil demand fails to pick up, but the group has yet to begin formal talks ahead of the June 1 meeting.
Saudi authorities plan to boost assets under management to 29.4% of GDP in 2024
- Capital Market Authority plans to accelerate the pace of listings by welcoming 24 new companies
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia aims to enhance its stock exchange appeal to foreign investors, targeting 17 percent ownership of free float shares by 2024, a new report has revealed.
According to the 2023 Financial Sector Development Program document, the Saudi Capital Market Authority plans to boost assets under management to 29.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2024 by increasing the investment environment and attracting more investors.
The report, published annually, highlights the achievements in the financial sector, particularly the Kingdom’s ongoing progress in competitiveness indicators related to the capital market, as stated by Mohammed Al-Jadaan, minister of finance and chairman of the FSDP.
Commenting on the development of the financial sector, Al-Jadaan emphasized the importance of innovation and investment in talent and technology.
“We have placed innovation and investment in both talent and technology at the top of our priorities, because we recognize the importance of building a dynamic financial environment that allows companies — especially startups — to flourish and succeed,” the minister stated.
In line with its commitment to facilitating financing in the capital market, the CMA also plans to accelerate the pace of listings by welcoming 24 new companies in 2024.
Moreover, there will be a focus on supporting the development of new and promising sectors, with a target of having micro and small enterprises account for 45 percent of total listings.
Another area of emphasis is the deepening of the sukuk and debt instruments market, with the goal of increasing the debt-to-GDP ratio to 22.1 percent by the end of 2024. These measures aim to provide diverse financing options for companies and further stimulate economic growth.
“The capital market ecosystem continued its efforts to contribute to developing the financial sector and achieving the Saudi Vision 2030,” stated Mohammed El-Kuwaiz, chairman of the CMA.
“By approving rules for foreign investment in securities and streamlining regulatory procedures, we have witnessed a significant increase in foreign investments in the capital market, reaching SR401 billion ($106.9 billion),” El-Kuwaiz added.
The Saudi Central Bank also reaffirmed its commitment to adhering to international standards and best practices to enhance the strength and stability of the financial sector.
Initiatives such as developing digital solutions for supervising the financial sector and enabling local and international FinTechs demonstrate the Kingdom’s dedication to embracing technological advancements.
Furthermore, the Financial Academy unveiled its new strategy for 2024-2026, focusing on enhancing human capabilities in the financial sector through training programs and professional certifications.
The academy aims to increase the number of trainees and improve the quality of its services to meet the evolving needs of the industry.
The 2023 FSDP report highlighted significant progress across sectors like fintech and digital banking.
The Kingdom saw a surge in fintech companies, surpassing 2023 targets with 216 in operation and launching two digital banks.
Saudi Arabia claimed the top spot in the Corporate Boards Index among G20 nations and secured second place in various indices. Foreign companies relocated headquarters to the Kingdom, deepening the capital market.
Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P Global Ratings revised Saudi Arabia’s outlook to “Positive” and affirmed its “A1” and “A+” credit ratings, citing fiscal policy development, economic reforms, and structural improvements.
Saudi Arabia led venture investments in the Middle East & North Africa, securing 52 percent of total investments in 2023, and allocated SR10 billion to support small and medium enterprises across economic activities and regions in the first half of the year.
