Jobless millions to haunt India election

According to an India Today opinion poll published on Monday, unemployment is the biggest issue for voters. (File/AFP)
Updated 11 March 2019
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Jobless millions to haunt India election

  • Modi swept to power in 2014 pledging to modernise India and create jobs for the one million young people estimated to enter the labour market every month
  • Almost half the workforce toils in agriculture, and although workers are moving to manufacturing and services as the economy modernises

NEW DELHI: Vishal Chowdhary is young, bright and armed with an MBA. But he has spent two years struggling to find work in India's sluggish jobs market -- a major headache for Prime Minister Narendra Modi ahead of looming elections.
The government's failure to create enough jobs in Asia's third-biggest economy is a key issue for voters in the polls that are set to take place between April 11 and May 19 with results on May 23.
"I went for 50 job interviews in the last year but with no success. One company I did join laid off most of its staff, bringing me back to square one," Chowdhary, 27, told AFP.
Increasingly desperate, late last year he became one of 23,000 applicants for five government jobs as a "peon" or "office boy" with duties like making tea and photocopying, well below his qualifications.
The shocking figures are not unusual in 1.25-billion-strong India, particularly for secure government jobs with perks that attract hordes of overqualified candidates like Chowdhury. Last year 19 million applied for 63,000 positions at Indian Railways.
Modi swept to power in 2014 pledging to modernise India and create jobs for the one million young people estimated to enter the labour market every month.
Some 65 percent of Indians are under 35, and economic growth has in recent times fallen below the eight-percent level seen as essential to create enough employment.
A newspaper recently published what it said was an official report buried by Modi's government showing unemployment at its highest since the 1970s.
Rahul Gandhi, head of the opposition Congress party, attacked Modi for creating a "national disaster".
The report -- which the government said was not finalised -- added to evidence that the economy was hit hard by two of Modi's signature policies: demonetisation and a new Goods and Services Tax (GST).
The first saw 86 percent of banknotes withdrawn overnight in 2016 to bring the cash-only black economy out of the shadows. The second in 2017 was to simplify India's stultifying thicket of a tax code.
Almost half the workforce toils in agriculture, and although workers are moving to manufacturing and services as the economy modernises, the rate is slower than elsewhere in Asia.
These sectors are not creating enough jobs, hampered by stringent labour laws and insufficient investment in skills training, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
Another factor is a sharp fall in private investment, resulting in "very little" job creation in the private sector, said Santosh Mehrotra, a professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University.
This lack of investment is caused in part by the "huge crisis" of bad debts at India's state-owned banks, making them reluctant to lend, Mehrotra told AFP.
Red tape and corruption also make buying land for factories difficult, and infrastructure is often poor.
Furthermore India is battling a dearth of decent data on which to base policy, not helped by vast numbers of people working in the shadow, cash-only economy who are therefore not counted.
"(More) than a lack of jobs, the issue is a lack of data on jobs," Modi said last year.
The situation is particularly dire for women.
The female workforce participation rate tumbled from 38.7 percent in 2005 to 28.6 percent in 2017, one of the lowest in the world, according to the World Bank.
In the highly status-conscious and patriarchal society, women often give up working once their household income rises. The decline of agriculture, which employs more women, has also had an effect.
While India's universities may produce large numbers of graduates, there is a mismatch with what the labour market requires, and basic education for the poor is patchy.
One in eight 14-year-old students in rural India cannot read simple texts, while 56 percent can't do basic division, a recent survey showed. Millions of children aren't even in school.
"The sectors which are growing are modern services -- telecom, education, health, banking. This requires a much higher level of education than what is available to youth today," Mehrotra said.
According to an India Today opinion poll published on Monday, unemployment is the biggest issue for voters.
"Education and jobs are two very important topics for the youth. This government has failed on both these fronts," S. Malik, a student, said at a recent protest in Delhi.
"This government's failure means it should be voted out," he told AFP.


Macron blasts ‘ineffective’ UK Rwanda deportation law

Updated 5 sec ago
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Macron blasts ‘ineffective’ UK Rwanda deportation law

PARIS: French President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday said Britain’s plan to send asylum seekers to Rwanda was “ineffective” and showed “cynicism” while praising the two countries’ cooperation on defense.

“I don’t believe in the model ... which would involve finding third countries on the African continent or elsewhere where we’d send people who arrive on our soil illegally, who don’t come from these countries,” Macron said.

“We’re creating a geopolitics of cynicism which betrays our values and will build new dependencies, and which will prove completely ineffective,” he added in a wide-ranging speech on the future of the European Union at Paris’ Sorbonne University.

British MPs on Tuesday passed a law providing for undocumented asylum seekers to be sent to Rwanda, where their asylum claims would be processed and where they would stay if the claims succeed.

The law is a flagship policy for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s government, which badly lags the opposition Labour Party in the polls, with an election expected within months.

Britain pays Paris to support policing of France’s northern coast, which aims to prevent migrants from setting off for perilous crossings in small boats.

Five people, including one child, were killed in an attempted crossing Tuesday, bringing the toll on the route so far this year to 15 — already higher than the 12 deaths in 2023.

But Macron had warm words for London when he praised the two NATO allies’ bilateral military cooperation, which endured through the contentious years of Britain’s departure from the EU.

“The British are deep natural allies (for France), and the treaties that bind us together ... lay a solid foundation,” he said.

“We have to follow them up and strengthen them because Brexit has not affected this relationship,” Macron added.

The president also said France should seek similar “partnerships” with fellow EU members.


US alarmed by signs of ‘imminent military offensive’ in Darfur

Updated 10 min 17 sec ago
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US alarmed by signs of ‘imminent military offensive’ in Darfur

WASHINGTON: The US has warned of a looming rebel military offensive on the Sudanese city of El-Fasher. This humanitarian hub appears to be at the center of a newly opening front in the country’s civil war.

After a year of fighting between the armed forces of Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan and the paramilitaries of the Rapid Support Forces, under Gen. Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, millions have been displaced in the northeastern African country.

Until recently, El-Fasher — the last Darfur state capital not under RSF control — had been relatively unaffected by the fighting, hosting a large number of refugees.

But since mid-April, bombardments and clashes have been reported in the city and surrounding villages. The US “calls on all armed forces in Sudan to immediately cease attacks in El-Fasher,” the State Department said.

“We are alarmed by indications of an imminent offensive by the Rapid Support Forces and its affiliated militias,” it said, adding that “an offensive against El-Fasher city would subject civilians to extreme danger.”

After several days of “arbitrary shelling and airstrikes” in the city and its outskirts, a pro-democracy lawyers’ committee reported last week that at least 25 civilians had been killed.

Clashes in the eastern and northern parts of the city have already resulted in 36,000 displaced people, according to the UN’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.

As the war enters its second year, the UN and US have warned the breakdown of the fragile peace in El-Fasher would be catastrophic.

The city functions as the main humanitarian hub in the vast western region of Darfur, home to around a quarter of Sudan’s 48 million people and the site of harrowing violence during this and previous conflicts.

The State Department said it had seen “credible reports” that the RSF and affiliated militias had razed multiple villages west of the city, while it condemned “reported indiscriminate aerial bombardments” in the region by Sudan’s armed forces.


Death toll in migrant boat capsize off Djibouti rises to 24: UN agency

Updated 14 min 42 sec ago
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Death toll in migrant boat capsize off Djibouti rises to 24: UN agency

  • 20 remain missing after the boat carrying at least 77 migrants, including children, capsized near the town of Obock

NAIROBI: The death toll from a migrant boat disaster off Djibouti this week has risen to 24, the UN’s migration agency said, highlighting a sharp increase in the number of people returning from Yemen to the Horn of Africa nation this year.

The capsize on Monday was the second fatal maritime accident in two weeks off Djibouti, which lies on the perilous so-called Eastern Migration Route from Africa to the Arabian Peninsula.

At least 24 people died, and 20 remain missing after the boat carrying at least 77 migrants, including children, capsized near the town of Obock, the International Organization for Migration said.

It said 33 survivors were being cared for at an IOM center in Obock and that local authorities are conducting search and rescue operations in the hope of finding more people alive.

Addis Ababa’s ambassador to Djibouti had said those on the boat were Ethiopian migrants.

Another vessel also carrying mainly Ethiopian migrants sank in the same area on April 8, with a death toll of at least 38.

“The occurrence of two such tragedies within two weeks highlights the dangers faced by children, women, and men migrating through irregular routes, underscoring the importance of establishing safe and legal pathways for migration,” IOM chief of mission in Djibouti, Tanja Pacifico, said.

The IOM said it had recorded a total of 1,350 deaths on the Eastern Route since 2014, not including this year.

In 2023 alone, it said it documented at least 698 deaths along the route, including 105 lost at sea.

The agency believed the people on both ill-fated vessels were attempting to return from Yemen to Djibouti.

Each year, tens of thousands of African migrants brave the Eastern Route across the Red Sea to reach Gulf nations, escape conflict or natural disaster, or seek better economic opportunities.

However, many are unsuccessful and “thousands are stranded in Yemen where they experience extremely harsh conditions,” the IOM said.

Since the start of 2024, the agency said 3,682 migrants have left Yemen for Djibouti, more than double the figure for the same period last year.


155 killed in Tanzania as heavy rains lash East Africa

Updated 18 min 18 sec ago
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155 killed in Tanzania as heavy rains lash East Africa

  • Kenyan president convenes emergency multi-agency meeting to respond to crisis after floods cause chaos

DAR ES SALAAM, Tanzania: At least 155 people have died in Tanzania as torrential rains linked to El Nino triggered flooding and landslides, Prime Minister Kassim Majaliwa said on Thursday.

Tanzania and other countries in East Africa — a region highly vulnerable to climate change — have been pounded by heavier than usual rainfall during the current rainy season, with dozens of deaths also reported in Kenya.

Majaliwa said the rains have affected more than 51,000 households and 200,000 people, with 155 fatalities and 236 injuries.

“The heavy El Nino rains, accompanied by strong winds, floods, and landslides in various parts of the country, have caused significant damage,” Majaliwa told parliament in Tanzania’s capital, Dodoma.

He added: “These include loss of life, destruction of crops, homes, citizens’ property, and infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and railways.”

El Nino is a naturally occurring climate pattern typically associated with increased heat worldwide, drought in some parts of the world, and heavy rains elsewhere. 

It can have a devastating impact on East Africa.

In Burundi, around 96,000 people have been displaced by months of relentless rains.

In addition, about 45 people have been killed in Kenya since the start of the rainy season in March, including 13 who lost their lives in flash floods in the capital, Nairobi, this week.

Kenyan President William Ruto convened an emergency multi-agency meeting on Thursday to respond to the crisis after torrential rains triggered floods that caused chaos across the city, blocking roads and bridges and engulfing homes in slum districts.

Kenyans have been warned to stay on alert, with more heavy rains forecast across the country. Officials said people living in the most vulnerable areas would be relocated.

“The government ... will do whatever it takes, apply all the required resources in terms of money and personnel to make sure that lives are not lost and the people of Kenya are protected from this disaster,” Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua told a press briefing.

Meanwhile, the UN humanitarian response agency OCHA said in an update this week that in Somalia, the Gu (April to June) rains are intensifying, with flash floods reported since April 19.

It said four people had been reportedly killed, and at least 134 families or more than 800 people were affected or displaced across the country.

Late last year, more than 300 people died in torrential rains and floods in Kenya, Somalia, and Ethiopia just as the region was trying to recover from its worst drought in four decades that left millions of people hungry.

From October 1997 to January 1998, massive floods caused more than 6,000 deaths in five countries in the region.

In March, the UN’s World Meteorological Organization said that El Nino, which peaked in December, was one of the five strongest ever recorded.

Though the weather pattern is gradually weakening, its impact will continue over the coming months by fueling the heat trapped in the atmosphere by greenhouse gases, it said.

Therefore, the WMO said in a quarterly update that “above normal temperatures are predicted over almost all land areas between March and May.”


‘Uncommitted’ organizers will join campus protesters in Michigan over Gaza

Updated 59 min 55 sec ago
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‘Uncommitted’ organizers will join campus protesters in Michigan over Gaza

  • Student protests in the US over the war in Gaza have intensified and expanded over the past week
  • Democrats have become increasingly uneasy over the US support for Israel as the death toll and destruction climb in Gaza

WASHINGTON: Organizers behind the “uncommitted” political movement against President Joe Biden’s staunch support for Israel’s war against Hamas will travel to the University of Michigan’s campus on Thursday to join students protesting the war.
Student protests in the US over the war in Gaza have intensified and expanded over the past week after police first arrested students at Columbia, with so-called Gaza solidarity encampments established at colleges, including Yale, and New York University. Police have been called in to several campuses to arrest hundreds of student demonstrators.
Uncommitted organizers will travel to the University of Michigan’s Ann Arbor campus, they told Reuters, bringing together a political movement that’s disrupted Biden events and amassed hundreds of thousands of votes in Democratic primaries and a student movement that’s drawn students and faculty of various backgrounds.
Biden won Michigan by less than a 3 percent margin in 2020.
Democrats have become increasingly uneasy over the US support for Israel as the death toll and destruction climb in Gaza. A growing revolt inside the Democratic base signifies the challenge Biden faces in bringing together the coalition he needs to defeat Republican frontrunner and former President Donald Trump.
“President Biden is choosing to put his hands over his ears and ignore the hundreds of thousands of people who have already come out against the war at the ballot box,” said Abbas Alawieh, a prominent “Uncommitted” organizer, who is going to Ann Arbor with Layla Elabed, another Michigan organizer.
“Signing into law more money for Israel is sending a clear message to uncommitted voters, young voters that he doesn’t care to engage seriously with our demands to end this war,” he said, referring to the $26 billion in new aid Biden recently approved.
Alawieh said the uncommitted movement has not been coordinating with student groups so far. “We have an electoral focus, but we certainly see the demands of student protesters, who are calling for peace,” he said.
On campuses where protests have broken out, students have issued calls for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza, an end to US military assistance for Israel, university divestment from arms suppliers and other companies profiting from the war, and amnesty for students and faculty members who have been disciplined or fired for protesting.
Biden told reporters on Monday that he condemned both “antisemitic protests” and “those who don’t understand what’s going on with the Palestinians.” Biden campaign spokeswoman Lauren Hitt has said the president “shares the goal for an end to the violence and a just, lasting peace in the Middle East. He’s working tirelessly to that end.”
Trump called the campus protest situation “a mess” as he walked into his criminal trial in New York.
The uncommitted movement amassed sizable vote totals in Michigan, Minnesota and Hawaii primaries and had won 25 delegates as of the beginning of April. They are preparing to target the Democratic National Convention in Chicago in August, where Biden is expected to be nominated.
Polls show Biden and Trump running neck-and-neck ahead of their Nov. 5 election rematch nationally. Biden’s 2020 victory was due to narrow wins in key swing states like Michigan.